Winnipeg West 8A1 Playoff Chances 2011-2012 50/50

													100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs													Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W		L	-	OT		T	GD	%	Change	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	Avg.	Change	RPI

V View	33		15	0		-	0	3		66	In		100																								1.0		1	V View
Dakota B	32		15	1		-	0	2		68	In			100																							2.0	+0.38	4	Dakota B
St. Boniface Wh	31		15	2		-	0	1		50	In				100																						3.0	-0.38	2	St. Boniface White
St. Boniface Re	28		14	4		-	0	0		70	In					100																					4.0		5	St. Boniface Red
FG Red	28		14	4		-	0	0		62	In						100																				5.0		3	FG Red
River East Grey	26		13	5		-	0	0		24	In							100																			6.0		6	River East Grey
FG White	24		11	5		-	0	2		49	In								100																		7.0	+2.34	10	FG White
River East Whit	24		12	6		-	0	0		35	In									100																	8.0		8	River East White
C4 Explorers	24		11	5		-	0	2		21	In										100																9.0	-1.20	9	C4 Explorers
Seven Oaks Whit	22		10	6		-	0	2		43	In											100															10.0		11	Seven Oaks White
River East Blac	22		11	7		-	0	0		27	In												100														11.0		12	River East Black
FG Black	22		9	5		-	0	4		14	In													100													12.0	-1.13	7	FG Black
Tuxedo	21		10	7		-	0	1		10	In														100												13.0		13	Tuxedo
SWHA	14		7	11		-	0	0		-18	In															100											14.0		16	SWHA
C4 Cardinals	13		5	10		-	0	3		-44	In																100										15.0	+0.50	14	C4 Cardinals
Norberry G	12		5	11		-	0	2		-30	In																	100									16.0	-0.31	18	Norberry G
Kirkfield	11		5	12		-	0	1		-22	In																		100								17.0	+0.50	19	Kirkfield
A West	11		4	11		-	0	3		-14	In																			100							18.0	-0.31	15	A West
Lord Selkirk	11		5	12		-	0	1		-35	In																				100						19.0	-0.38	17	Lord Selkirk
Transcona	8		4	14		-	0	0		-27	In																					100					20.0		20	Transcona
Dakota W	6		2	14		-	0	2		-48	In																						100				21.0		21	Dakota W
Springfield	6		3	15		-	0	0		-73	In																							100			22.0		22	Springfield

Seven Oaks Blac	2		1	17		-	0	0		-114	Out																								100		23.0	+0.62	23	Seven Oaks Black
Sturgeon	1		0	17		-	0	1		-114	Out																									100	24.0	-0.62	24	Sturgeon

Week of 2/11
Springfield 7 Seven Oaks Blac 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Kirkfield	In
Lord Selkirk	*In
Transcona	+0.1
Dakota W	+2.0
Springfield	+26.9		+0.5
Seven Oaks Blac	-28.5		-0.6
Sturgeon	-0.6

River East Whit 9 Seven Oaks Blac 2
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
River East Whit			+1.0
A West	In
Transcona	In
Dakota W	+1.8
Springfield	In
Seven Oaks Blac	-6.1		-0.2

SWHA 7 Sturgeon 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
SWHA			+0.6
Norberry G			-0.2
Springfield	+1.5
Sturgeon	-2.5		-0.2

Dakota W 4 Dakota B 12
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dakota B			+0.6
Dakota W	-2.3		-0.8
Seven Oaks Blac	+2.1

FG White 8 A West 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
FG White			+1.0
A West	-0.3		-1.1

FG Black 1 Dakota B 6
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dakota B			+0.6
FG Black			-1.2

River East Grey 4 Transcona 1
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
River East Grey			+0.8
River East Whit			-0.2
Transcona			-0.8

St. Boniface Re 6 River East Blac 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
St. Boniface Re			+0.5
River East Blac			-1.1

Tuxedo 1 FG Black 6
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
FG Black			+1.1
Tuxedo			-1.4

Lord Selkirk 0 St. Boniface Re 6
Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
St. Boniface Re			+0.5
Lord Selkirk			-0.8

V View 5 FG Red 4
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
V View			+0.7
FG Red			-1.0

Sturgeon 1 Kirkfield 10
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Kirkfield			+0.7

Week of 2/18
FG Black 4 Dakota W 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
FG Black			+0.9
Dakota W			-0.6

River East Blac 10 Seven Oaks Blac 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
River East Blac			+0.5
Tuxedo			-0.2
Dakota W	In
Seven Oaks Blac	Out

Seven Oaks Whit 4 Transcona 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
River East Whit			-0.2
Seven Oaks Whit			+1.1
Transcona			-0.9

River East Grey 5 Seven Oaks Whit 4
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
River East Grey			+1.1
FG White			+0.2
Seven Oaks Whit			-1.8
FG Black			+0.3

Norberry G 2 C4 Explorers 3
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
River East Whit			-0.2
C4 Explorers			+1.0
C4 Cardinals			+0.3
Norberry G			-0.6

FG White 1 FG Red 3
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
FG Red			+0.4
FG White			-1.2

Springfield 1 River East Whit 4
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
River East Whit			+0.9
C4 Explorers			-0.2
Springfield			-0.6

Kirkfield 2 FG White 5
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
FG White			+0.8
River East Whit			-0.3
Norberry G			+0.2
Kirkfield			-0.5
A West			+0.3

C4 Cardinals 2 A West 8
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
C4 Cardinals			-0.5
A West			+0.7
Lord Selkirk			-0.2

FG Red 4 V View 5
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
V View			+0.6
Dakota B			-0.2
St. Boniface Re			+0.3
FG Red			-0.9

River East Blac 6 Springfield 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
River East Blac			+0.5
Tuxedo			-0.2
Dakota W			+0.3
Springfield			-0.3

SWHA 6 Dakota B 7
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dakota B			+0.7
St. Boniface Wh			-0.2

Tuxedo 6 Dakota W 3
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tuxedo			+0.3
Dakota W			-0.3
Springfield			+0.3

Seven Oaks Blac 2 Lord Selkirk 7
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Seven Oaks Blac			-0.3
Sturgeon			+0.3

Week of 2/25
Norberry G 1 FG White 7
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
FG White			+1.8
River East Whit			-0.5
C4 Explorers			-0.2
FG Black			-1.1
C4 Cardinals			+0.5
Norberry G			-0.8
A West			+0.3

V View 4 FG Black 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
V View			+0.3
Dakota B			-0.3
FG White			+0.3
River East Whit			+0.3
Seven Oaks Whit			+0.4
River East Blac			+0.4
FG Black			-1.5

Dakota B 5 Sturgeon 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dakota B			+0.4
St. Boniface Wh			-0.4
Seven Oaks Blac			+0.6
Sturgeon			-0.6

St. Boniface Re 3 St. Boniface Wh 4
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
St. Boniface Wh			+0.5
St. Boniface Re			-0.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Winnipeg West 8A1 Playoff Chances 2011-2012 50/50

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