Victoria Royals Playoff Chances 2013-2014 50/50Beat Kamloops 5-0, playoff odds up 2 to 96.1% 35 points 17 10-1 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Saturday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Scotty Munro Memorial Trophy | 100.0* | Average seed | Victoria 5 Kamloops 0 | +1.7 | | +0.8 | | +0.3 | | Red Deer 5 Prince George 1 | +0.5 | | | | | | Seattle 5 Portland 4 (ot) | *-0.3 | | | | | | Spokane 4 Tri-City 3 (ot) | *-0.3 | | | | | | Calgary 0 Everett 1 | | | -0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Friday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Scotty Munro Memorial Trophy | 100.0* | Average seed | Tri-City vs Victoria | -1.5*-0.1-0.2+1.0+1.1+1.2 | | -1.0-0.4-0.3+0.8+0.8+0.8 | | -0.4-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.3+0.3 | | Prince George vs Vancouver | *-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3*-0.1+0.2 | | | | | | Kamloops vs Kelowna | -0.2*-0.1-0.2*-0.0*+0.1+0.2 | | +0.2*+0.0*+0.1-0.2*-0.1-0.2 | | +0.1*+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0 | | Seattle vs Saskatoon | -0.1*-0.2*-0.0*+0.0*+0.1+0.1 | | | | | | Medicine Hat vs Red Deer | | | -0.1*-0.1*-0.1*+0.0*-0.0+0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Victoria finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Scotty Munro | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | playoffs | Memorial Trophy | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 108 | -123 | | In | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | 209 | * | 107 | | 34 | 6 | - | 4 | In | 96.3 | % | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | 54 | * | 106 | | 34 | 7 | - | 3 | In | 97.6 | | 98 | 2 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | 127 | * | 105 | | 33 | 7 | - | 4 | In | 97.9 | | 98 | 1 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | 194 | * | 104 | | 32 | 7 | - | 5 | In | 93.7 | | 94 | 3 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | 431 | * | 103 | | 32 | 8 | - | 4 | In | 93.3 | | 94 | 4 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | 690 | * | 102 | | 31 | 8 | - | 5 | In | 88.7 | | 90 | 7 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | 1,281 | * | 101 | | 31 | 9 | - | 4 | In | 82.7 | | 85 | 9 | 6 | | | | | | | | | | 1,991 | * | 100 | | 30 | 9 | - | 5 | In | 77.1 | | 80 | 13 | 7 | | | | | | | | | | 3,164 | * | 99 | | 30 | 10 | - | 4 | In | 68.6 | | 73 | 18 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 4,807 | * | 98 | | 29 | 10 | - | 5 | In | 58.7 | | 64 | 22 | 13 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 7,112 | * | 97 | | 29 | 11 | - | 4 | In | 46.6 | | 54 | 29 | 17 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 10,307 | * | 96 | | 28 | 11 | - | 5 | In | 36.5 | | 45 | 34 | 21 | 1 | | | | | | | | | 14,392 | * | 95 | | 28 | 12 | - | 4 | In | 25.7 | | 34 | 40 | 25 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | 19,225 | * | 94 | | 27 | 12 | - | 5 | In | 15.8 | | 24 | 43 | 29 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | 25,616 | * | 93 | | 27 | 13 | - | 4 | In | 9.1 | | 16 | 46 | 32 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | 31,961 | * | 92 | | 26 | 13 | - | 5 | In | 4.4 | | 10 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 39,983 | * | 91 | | 26 | 14 | - | 4 | In | 1.7 | | 5 | 43 | 32 | 17 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | 48,257 | * | 90 | | 25 | 14 | - | 5 | In | 0.5 | | 2 | 39 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 56,392 | * | 89 | | 25 | 15 | - | 4 | In | 0.1 | | 1 | 34 | 24 | 31 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 64,147 | * | 88 | | 24 | 15 | - | 5 | In | 0.0 | | 0 | 28 | 18 | 35 | 17 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | 71,722 | * | 87 | | 23 | 15 | - | 6 | In | 0.0 | | 0 | 22 | 11 | 35 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 77,329 | * | 86 | | 23 | 16 | - | 5 | In | No | 0 | 17 | 7 | 31 | 35 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 81,523 | * | 85 | | 22 | 16 | - | 6 | In | No | 0 | 13 | 3 | 25 | 42 | 16 | 2 | 0 | | | | | 84,212 | * | 84 | | 22 | 17 | - | 5 | In | No | | 9 | 1 | 17 | 43 | 25 | 4 | 0 | | | | | 83,658 | * | 83 | | 21 | 17 | - | 6 | 100.0 | % | No | | 6 | 1 | 10 | 39 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | 82,086 | * | 82 | | 21 | 18 | - | 5 | 100.0 | | No | | 4 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 40 | 16 | 2 | 0 | | | | 77,575 | * | 81 | | 20 | 18 | - | 6 | 99.9 | | No | | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 43 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | 72,064 | * | 80 | | 20 | 19 | - | 5 | 99.5 | | No | | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 40 | 33 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | 64,903 | * | 79 | | 19 | 19 | - | 6 | 98.7 | | No | | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 41 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | | 57,354 | * | 78 | | 19 | 20 | - | 5 | 97.0 | | No | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 43 | 24 | 3 | 0 | | | 49,194 | * | 77 | | 18 | 20 | - | 6 | 93.9 | | No | | 0 | | 0 | 2 | 17 | 42 | 33 | 6 | 0 | | | 41,281 | * | 76 | | 18 | 21 | - | 5 | 88.7 | | No | | 0 | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 36 | 42 | 11 | 0 | | | 33,533 | * | 75 | | 17 | 21 | - | 6 | 81.2 | | No | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 47 | 18 | 1 | | | 26,782 | * | 74 | | 17 | 22 | - | 5 | 71.2 | | No | | | | | 0 | 3 | 21 | 48 | 27 | 2 | | | 20,678 | * | 73 | | 17 | 23 | - | 4 | 59.8 | | No | | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 45 | 36 | 4 | | | 15,665 | * | 72 | | 16 | 23 | - | 5 | 48.5 | | No | | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 41 | 44 | 7 | | | 11,707 | * | 71 | | 15 | 23 | - | 6 | 36.3 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 32 | 51 | 12 | | | 8,117 | * | 70 | | 15 | 24 | - | 5 | 27.2 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 25 | 54 | 19 | | | 5,873 | * | 69 | | 14 | 24 | - | 6 | 18.3 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 17 | 56 | 25 | | | 3,854 | * | 68 | | 14 | 25 | - | 5 | 11.7 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 11 | 54 | 34 | | | 2,587 | * | 67 | | 14 | 26 | - | 4 | 8.7 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 50 | 41 | | | 1,668 | * | 66 | | 13 | 26 | - | 5 | 4.1 | | No | | | | | | | | 4 | 43 | 53 | | | 1,089 | * | 65 | | 13 | 27 | - | 4 | 3.5 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 36 | 61 | | | 630 | * | 64 | | 12 | 27 | - | 5 | 0.3 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 32 | 68 | | | 382 | * | 63 | | 12 | 28 | - | 4 | 0.4 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 21 | 79 | | | 252 | * | 62 | | 11 | 28 | - | 5 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 19 | 81 | | | 133 | * | 61 | | 11 | 29 | - | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 13 | 88 | | | 64 | * | 60 | | 10 | 29 | - | 5 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 16 | 84 | | | 32 | * | 59 | | 10 | 30 | - | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 22 | 78 | | | 9 | * | 58 | | 10 | 31 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 6 | 94 | | | 16 | * | 35 | -57 | | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | 156 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 96.1 | % | 3.0 | % | 4 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | | | 1,306,468 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesSaturday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Victoria 5 Kamloops 0 | -0.6 | | Seattle 5 Portland 4 (ot) | +0.1 | | Spokane 4 Tri-City 3 (ot) | +0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Friday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Tri-City vs Victoria | +0.7+0.1+0.1-0.5-0.5-0.6 | | Kamloops vs Kelowna | -0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1 | | Prince George vs Vancouver | -0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Seattle vs Saskatoon | +0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1 | | Spokane vs Portland | +0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 108 | -123 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 107 | | 34 | 6 | - | 4 | 96 | | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 106 | | 34 | 7 | - | 3 | 98 | | 2 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 105 | | 33 | 7 | - | 4 | 98 | | 1 | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 104 | | 32 | 7 | - | 5 | 94 | 1 | 3 | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 103 | | 32 | 8 | - | 4 | 93 | 1 | 4 | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 102 | | 31 | 8 | - | 5 | 89 | 1 | 7 | | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 101 | | 31 | 9 | - | 4 | 83 | 2 | 9 | | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 30 | 9 | - | 5 | 77 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 99 | | 30 | 10 | - | 4 | 69 | 4 | 18 | | 9 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 98 | | 29 | 10 | - | 5 | 59 | 6 | 22 | 0 | 13 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 97 | | 29 | 11 | - | 4 | 47 | 7 | 29 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 96 | | 28 | 11 | - | 5 | 37 | 8 | 33 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 95 | | 28 | 12 | - | 4 | 26 | 8 | 39 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 2 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 94 | | 27 | 12 | - | 5 | 16 | 8 | 43 | 1 | 29 | 0 | 3 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 93 | | 27 | 13 | - | 4 | 9 | 7 | 44 | 2 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 92 | | 26 | 13 | - | 5 | 4 | 5 | 42 | 3 | 32 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 91 | | 26 | 14 | - | 4 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 5 | 29 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 3 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 90 | | 25 | 14 | - | 5 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 7 | 25 | 5 | 23 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 89 | | 25 | 15 | - | 4 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 9 | 18 | 6 | 30 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 88 | | 24 | 15 | - | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 33 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 2 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 87 | | 23 | 15 | - | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 5 | 26 | 0 | 4 | | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | 86 | | 23 | 16 | - | 5 | | 0 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 8 | 34 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | 85 | | 22 | 16 | - | 6 | | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 9 | 38 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 2 | | 0 | | | | | | | | 84 | | 22 | 17 | - | 5 | | | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 8 | 24 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 83 | | 21 | 17 | - | 6 | | | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 14 | 31 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | 82 | | 21 | 18 | - | 5 | | | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 17 | 33 | 8 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 81 | | 20 | 18 | - | 6 | | | 0 | 2 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 15 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 80 | | 20 | 19 | - | 5 | | | 0 | 1 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 17 | 23 | 27 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 79 | | 19 | 19 | - | 6 | | | 0 | 1 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 24 | 25 | 15 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 78 | | 19 | 20 | - | 5 | | | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 25 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | 77 | | 18 | 20 | - | 6 | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 32 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | 76 | | 18 | 21 | - | 5 | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 32 | 18 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 75 | | 17 | 21 | - | 6 | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 27 | 13 | 34 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | 74 | | 17 | 22 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 7 | 41 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | 73 | | 17 | 23 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 43 | 13 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 0 | | 72 | | 16 | 23 | - | 5 | | | | 0 | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 7 | 1 | 40 | 10 | 19 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 71 | | 15 | 23 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 4 | 0 | 32 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 70 | | 15 | 24 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 2 | 0 | 25 | 3 | 16 | 30 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 69 | | 14 | 24 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | | 17 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 29 | 8 | 0 | 68 | | 14 | 25 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 11 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 37 | 14 | 1 | 67 | | 14 | 26 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 9 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 41 | 21 | 2 | 66 | | 13 | 26 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 40 | 31 | 6 | 65 | | 13 | 27 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 3 | | 0 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 8 | 64 | | 12 | 27 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 7 | 36 | 44 | 13 | 63 | | 12 | 28 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 2 | 21 | 54 | 22 | 62 | | 11 | 28 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 19 | 56 | 26 | 61 | | 11 | 29 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 60 | | 10 | 29 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | 41 | 50 | 59 | | 10 | 30 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | 44 | 44 | 58 | | 10 | 31 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 56 | 44 | 57 | | 8 | 30 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 20 | 80 | 56 | | 6 | 29 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 54 | -55 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 35 | -51 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 3 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
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