Kelowna Rockets Playoff Chances 2013-2014 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.05 to 99.6%

36 points 17 3-2

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Scotty Munro Memorial Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Red Deer 5 Prince George 1	+0.1
Victoria 5 Kamloops 0					-0.1
Calgary 0 Everett 1			-0.7
Spokane 4 Tri-City 3 (ot)			*-0.5
Medicine Hat 5 Regina 1			-0.5
Seattle 5 Portland 4 (ot)			*-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Scotty Munro Memorial Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Kamloops vs Kelowna	-0.2+0.0-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2		-4.4-0.7-0.7+3.0+3.6+3.6		-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Spokane vs Portland			+0.6-0.3-0.1-0.8-0.7-0.3
Medicine Hat vs Red Deer			-0.4-0.6-0.5+0.1+0.2+0.5
Tri-City vs Victoria					+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Kelowna finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Scotty Munro		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Memorial Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

111	-136						In		100.0	%	100												2,817	*
110		34	10		-	6	In		99.6		100	0											1,701	*
109		34	11		-	5	In		99.5		100	0											2,733	*
108		33	11		-	6	In		99.3		99	1											4,044	*
107		33	12		-	5	In		98.6		99	1	0										5,913	*
106		32	12		-	6	In		97.8		98	2	0										8,415	*
105		32	13		-	5	In		96.5		97	3	0										11,573	*
104		31	13		-	6	In		95.0		96	4	0										15,682	*
103		31	14		-	5	In		91.9		93	7	0										20,625	*
102		30	14		-	6	In		88.6		90	9	0										25,868	*
101		30	15		-	5	In		83.2		86	14	0										32,099	*
100		29	15		-	6	In		76.8		81	19	0										38,924	*
99		29	16		-	5	In		68.7		74	25	1	0									46,355	*
98		28	16		-	6	In		58.7		66	33	1	0									53,794	*
97		28	17		-	5	In		48.0		57	41	2	0	0								60,842	*
96		27	17		-	6	In		36.8		47	50	3	0	0								66,955	*
95		27	18		-	5	In		26.2		37	58	4	0	0								72,015	*
94		26	18		-	6	In		16.7		27	66	6	1	0								75,946	*
93		26	19		-	5	In		9.3		19	72	7	2	0								78,472	*
92		25	19		-	6	In		4.6		12	75	9	4	0	0							79,128	*
91		25	20		-	5	In		1.9		7	76	10	6	1	0							77,514	*
90		24	20		-	6	In		0.6		3	74	10	10	3	0							74,274	*
89		24	21		-	5	In		0.1		1	69	9	14	6	0	0						70,157	*
88		23	21		-	6	In		0.0		0	63	7	17	11	1	0	0					64,977	*
87		23	22		-	5	In		0.0		0	55	5	19	17	3	0						57,910	*
86		22	22		-	6	In		No		0	47	3	17	25	7	1	0					51,317	*
85		22	23		-	5	In		No		0	38	1	14	30	14	2	0					44,183	*
84		21	23		-	6	In		No		0	30	1	10	32	23	5	0					36,694	*
83		21	24		-	5	100.0	%	No			22	0	6	29	32	10	1	0				30,283	*
82		20	24		-	6	99.9		No			16	0	3	23	38	18	3	0				24,333	*
81		20	25		-	5	99.8		No			10	0	1	16	38	27	6	0				19,230	*
80		19	25		-	6	99.1		No			6	0	1	10	35	36	12	1	0			14,813	*
79		19	26		-	5	97.9		No			3		0	5	28	41	20	2	0			10,854	*
78		18	26		-	6	95.3		No			2		0	2	20	42	29	5	0			8,094	*
77		18	27		-	5	90.3		No			1		0	1	12	37	40	9	0			5,804	*
76		17	27		-	6	81.7		No			0			0	6	29	46	17	1			4,117	*
75		17	28		-	5	72.6		No			0			0	3	21	48	25	2			2,737	*
74		16	28		-	6	61.3		No			0				1	13	46	35	3			1,895	*
73		16	29		-	5	49.0		No							0	8	41	44	7			1,254	*
72		15	29		-	6	38.4		No							0	6	32	50	12			808	*
71		15	30		-	5	27.1		No								3	24	53	19			472	*
70		14	30		-	6	18.1		No									18	58	24			277	*
69		14	31		-	5	14.9		No								1	14	44	41			194	*
68		13	31		-	6	5.0		No									5	51	44			101	*
67		13	32		-	5	6.1		No									6	35	59			49	*
66		12	32		-	6	2.9		No									3	44	53			34	*
65		12	33		-	5	Out		No										18	82			22	*
64		12	34		-	4	Out		No										38	62			13	*
61	-63						Out		No											100			7	*
60		11	37		-	2	Out		No										50	50			2	*
36	-58						Out		No											100			148	*

Total:							99.6	%	23.8	%	28	47	4	5	6	4	3	1	0	0			1,306,468

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Victoria 5 Kamloops 0	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Kamloops vs Kelowna	+0.4+0.0+0.0-0.3-0.3-0.4
Tri-City vs Victoria	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22

115	-136						100
114		37	9		-	4	100	0
111	-113						100
110		34	10		-	6	100	0	0
109		34	11		-	5	100	0	0
108		33	11		-	6	99	0	1
107		33	12		-	5	99	0	1		0
106		32	12		-	6	98	0	2		0
105		32	13		-	5	97	0	3		0
104		31	13		-	6	95	1	4		0
103		31	14		-	5	92	1	7		0
102		30	14		-	6	89	2	9		0
101		30	15		-	5	83	3	14		0
100		29	15		-	6	77	4	19	0	0
99		29	16		-	5	69	6	25	0	1		0
98		28	16		-	6	59	7	33	0	1		0
97		28	17		-	5	48	9	41	0	2	0	0		0
96		27	17		-	6	37	10	49	0	3	0	0		0
95		27	18		-	5	26	11	57	1	4	0	0		0
94		26	18		-	6	17	11	64	2	6	0	1		0
93		26	19		-	5	9	9	69	3	7	0	2	0	0
92		25	19		-	6	5	7	69	7	8	1	4	0	0		0
91		25	20		-	5	2	5	65	11	9	1	6	0	1		0
90		24	20		-	6	1	3	58	16	8	2	10	0	3		0
89		24	21		-	5	0	1	46	23	6	3	14	1	6	0	0		0
88		23	21		-	6	0	0	35	28	4	3	16	1	10	0	1		0		0
87		23	22		-	5	0	0	24	31	2	3	16	3	17	0	3	0	0
86		22	22		-	6		0	15	33	1	2	12	5	23	1	7	0	1		0
85		22	23		-	5		0	8	30	0	1	8	7	26	4	14	0	2	0	0
84		21	23		-	6		0	4	26	0	1	3	6	23	8	22	1	5	0	0
83		21	24		-	5			1	20	0	0	1	5	16	13	28	4	10	0	1		0
82		20	24		-	6			1	15		0	0	3	8	15	27	10	17	1	3	0	0
81		20	25		-	5			0	10		0	0	1	3	13	21	18	23	4	6	0	0
80		19	25		-	6			0	6		0		1	1	9	12	23	26	10	11	1	1	0
79		19	26		-	5			0	3				0	0	5	5	23	22	20	18	3	2	0	0
78		18	26		-	6				2				0	0	2	1	18	13	29	21	9	4	0	0
77		18	27		-	5				1				0		1	0	11	6	32	20	19	8	1	0
76		17	27		-	6				0						0	0	6	2	27	16	30	13	4	1
75		17	28		-	5				0						0		3	0	20	9	39	15	9	3	0
74		16	28		-	6				0								1	0	13	4	43	14	15	8	1	0
73		16	29		-	5												0		8	1	40	11	22	14	4	0
72		15	29		-	6												0	0	6	1	32	9	20	22	10	1
71		15	30		-	5														3		24	5	21	28	16	3
70		14	30		-	6																18	4	17	31	25	5
69		14	31		-	5														1		14	1	4	25	39	15	2
68		13	31		-	6																5		4	30	34	24	4
67		13	32		-	5																6			12	39	33	10
66		12	32		-	6																3			6	56	29	6
65		12	33		-	5																			5	23	59	14
64		12	34		-	4																				23	62	15
63		11	34		-	5																				25	75
62		12	36		-	2																					50	50
60	-61																										100
36	-58																											100

Total:							24	4	37	10	3	1	4	1	5	1	3	1	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0