How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 1/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
COR 39.6 KRL 47.7 -0.3
-0.2
NOL 35.4 MOS 36.1 -0.1
PRO 40.5 QBC 42.9 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 1/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
MOS vs COR-1.0+0.4+0.6
-0.2+0.0+0.2
HVV vs PRO+0.1+0.0-0.1
KRL vs AMS-0.1+0.1+0.1
NOL vs MAN+0.0*-0.0-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the COR finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112Count
265-0-0In01545401,951,706
254-0-1In52570613,473
244-1-0In311867,692,476
3-0-2In3138576,816
233-1-1In02971,909,525
2-0-3In03974,764
223-2-0In019900011,736,527
2-1-2In019900176,338
1-0-4In199135
212-2-1In09901002,153,010
1-1-3In0990107,166
202-3-0100.0%093060008,641,863
1-2-2100.009405000131,262
0-1-4In973114
191-3-199.9860130001,041,120
0-2-3In8712002,596
181-4-097.86332032003,068,579
0-3-298.46630032031,047
170-4-190.1404405900181,969
160-5-059.215404301010427,730
Total:99.3%015870500100039,848,216
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 1/12100.0*Lottery seed
COR 39.6 KRL 47.7 +0.2
PRO 40.5 QBC 42.9 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 1/19100.0*Lottery seed
MOS vs COR+0.2-0.0-0.2

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-T123456789101112
265-0-00154540
254-0-152570
244-1-031186
3-0-231385
233-1-10297
2-0-30397
223-2-00199000
2-1-2019900
1-0-4199
212-2-10990100
1-1-3099010
202-3-009306000
1-2-209405000
0-1-4973
191-3-186013000
0-2-3871200
181-4-0633203200
0-3-266300320
170-4-1404405900
160-5-015404301010
Total:0158705001000