Kelowna Rockets Playoff Chances 2013-2014

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 99.99%

36 points 17 3-2

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Scotty Munro Memorial Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Calgary 0 Everett 1			-0.5
Seattle 5 Portland 4 (ot)			+1.1
Medicine Hat 5 Regina 1			-0.4
Spokane 4 Tri-City 3 (ot)			*-0.2

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Scotty Munro Memorial Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Kamloops vs Kelowna	-0.0InInInInIn		-7.5-2.4-2.5+2.3+3.0+3.0		-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Spokane vs Portland			+2.1+0.1+0.2-1.7-2.0-1.8
Medicine Hat vs Red Deer			-0.7-0.5-0.5+0.5+0.4+1.4
Lethbridge vs Edmonton			+0.5+0.3+0.2-0.1-0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Kelowna finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Scotty Munro		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Memorial Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

122	-136						In		Yes		100												3,861	*
121		41	6		-	3	In		99.9	%	100	0											3,055	*
120		40	6		-	4	In		100.0		100	0											5,113	*
119		40	7		-	3	In		100.0		100	0											8,572	*
118		39	7		-	4	In		99.8		100	0											13,738	*
117		39	8		-	3	In		99.8		100	0											20,945	*
116		38	8		-	4	In		99.7		100	0											30,665	*
115		38	9		-	3	In		99.3		99	1	0										44,171	*
114		37	9		-	4	In		98.9		99	1	0										60,461	*
113		37	10		-	3	In		98.0		98	2	0										80,839	*
112		36	10		-	4	In		96.8		97	3	0										103,306	*
111		36	11		-	3	In		95.1		96	4	0										130,107	*
110		35	11		-	4	In		92.4		94	6	0										157,042	*
109		35	12		-	3	In		88.6		91	9	0										185,088	*
108		34	12		-	4	In		83.8		87	13	0										212,463	*
107		33	12		-	5	In		77.5		82	18	0										235,792	*
106		33	13		-	4	In		69.7		76	24	0										254,370	*
105		32	13		-	5	In		60.7		69	31	0	0									269,748	*
104		32	14		-	4	In		50.4		61	39	0	0									277,364	*
103		31	14		-	5	In		40.1		52	48	0	0									277,567	*
102		31	15		-	4	In		29.5		42	57	1	0									270,362	*
101		30	15		-	5	In		20.4		33	66	1	0	0								257,371	*
100		30	16		-	4	In		12.8		25	74	1	0	0								238,230	*
99		29	16		-	5	In		7.2		17	80	2	0	0								215,900	*
98		29	17		-	4	In		3.6		11	85	3	1	0								190,302	*
97		28	17		-	5	In		1.6		7	88	3	2	0								165,073	*
96		28	18		-	4	In		0.6		4	88	4	4	1								139,147	*
95		27	18		-	5	In		0.2		2	87	4	6	1	0							113,765	*
94		27	19		-	4	In		0.0		1	84	4	8	3	0							91,662	*
93		26	19		-	5	In		0.0		0	80	4	10	6	0							71,588	*
92		26	20		-	4	In		0.0		0	75	3	13	9	0							55,056	*
91		25	20		-	5	In		No		0	68	2	14	15	0	0						41,366	*
90		25	21		-	4	In		No		0	62	1	14	22	1							30,423	*
89		24	21		-	5	In		No		0	54	1	13	30	2	0						21,830	*
88		24	22		-	4	In		No			47	1	12	38	4	0						15,406	*
87		23	22		-	5	In		No			40	0	9	44	7	0						10,346	*
86		23	23		-	4	In		No			31	0	7	50	11	1						6,972	*
85		22	23		-	5	In		No			25	0	5	51	19	1						4,577	*
84		22	24		-	4	In		No			19		3	50	26	2	0					2,904	*
83		21	24		-	5	In		No			14		1	47	34	5	0					1,786	*
82		21	25		-	4	In		No			11		1	39	39	9	1					1,106	*
81		20	25		-	5	In		No			6			35	43	15	1					672	*
80		20	26		-	4	In		No			6			24	44	24	3					393	*
79		19	26		-	5	In		No			2			13	48	29	8					216	*
78		19	27		-	4	In		No			2			13	40	34	11					126	*
77		18	27		-	5	In		No						4	43	39	13					69	*
76		18	28		-	4	In		No						3	19	61	16					31	*
75		17	28		-	5	In		No							24	41	35					17	*
74		17	29		-	4	88.9	%	No						11	22	44	11	11				9	*
73		17	30		-	3	In		No							17	50	33					6	*
72		16	30		-	4	In		No							20	40	40					5	*
69		14	31		-	5	In		No								100						1
36		0	50		-	0	Out		No											100			488

Total:							100.0	%	45.0	%	51	45	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0			4,321,472

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Seattle 5 Portland 4 (ot)	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Kamloops vs Kelowna	+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22

122	-136						100
121		41	6		-	3	100	0	0
120		40	6		-	4	100		0
119		40	7		-	3	100		0
118		39	7		-	4	100	0	0
117		39	8		-	3	100	0	0
116		38	8		-	4	100	0	0
115		38	9		-	3	99	0	1		0
114		37	9		-	4	99	0	1		0
113		37	10		-	3	98	0	2		0
112		36	10		-	4	97	1	3		0
111		36	11		-	3	95	1	4		0
110		35	11		-	4	92	1	6		0
109		35	12		-	3	89	2	9		0
108		34	12		-	4	84	3	13		0
107		33	12		-	5	78	5	18	0	0
106		33	13		-	4	70	6	24	0	0
105		32	13		-	5	61	8	31	0	0		0
104		32	14		-	4	50	10	39	0	0	0	0
103		31	14		-	5	40	12	48	0	0	0	0
102		31	15		-	4	30	13	57	0	1	0	0
101		30	15		-	5	20	13	65	1	1	0	0		0
100		30	16		-	4	13	12	72	2	1	0	0		0
99		29	16		-	5	7	10	77	4	2	0	0		0
98		29	17		-	4	4	7	78	7	3	0	1	0	0
97		28	17		-	5	2	5	76	11	3	0	2	0	0
96		28	18		-	4	1	3	72	17	3	1	3	0	1
95		27	18		-	5	0	2	64	23	3	1	6	0	1		0
94		27	19		-	4	0	1	54	30	3	1	8	0	3		0
93		26	19		-	5	0	0	44	36	2	2	10	1	6	0	0
92		26	20		-	4	0	0	33	41	1	2	12	1	9	0	0
91		25	20		-	5		0	24	44	1	2	12	2	15	0	0		0
90		25	21		-	4		0	16	46	0	1	10	4	21	1	1
89		24	21		-	5		0	10	44	0	1	8	6	28	2	2	0	0
88		24	22		-	4			6	40	0	1	5	7	32	5	3	0	0
87		23	22		-	5			3	36	0	0	3	6	33	11	7	0	0
86		23	23		-	4			2	29		0	1	6	30	19	10	1	1
85		22	23		-	5			1	24		0	0	4	24	27	16	3	1	0
84		22	24		-	4			0	19			0	3	16	34	19	7	2	0	0
83		21	24		-	5				14			0	1	11	36	20	13	4	1	0
82		21	25		-	4			0	11				1	3	36	18	21	8	1	1
81		20	25		-	5				6					2	33	13	30	12	4	1
80		20	26		-	4				6						24	8	36	13	11	3	0
79		19	26		-	5				2					1	12	3	44	16	13	7	1
78		19	27		-	4				2						13	2	37	11	23	8	3
77		18	27		-	5										4	3	41	4	35	9	4
76		18	28		-	4										3		19	13	48	6	10
75		17	28		-	5												24		41	12	24
74		17	29		-	4										11		22		44		11	11
73		17	30		-	3												17		50		33
72		16	30		-	4												20		40		40
69		14	31		-	5														100
36		0	50		-	0																					2	98

Total:							45	6	40	5	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0				0	0