Regina Pats Playoff Chances 2013-2014 50/50Lost to Medicine Hat 1-5, playoff odds down 4.9 to 74.3% 28 points 14 12-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Saturday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Scotty Munro Memorial Trophy | 100.0* | Average seed | Medicine Hat 5 Regina 1 | -4.5 | | -0.3 | | -0.5 | | Red Deer 5 Prince George 1 | -0.5 | | | | -0.0 | | Kootenay 5 Brandon 2 | +0.3 | | | | | | Prince Albert 8 Lethbridge 2 | *-0.2 | | | | -0.0 | | Calgary 0 Everett 1 | | | *-0.0 | | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Friday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Scotty Munro Memorial Trophy | 100.0* | Average seed | Regina vs Prince Albert | +4.3+4.2+3.7-0.8-1.0-5.3 | | +0.2+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.2 | | +0.4+0.3+0.3-0.1-0.1-0.5 | | Seattle vs Saskatoon | +0.9*+0.2*+0.1-0.8-0.7-0.7 | | | | | | Medicine Hat vs Red Deer | +0.7*+0.1*-0.1-0.6-0.6-0.6 | | | | | | Lethbridge vs Edmonton | +0.3*+0.1*-0.0*+0.0*-0.2-0.3 | | | | | | Swift Current vs Calgary | | | | | -0.0-0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.0+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Regina finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Scotty Munro | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | playoffs | Memorial Trophy | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 104 | -120 | | In | 99.5 | % | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | 194 | * | 103 | | 35 | 6 | - | 5 | In | 84.4 | | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | 45 | * | 102 | | 35 | 7 | - | 4 | In | 88.9 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | 90 | * | 101 | | 34 | 7 | - | 5 | In | 72.1 | | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | 183 | * | 100 | | 34 | 8 | - | 4 | In | 69.3 | | 95 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | 306 | * | 99 | | 33 | 8 | - | 5 | In | 60.3 | | 95 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 575 | * | 98 | | 33 | 9 | - | 4 | In | 48.6 | | 93 | 6 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | 1,017 | * | 97 | | 32 | 9 | - | 5 | In | 36.5 | | 89 | 9 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | 1,603 | * | 96 | | 32 | 10 | - | 4 | In | 26.7 | | 83 | 14 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 2,585 | * | 95 | | 31 | 10 | - | 5 | In | 18.4 | | 78 | 18 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 3,995 | * | 94 | | 31 | 11 | - | 4 | In | 11.2 | | 69 | 24 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 5,865 | * | 93 | | 30 | 11 | - | 5 | In | 5.7 | | 59 | 32 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 8,782 | * | 92 | | 30 | 12 | - | 4 | In | 2.3 | | 50 | 37 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 12,020 | * | 91 | | 29 | 12 | - | 5 | In | 0.7 | | 39 | 42 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 16,145 | * | 90 | | 28 | 12 | - | 6 | In | 0.3 | | 28 | 47 | 21 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | 21,474 | * | 89 | | 28 | 13 | - | 5 | In | 0.0 | | 18 | 50 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 27,573 | * | 88 | | 27 | 13 | - | 6 | In | 0.0 | | 11 | 48 | 26 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 34,511 | * | 87 | | 27 | 14 | - | 5 | In | No | 6 | 43 | 26 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 42,146 | * | 86 | | 26 | 14 | - | 6 | In | No | 2 | 37 | 22 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 50,002 | * | 85 | | 26 | 15 | - | 5 | In | No | 1 | 29 | 17 | 29 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 58,415 | * | 84 | | 25 | 15 | - | 6 | In | No | 0 | 21 | 11 | 28 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | | | | | 65,014 | * | 83 | | 25 | 16 | - | 5 | 100.0 | % | No | 0 | 14 | 6 | 23 | 32 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 72,619 | * | 82 | | 24 | 16 | - | 6 | 99.9 | | No | 0 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | | | | 77,073 | * | 81 | | 24 | 17 | - | 5 | 99.6 | | No | | 5 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 35 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | 80,504 | * | 80 | | 23 | 17 | - | 6 | 98.2 | | No | | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 34 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 82,729 | * | 79 | | 23 | 18 | - | 5 | 94.9 | | No | | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 36 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | 81,908 | * | 78 | | 22 | 18 | - | 6 | 88.1 | | No | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 36 | 31 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | 79,216 | * | 77 | | 22 | 19 | - | 5 | 77.0 | | No | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 37 | 19 | 3 | 0 | | 75,170 | * | 76 | | 21 | 19 | - | 6 | 61.8 | | No | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 0 | | 69,334 | * | 75 | | 21 | 20 | - | 5 | 45.1 | | No | | 0 | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 38 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 62,909 | * | 74 | | 20 | 20 | - | 6 | 29.4 | | No | | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 42 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 55,519 | * | 73 | | 20 | 21 | - | 5 | 17.3 | | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 40 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 46,980 | * | 72 | | 19 | 21 | - | 6 | 9.3 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 34 | 43 | 14 | 0 | 39,564 | * | 71 | | 19 | 22 | - | 5 | 4.7 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 48 | 22 | 1 | 32,462 | * | 70 | | 18 | 22 | - | 6 | 1.9 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 18 | 48 | 31 | 2 | 25,667 | * | 69 | | 18 | 23 | - | 5 | 0.8 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 44 | 40 | 3 | 20,015 | * | 68 | | 17 | 23 | - | 6 | 0.3 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 38 | 49 | 6 | 15,289 | * | 67 | | 17 | 24 | - | 5 | 0.1 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 31 | 55 | 10 | 11,382 | * | 66 | | 16 | 24 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 24 | 59 | 15 | 8,259 | * | 65 | | 16 | 25 | - | 5 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 1 | 16 | 63 | 20 | 5,729 | * | 64 | | 15 | 25 | - | 6 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 11 | 61 | 28 | 4,105 | * | 63 | | 15 | 26 | - | 5 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 57 | 35 | 2,710 | * | 62 | | 14 | 26 | - | 6 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 53 | 42 | 1,782 | * | 61 | | 14 | 27 | - | 5 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 46 | 51 | 1,143 | * | 60 | | 14 | 28 | - | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 41 | 58 | 717 | * | 59 | | 13 | 28 | - | 5 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 37 | 62 | 444 | * | 58 | | 12 | 28 | - | 6 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 23 | 77 | 246 | * | 57 | | 12 | 29 | - | 5 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 20 | 79 | 139 | * | 56 | | 11 | 29 | - | 6 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 11 | 88 | 74 | * | 55 | | 11 | 30 | - | 5 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 95 | 40 | * | 54 | | 10 | 30 | - | 6 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 19 | 81 | 21 | * | 53 | | 10 | 31 | - | 5 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | 93 | 15 | * | 28 | -52 | | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 164 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 74.3 | % | 0.4 | % | 4 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1,306,468 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesSaturday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Medicine Hat 5 Regina 1 | +0.9 | | Prince Albert 8 Lethbridge 2 | +0.1 | | Moose Jaw 4 Swift Current 5 (ot) | +0.0 | | Kootenay 5 Brandon 2 | -0.0 | | Calgary 0 Everett 1 | -0.0 | | Red Deer 5 Prince George 1 | +0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Friday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Regina vs Prince Albert | -0.8-0.7-0.6+0.2+0.2+0.9 | | Swift Current vs Calgary | +0.0+0.1+0.1*+0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Moose Jaw vs Brandon | -0.1*+0.0*-0.0*+0.1+0.1+0.0 | | Seattle vs Saskatoon | -0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0 | | Medicine Hat vs Red Deer | -0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 105 | -120 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 104 | | 36 | 6 | - | 4 | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 103 | | 35 | 6 | - | 5 | 84 | 11 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 102 | | 35 | 7 | - | 4 | 89 | 11 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 101 | | 34 | 7 | - | 5 | 72 | 26 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 34 | 8 | - | 4 | 69 | 26 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 99 | | 33 | 8 | - | 5 | 60 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 98 | | 33 | 9 | - | 4 | 49 | 44 | 6 | 0 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 97 | | 32 | 9 | - | 5 | 36 | 53 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 96 | | 32 | 10 | - | 4 | 27 | 56 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 95 | | 31 | 10 | - | 5 | 18 | 60 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 94 | | 31 | 11 | - | 4 | 11 | 58 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 93 | | 30 | 11 | - | 5 | 6 | 54 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 92 | | 30 | 12 | - | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 91 | | 29 | 12 | - | 5 | 1 | 38 | 18 | 24 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 90 | | 28 | 12 | - | 6 | 0 | 28 | 16 | 31 | 7 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 89 | | 28 | 13 | - | 5 | 0 | 18 | 13 | 37 | 6 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 88 | | 27 | 13 | - | 6 | 0 | 11 | 9 | 39 | 3 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 87 | | 27 | 14 | - | 5 | | 6 | 5 | 38 | 2 | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 86 | | 26 | 14 | - | 6 | | 2 | 3 | 34 | 1 | 22 | 7 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | 85 | | 26 | 15 | - | 5 | | 1 | 1 | 27 | 0 | 17 | 5 | 25 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 84 | | 25 | 15 | - | 6 | | 0 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 26 | 11 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 83 | | 25 | 16 | - | 5 | | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 24 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | 0 | | | | | 82 | | 24 | 16 | - | 6 | | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 27 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 81 | | 24 | 17 | - | 5 | | | 0 | 5 | | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 13 | 22 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 80 | | 23 | 17 | - | 6 | | | 0 | 2 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 79 | | 23 | 18 | - | 5 | | | | 1 | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | 78 | | 22 | 18 | - | 6 | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 13 | 23 | 24 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | 77 | | 22 | 19 | - | 5 | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 25 | 12 | 19 | 4 | 0 | | | | 76 | | 21 | 19 | - | 6 | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 20 | 18 | 27 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 75 | | 21 | 20 | - | 5 | | | | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | 20 | 32 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 74 | | 20 | 20 | - | 6 | | | | 0 | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | 73 | | 20 | 21 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 36 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 72 | | 19 | 21 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 38 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 71 | | 19 | 22 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 33 | 35 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 70 | | 18 | 22 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 39 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 69 | | 18 | 23 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 37 | 33 | 10 | 1 | 68 | | 17 | 23 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 39 | 17 | 2 | 67 | | 17 | 24 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 42 | 25 | 3 | 66 | | 16 | 24 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 40 | 34 | 7 | 65 | | 16 | 25 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 36 | 43 | 10 | 64 | | 15 | 25 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 49 | 16 | 63 | | 15 | 26 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 23 | 51 | 23 | 62 | | 14 | 26 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 17 | 50 | 31 | 61 | | 14 | 27 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 47 | 41 | 60 | | 14 | 28 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | 42 | 49 | 59 | | 13 | 28 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 40 | 56 | 58 | | 12 | 28 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 25 | 73 | 57 | | 12 | 29 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 26 | 73 | 56 | | 11 | 29 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 11 | 86 | 55 | | 11 | 30 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | 93 | 54 | | 10 | 30 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 19 | 81 | 53 | | 10 | 31 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | 93 | 28 | -52 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
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