"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Scotty Munro Memorial Trophy100.0*Average seed
Medicine Hat 5 Regina 1 -4.5
-0.3
-0.5
Red Deer 5 Prince George 1 -0.5
-0.0
Kootenay 5 Brandon 2 +0.3
Prince Albert 8 Lethbridge 2 *-0.2
-0.0
Calgary 0 Everett 1 *-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Scotty Munro Memorial Trophy100.0*Average seed
Regina vs Prince Albert+4.3+4.2+3.7-0.8-1.0-5.3
+0.2+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.2
+0.4+0.3+0.3-0.1-0.1-0.5
Seattle vs Saskatoon+0.9*+0.2*+0.1-0.8-0.7-0.7
Medicine Hat vs Red Deer+0.7*+0.1*-0.1-0.6-0.6-0.6
Lethbridge vs Edmonton+0.3*+0.1*-0.0*+0.0*-0.2-0.3
Swift Current vs Calgary-0.0-0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Regina finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inScotty MunroChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsMemorial Trophy123456789101112Count
104-120In99.5%100194*
103356-5In84.496445*
102357-4In88.910090*
101347-5In72.1982183*
100348-4In69.3955306*
99338-5In60.39550575*
98339-4In48.693611,017*
97329-5In36.589921,603*
963210-4In26.78314302,585*
953110-5In18.47818403,995*
943111-4In11.26924605,865*
933011-5In5.75932908,782*
923012-4In2.35037131012,020*
912912-5In0.739421720016,145*
902812-6In0.32847214021,474*
892813-5In0.018502471027,573*
882713-6In0.01148261320034,511*
872714-5InNo643261951042,146*
862614-6InNo23722261120050,002*
852615-5InNo12917291851058,415*
842515-6InNo021112827112065,014*
832516-5100.0%No0146233219510072,619*
822416-699.9No093153228112077,073*
812417-599.6No51825352150080,504*
802317-698.2No2031734301120082,729*
792318-594.9No101927362150081,908*
782218-688.1No0004173631111079,216*
772219-577.0No0001102937193075,170*
762119-661.8No00041938308069,334*
752120-545.1No001113338151062,909*
742020-629.4No00052442254055,519*
732021-517.3No0021540358046,980*
721921-69.3No019344314039,564*
711922-54.7No005254822132,462*
701822-61.9No02184831225,667*
691823-50.8No01114440320,015*
681723-60.3No063849615,289*
671724-50.1No0331551011,382*
661624-60.0No012459158,259*
651625-5OutNo11663205,729*
641525-6OutNo01161284,105*
631526-5OutNo0857352,710*
621426-6OutNo0653421,782*
611427-5OutNo446511,143*
601428-4OutNo14158717*
591328-5OutNo03762444*
581228-6OutNo2377246*
571229-5OutNo12079139*
561129-6OutNo1118874*
551130-5OutNo59540*
541030-6OutNo198121*
531031-5OutNo79315*
28-52OutNo100164*
Total:74.3%0.4%4116810111212119511,306,468

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Medicine Hat 5 Regina 1 +0.9
Prince Albert 8 Lethbridge 2 +0.1
Moose Jaw 4 Swift Current 5 (ot)+0.0
Kootenay 5 Brandon 2 -0.0
Calgary 0 Everett 1 -0.0
Red Deer 5 Prince George 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Regina vs Prince Albert-0.8-0.7-0.6+0.2+0.2+0.9
Swift Current vs Calgary+0.0+0.1+0.1*+0.0+0.0-0.1
Moose Jaw vs Brandon-0.1*+0.0*-0.0*+0.1+0.1+0.0
Seattle vs Saskatoon-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Medicine Hat vs Red Deer-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122
105-120100
104366-4964
103356-584114
102357-48911
101347-572262
100348-469265
99338-56034500
98339-44944601
97329-536538120
963210-42756122300
953110-51860154300
943111-41158186510
933011-565420126300
923012-4247201785100
912912-51381824892000
902812-602816317143100
892813-5018133761952100
882713-6011939323752000
872714-5653822481151100
862614-62334122718832000
852615-5112701752511850100
842515-60121011226111692200
832516-500140612292414650100
822416-6009030155271513101200
812417-50510822413221645000
802317-6020030168262010111200
792318-5101093231818192500
782218-60000411613232461110
772219-5000010972225121940
762119-60000431720182710100
752120-5000111013203219300
742020-6000056173229910
732021-50002213263617300
721921-600118183827710
711922-500041133351420
701822-6002525392350
691823-50012173733101
681723-60193139172
671724-50052442253
661624-60021740347
651625-50110364310
641525-6006294916
631526-503235123
621426-62175031
611427-501124741
601428-494249
591328-554056
581228-622573
571229-512673
561129-631186
551130-5893
541030-61981
531031-5793
28-52100
Total:03210151728476675875320