Saskatoon Blades Playoff Chances 2013-2014

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.5 to 21.5%

23 points 10 14-3

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Scotty Munro Memorial Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Red Deer 5 Prince George 1	-0.6
Medicine Hat 5 Regina 1	+0.6
Kootenay 5 Brandon 2	+0.4
Prince Albert 8 Lethbridge 2	-0.2
Calgary 0 Everett 1	+0.2

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Scotty Munro Memorial Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Seattle vs Saskatoon	-3.8*-0.2-0.3+3.6+4.3+4.4		NoNoNoNoNo+0.0		-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Medicine Hat vs Red Deer	+0.9-0.2-0.2-0.9-1.4-1.2
Moose Jaw vs Brandon	+1.1-0.1+0.0-0.7-0.8-0.8
Regina vs Prince Albert	-0.7-0.7-0.6-0.0-0.1+0.8
Swift Current vs Calgary	+0.2-0.1+0.0-0.4*-0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Saskatoon finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Scotty Munro		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Memorial Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

113		45	0		-	0	In		97.1	%	100												488
99		36	5		-	4	In		No			100											2	*
98		35	5		-	5	In		No		75	25											4	*
97		35	6		-	4	In		No		50	50											2	*
96		35	7		-	3	In		No		50	40	10										10	*
95		33	6		-	6	In		No		21	70	6	3									33	*
94		33	7		-	5	In		No		18	63	12	7									68	*
93		33	8		-	4	In		No		10	65	16	8									135	*
92		32	8		-	5	In		No		5	57	23	13	1	0							249	*
91		31	8		-	6	In		No		3	53	24	17	3	0							529	*
90		31	9		-	5	In		No		2	40	24	28	6	1							917	*
89		30	9		-	6	In		No		1	36	18	31	12	1							1,530	*
88		30	10		-	5	In		No		0	27	14	35	20	4	0						2,633	*
87		29	10		-	6	In		No		0	19	9	35	29	8	1						4,406	*
86		29	11		-	5	In		No		0	14	5	29	36	15	2	0					7,176	*
85		28	11		-	6	100.0	%	No			9	2	22	39	23	5	0	0				11,343	*
84		28	12		-	5	100.0		No			5	1	14	37	33	10	1	0				17,057	*
83		27	12		-	6	99.9		No			3	0	8	31	38	17	3	0				24,932	*
82		27	13		-	5	99.7		No			1	0	4	22	40	27	5	0				35,657	*
81		26	13		-	6	98.7		No			1	0	2	14	37	35	11	1	0			48,926	*
80		26	14		-	5	96.6		No			0	0	1	7	29	40	20	3	0			66,259	*
79		25	14		-	6	92.5		No			0	0	0	3	20	40	29	7	0			86,035	*
78		25	15		-	5	85.4		No			0		0	1	12	35	36	13	1			109,845	*
77		24	15		-	6	75.6		No			0		0	0	6	28	41	21	3	0		135,778	*
76		24	16		-	5	63.1		No			0		0	0	3	19	41	30	6	0		163,508	*
75		23	16		-	6	49.4		No					0	0	1	12	36	39	12	0		190,957	*
74		23	17		-	5	36.4		No						0	0	7	29	45	19	0		217,523	*
73		22	17		-	6	24.9		No						0	0	3	22	47	28	0		240,610	*
72		22	18		-	5	16.0		No							0	1	15	45	38	1		260,247	*
71		21	18		-	6	9.5		No							0	1	9	40	48	2		273,775	*
70		21	19		-	5	5.3		No							0	0	5	34	58	3		279,215	*
69		20	19		-	6	2.8		No							0	0	3	27	65	6		279,013	*
68		20	20		-	5	1.4		No							0	0	1	20	70	9		271,267	*
67		19	20		-	6	0.6		No								0	1	14	73	13	0	257,398	*
66		19	21		-	5	0.3		No								0	0	9	73	18	0	237,328	*
65		18	21		-	6	0.1		No								0	0	6	70	24	0	211,693	*
64		18	22		-	5	0.0		No									0	3	66	30	0	186,219	*
63		17	22		-	6	0.0		No									0	2	61	37	0	158,400	*
62		17	23		-	5	0.0		No									0	1	54	45	0	131,702	*
61		16	23		-	6	Out		No										1	47	52	0	106,283	*
60		16	24		-	5	Out		No										0	40	59	0	84,408	*
59		15	24		-	6	Out		No										0	33	66	1	64,559	*
58		15	25		-	5	Out		No										0	28	71	1	47,778	*
57		14	25		-	6	Out		No										0	21	77	2	34,747	*
56		14	26		-	5	Out		No										0	17	81	3	24,067	*
55		13	26		-	6	Out		No											13	83	4	16,788	*
54		13	27		-	5	Out		No											9	84	6	11,157	*
53		12	27		-	6	Out		No											6	85	9	7,155	*
52		12	28		-	5	Out		No											4	82	13	4,574	*
51		11	28		-	6	Out		No											3	81	17	2,839	*
50		11	29		-	5	Out		No											2	78	21	1,611	*
49		10	29		-	6	Out		No											1	73	26	988	*
48		10	30		-	5	Out		No											0	68	31	557	*
47		10	31		-	4	Out		No												63	38	304	*
46		9	31		-	5	Out		No											1	47	52	166	*
45		9	32		-	4	Out		No												48	52	71	*
44		8	32		-	5	Out		No												41	59	34	*
43		8	33		-	4	Out		No												20	80	15	*
42		8	34		-	3	Out		No													100	6	*
41		6	33		-	6	Out		No												29	71	7	*
23	-40						Out		No													100	489	*

Total:							21.5	%	0.0	%	0	0	0	0	1	3	6	11	21	43	14	0	4,321,472

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Seattle vs Saskatoon	+0.3+0.0+0.0-0.3-0.3-0.3
Medicine Hat vs Red Deer	-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22

113		45	0		-	0	97	3
99		36	5		-	4			50	50
98		35	5		-	5		75	25
97		35	6		-	4		50		50
96		35	7		-	3		50	10	30		10
95		33	6		-	6		21	3	67	3	3		3
94		33	7		-	5		18	3	60	4	7	7
93		33	8		-	4		10	1	64	1	15	5	3
92		32	8		-	5		5	4	53	1	22	8	6	1		0
91		31	8		-	6		3	2	52	2	22	9	8	3		0
90		31	9		-	5		2	1	39	1	24	12	16	5	1	1
89		30	9		-	6		1	0	36	1	18	9	22	9	3	1
88		30	10		-	5		0	0	27	0	14	7	28	15	5	4		0
87		29	10		-	6		0	0	19	0	9	4	30	18	11	8	0	1
86		29	11		-	5		0	0	14	0	5	2	27	18	18	14	1	2		0
85		28	11		-	6				9		2	1	21	16	23	22	2	5	0	0		0
84		28	12		-	5				5		1	0	14	11	26	28	4	10	0	1		0
83		27	12		-	6				3		0	0	8	6	24	30	8	17	0	3		0
82		27	13		-	5				1		0	0	4	3	19	28	12	26	1	5	0	0
81		26	13		-	6				1		0	0	2	1	13	21	15	33	2	11	0	1	0
80		26	14		-	5				0		0		1	0	7	13	15	36	4	20	0	3	0
79		25	14		-	6				0		0		0	0	3	7	13	33	7	29	0	7	0
78		25	15		-	5				0				0	0	1	3	9	27	9	35	1	13	1
77		24	15		-	6				0				0	0	0	1	5	18	9	39	2	21	3	0
76		24	16		-	5				0				0		0	0	3	10	9	38	3	30	6	0
75		23	16		-	6								0		0	0	1	5	7	32	5	39	12	0	0
74		23	17		-	5										0	0	0	2	4	23	6	44	19	0	0
73		22	17		-	6										0	0	0	1	3	15	6	46	28	1	0
72		22	18		-	5											0	0	0	1	9	6	44	38	2	0
71		21	18		-	6												0	0	1	5	4	39	48	4	0
70		21	19		-	5												0	0	0	2	3	31	56	7	0
69		20	19		-	6												0	0	0	1	2	23	61	12	1	0
68		20	20		-	5												0		0	0	1	16	62	19	1	0
67		19	20		-	6														0	0	0	10	59	27	3	0
66		19	21		-	5														0	0	0	6	53	35	6	0
65		18	21		-	6														0	0	0	3	44	42	10	0
64		18	22		-	5																0	2	35	46	16	1	0
63		17	22		-	6																0	1	26	49	23	2	0
62		17	23		-	5																0	0	18	47	31	3	0
61		16	23		-	6																	0	12	43	38	6	0
60		16	24		-	5																	0	7	37	45	10	0
59		15	24		-	6																	0	4	30	50	15	0
58		15	25		-	5																		2	24	52	21	0
57		14	25		-	6																		1	17	53	29	1
56		14	26		-	5																		1	11	51	36	1
55		13	26		-	6																		0	8	45	45	2
54		13	27		-	5																		0	5	40	52	4
53		12	27		-	6																		0	2	33	59	6
52		12	28		-	5																		0	1	26	63	9
51		11	28		-	6																			1	20	66	13
50		11	29		-	5																			0	14	69	17
49		10	29		-	6																			0	9	68	22
48		10	30		-	5																				8	65	27
47		10	31		-	4																				4	61	35
46		9	31		-	5																				4	46	50
45		9	32		-	4																				4	46	49
44		8	32		-	5																					41	59
43		8	33		-	4																					27	73
42		8	34		-	3																						100
41		6	33		-	6																					29	71
23	-40																											100

Total:							0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	4	2	9	2	20	32	16	8	2	0