Vancouver Giants Playoff Chances 2013-2014

Did not play, playoff odds up 3.5 to 86.4%

27 points 11 11-5

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Scotty Munro Memorial Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Red Deer 5 Prince George 1	+1.6
Seattle 5 Portland 4 (ot)	-1.0				-0.1
Victoria 5 Kamloops 0	+0.4

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Scotty Munro Memorial Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Prince George vs Vancouver	-4.9-1.9-1.5+2.7+3.0+4.3		No-0.0No-0.0No+0.0		-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Seattle vs Saskatoon	-0.3-0.3-0.3*+0.1+0.3+0.5				-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Kamloops vs Kelowna	-0.5-0.3-0.5+0.0+0.0+0.3
Tri-City vs Victoria	-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Scotty Munro		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Memorial Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

117		45	0		-	0	In		Yes		100												488
102		36	6		-	3	In		No			100											2
101		36	7		-	2	In		20.0	%	20	60	20										5	*
100		35	7		-	3	In		7.1		7	43	50										14	*
99		34	7		-	4	In		5.9		12	32	50	6									34	*
98		33	7		-	5	In		1.7		10	43	40	7									60	*
97		33	8		-	4	In		2.6		3	32	48	15	2								114	*
96		32	8		-	5	In		0.9		3	26	37	27	7								217	*
95		32	9		-	4	In		No		1	21	40	33	6								355	*
94		31	9		-	5	In		No			17	27	42	13	0							786	*
93		30	9		-	6	In		No		0	12	19	45	23	1							1,381	*
92		30	10		-	5	In		No		0	10	13	47	28	2							2,505	*
91		29	10		-	6	In		No		0	6	10	41	40	4							4,070	*
90		29	11		-	5	In		No			4	5	36	48	8	0						6,667	*
89		28	11		-	6	In		No			2	3	28	54	13	0						10,252	*
88		28	12		-	5	In		No			2	1	20	56	21	1						15,686	*
87		27	12		-	6	In		No			1	0	14	55	28	2	0					23,406	*
86		27	13		-	5	In		No			0	0	8	49	38	4	0					33,458	*
85		26	13		-	6	In		No			0	0	5	42	46	7	0					46,141	*
84		26	14		-	5	In		No			0	0	2	34	52	11	0					62,655	*
83		25	14		-	6	In		No			0	0	1	25	55	17	1					82,110	*
82		25	15		-	5	100.0	%	No			0		0	18	55	25	2	0				105,616	*
81		24	15		-	6	100.0		No			0		0	12	52	33	3	0				131,387	*
80		24	16		-	5	100.0		No			0		0	7	47	40	6	0				158,744	*
79		23	16		-	6	100.0		No			0		0	4	39	47	10	0				187,149	*
78		23	17		-	5	99.9		No			0		0	2	32	52	15	0				213,426	*
77		22	17		-	6	99.8		No					0	1	24	54	21	0				237,850	*
76		22	18		-	5	99.6		No					0	1	17	53	28	0				258,427	*
75		21	18		-	6	99.0		No						0	12	51	36	1				272,157	*
74		21	19		-	5	98.1		No						0	8	46	44	2	0			280,403	*
73		20	19		-	6	96.7		No						0	5	40	52	3	0			281,003	*
72		20	20		-	5	94.5		No						0	3	33	59	6	0			274,833	*
71		19	20		-	6	91.2		No						0	1	26	64	9	0			260,133	*
70		19	21		-	5	86.7		No						0	1	19	67	13	0			241,513	*
69		18	21		-	6	81.0		No							0	14	67	19	0			216,875	*
68		18	22		-	5	74.0		No							0	9	64	26	0			190,743	*
67		17	22		-	6	66.0		No							0	6	60	33	1			163,180	*
66		17	23		-	5	57.3		No							0	4	54	41	2			135,411	*
65		16	23		-	6	48.0		No							0	2	46	49	3			109,793	*
64		16	24		-	5	39.0		No							0	1	38	56	5			86,209	*
63		15	24		-	6	30.7		No								1	30	61	9			66,250	*
62		15	25		-	5	22.6		No								0	22	65	13			49,904	*
61		14	25		-	6	16.2		No								0	16	66	18			36,030	*
60		14	26		-	5	11.0		No								0	11	64	25			25,365	*
59		13	26		-	6	7.1		No								0	7	60	33			17,538	*
58		13	27		-	5	4.1		No									4	55	41			11,660	*
57		12	27		-	6	2.6		No									3	49	49			7,493	*
56		12	28		-	5	1.1		No									1	42	57			4,872	*
55		11	28		-	6	0.5		No									1	35	65			2,792	*
54		11	29		-	5	0.2		No									0	28	72			1,736	*
53		10	29		-	6	0.1		No									0	24	76			955	*
52		10	30		-	5	0.2		No									0	15	85			536	*
51		10	31		-	4	Out		No										14	86			305	*
50		9	31		-	5	Out		No										9	91			151	*
49		9	32		-	4	Out		No										9	91			74	*
48		8	32		-	5	Out		No										6	94			35	*
47		7	32		-	6	Out		No										6	94			17	*
46		7	33		-	5	Out		No										20	80			5	*
27	-45						Out		No											100			496	*

Total:							86.4	%	0.0	%	0	0	0	1	4	15	29	37	12	1			4,321,472

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Seattle 5 Portland 4 (ot)	+0.1
Red Deer 5 Prince George 1	-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Prince George vs Vancouver	+0.4+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.4
Seattle vs Saskatoon	+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Tri-City vs Victoria	+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22

117		45	0		-	0	100
102		36	6		-	3			100
101		36	7		-	2	20		60		20
100		35	7		-	3	7		43		43	7
99		34	7		-	4	6	6	32		50		6
98		33	7		-	5	2	8	40	3	40		7
97		33	8		-	4	3		29	4	46	3	15		2
96		32	8		-	5	1	2	22	4	32	6	27		7
95		32	9		-	4		1	14	6	28	12	32	0	6
94		31	9		-	5			10	7	19	9	42	0	13		0
93		30	9		-	6		0	7	5	12	7	43	2	22	0	1
92		30	10		-	5		0	5	5	7	7	42	4	28	0	2
91		29	10		-	6		0	2	3	4	6	36	6	39	0	4
90		29	11		-	5			1	3	1	4	27	8	46	1	8	0	0
89		28	11		-	6			0	2	0	2	18	10	51	3	13	0	0
88		28	12		-	5			0	1	0	1	10	10	50	6	21	0	1	0
87		27	12		-	6			0	1	0	0	5	9	44	11	28	1	2		0
86		27	13		-	5			0	0		0	2	6	33	16	36	2	4	0	0
85		26	13		-	6			0	0		0	1	4	22	20	41	5	7	0	0
84		26	14		-	5			0	0		0	0	2	13	21	41	10	11	0	0
83		25	14		-	6				0		0	0	1	6	19	37	19	16	1	1	0
82		25	15		-	5				0			0	0	2	15	29	26	22	3	2	0	0
81		24	15		-	6				0			0	0	1	11	19	33	25	7	3	0	0
80		24	16		-	5				0				0	0	7	11	36	26	14	6	0	0
79		23	16		-	6				0				0	0	4	5	34	23	24	8	1	0
78		23	17		-	5				0				0	0	2	2	29	18	34	11	4	0	0
77		22	17		-	6								0	0	1	1	23	12	42	13	8	0	0	0
76		22	18		-	5								0	0	1	0	17	7	47	14	14	0	0	0	0
75		21	18		-	6										0	0	12	3	47	13	23	1	0	0
74		21	19		-	5										0	0	8	1	45	10	34	1	1	0
73		20	19		-	6										0	0	5	1	39	7	45	2	1	0	0
72		20	20		-	5										0	0	3	0	33	5	54	2	2	1	0
71		19	20		-	6										0		1	0	26	3	61	3	4	2	0
70		19	21		-	5										0		1	0	19	1	65	3	7	4	0	0
69		18	21		-	6												0	0	14	0	66	3	9	7	1	0
68		18	22		-	5												0	0	9	0	64	2	11	12	1	0
67		17	22		-	6												0		6	0	60	1	11	18	3	0
66		17	23		-	5												0		4	0	54	1	11	24	6	0
65		16	23		-	6												0		2	0	46	1	10	30	11	0
64		16	24		-	5												0		1	0	38	0	8	35	17	1	0
63		15	24		-	6														1		30	0	6	36	24	3	0
62		15	25		-	5														0		22	0	4	36	33	5	0
61		14	25		-	6														0		16	0	3	33	40	8	0
60		14	26		-	5														0		11	0	2	28	46	14	0
59		13	26		-	6														0		7		1	22	50	20	0
58		13	27		-	5																4		1	16	50	28	0
57		12	27		-	6																3		0	12	48	36	1
56		12	28		-	5																1			8	44	45	2
55		11	28		-	6																1		0	5	38	54	3
54		11	29		-	5																0			3	31	61	6
53		10	29		-	6																0			1	26	66	6
52		10	30		-	5																0			1	17	70	12
51		10	31		-	4																			0	14	69	16
50		9	31		-	5																				11	68	21
49		9	32		-	4																				4	66	30
48		8	32		-	5																					63	37
47		7	32		-	6																					41	59
46		7	33		-	5																				20	20	60
45		7	34		-	4																					60	40
27	-43																											100

Total:							0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	4	11	6	23	5	32	1	3	6	3	1	0