"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Scotty Munro Memorial Trophy100.0*Average seed
Victoria 5 Kamloops 0 +1.7
+0.8
+0.3
Red Deer 5 Prince George 1 +0.5
Seattle 5 Portland 4 (ot)*-0.3
Spokane 4 Tri-City 3 (ot)*-0.3
Calgary 0 Everett 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Scotty Munro Memorial Trophy100.0*Average seed
Tri-City vs Victoria-1.5*-0.1-0.2+1.0+1.1+1.2
-1.0-0.4-0.3+0.8+0.8+0.8
-0.4-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.3+0.3
Prince George vs Vancouver*-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3*-0.1+0.2
Kamloops vs Kelowna-0.2*-0.1-0.2*-0.0*+0.1+0.2
+0.2*+0.0*+0.1-0.2*-0.1-0.2
+0.1*+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0
Seattle vs Saskatoon-0.1*-0.2*-0.0*+0.0*+0.1+0.1
Medicine Hat vs Red Deer-0.1*-0.1*-0.1*+0.0*-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Victoria finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inScotty MunroChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsMemorial Trophy123456789101112Count
108-123InYes100209*
107346-4In96.3%96454*
106347-3In97.69821127*
105337-4In97.99812194*
104327-5In93.79432431*
103328-4In93.39442690*
102318-5In88.790741,281*
101319-4In82.785961,991*
100309-5In77.1801373,164*
993010-4In68.67318904,807*
982910-5In58.764221307,112*
972911-4In46.6542917010,307*
962811-5In36.5453421114,392*
952812-4In25.73440252019,225*
942712-5In15.82443293025,616*
932713-4In9.11646326031,961*
922613-5In4.4104534111039,983*
912614-4In1.754332173048,257*
902514-5In0.5239292450056,392*
892515-4In0.11342431101064,147*
882415-5In0.00281835172071,722*
872315-6In0.002211352640077,329*
862316-5InNo0177313591081,523*
852216-6InNo01332542162084,212*
842217-5InNo911743254083,658*
832117-6100.0%No6110393491082,086*
822118-5100.0No4063240162077,575*
812018-699.9No20323432540072,064*
802019-599.5No10115403390064,903*
791919-698.7No10083341161057,354*
781920-597.0No00042543243049,194*
771820-693.9No0021742336041,281*
761821-588.7No00110364211033,533*
751721-681.2No0006284718126,782*
741722-571.2No03214827220,678*
731723-459.8No01134536415,665*
721623-548.5No00074144711,707*
711523-636.3No043251128,117*
701524-527.2No022554195,873*
691424-618.3No011756253,854*
681425-511.7No01154342,587*
671426-48.7No0950411,668*
661326-54.1No443531,089*
651327-43.5No033661630*
641227-50.3No03268382*
631228-40.4No02179252*
621128-5OutNo1981133*
611129-4OutNo138864*
601029-5OutNo168432*
591030-4OutNo22789*
581031-3OutNo69416*
35-57OutNo100156*
Total:96.1%3.0%4169141816128311,306,468

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Victoria 5 Kamloops 0 -0.6
Seattle 5 Portland 4 (ot)+0.1
Spokane 4 Tri-City 3 (ot)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Tri-City vs Victoria+0.7+0.1+0.1-0.5-0.5-0.6
Kamloops vs Kelowna-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Prince George vs Vancouver-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0
Seattle vs Saskatoon+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Spokane vs Portland+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122
108-123100
107346-4964
106347-39821
105337-49812
104327-594132
103328-493142
102318-589174
101319-483296
100309-57731307
993010-46941890
982910-5596220130
972911-44772901700
962811-53783302101
952812-426839024020
942712-516843129030
932713-497442311600
922613-54542332211010
912614-42338529317030
902514-5123272552305000
892515-40124918630110010
882415-500171111633217020
872315-600111256315260400
862316-50611242483419010
852216-603101315938416020
842217-51801710348241400
832117-616013825143139010
822118-50400151417338161200
812018-60200261728152224000
802019-50100121317232779000
791919-60100008824251514210
781920-50000043221825195300
771820-6000211610322112510
761821-500101043218239200
751721-600006127133412510
741722-50030207411410410
731723-4010133431316920
721623-50007140101917510
711523-604032619251120
701524-502025316301940
691424-60117212302980
681425-5011172937141
671426-409042341212
661326-54021640316
651327-40301040388
641227-5007364413
631228-4002215422
621128-5195626
611129-4295238
601029-594150
591030-4114444
581031-35644
57830-62080
56629-9100
54-55100
35-51100
Total:31115721031351057544111100