Winnipeg Jets Playoff Chances 2015-2016

Beat Detroit 5-3, playoff odds up 0.4 to 99.8%

71 points 34 25-3

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Chances based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

111	20	0		-	0	In		No	62	10	28	0									681
110	19	0		-	1	In		No	39	16	44	1									143
109	19	1		-	0	In		No	29	12	58	1									773	*
108	18	1		-	1	In		No	15	17	63	5									2,211	*
107	17	1		-	2	In		No	8	15	68	9	0								6,820	*
106	17	2		-	1	In		No	3	12	67	17	0								15,608	*
105	16	2		-	2	In		No	1	8	61	28	1								34,998	*
104	16	3		-	1	In		No	0	6	51	41	2	0							64,744	*
103	15	3		-	2	In		No	0	3	39	53	5	0							114,277	*
102	15	4		-	1	In		No	0	2	26	62	10	0							179,643	*
101	14	4		-	2	In		No	0	1	16	64	18	1	0						269,062	*
100	14	5		-	1	In		No	0	1	10	62	26	1	0						192,669
	13	4		-	3	In		No		0	7	58	32	2	0						165,885	*
99	13	5		-	2	In		No		0	4	51	40	4	0	0					264,926
	14	6		-	0	In		No		0	4	51	40	4	0						198,040	*
98	13	6		-	1	In		No		0	2	42	48	8	0	0					273,486
	12	5		-	3	In		No		0	1	36	51	11	0	0					264,589	*
97	12	6		-	2	In		No		0	1	27	54	17	1	0					341,888
	11	5		-	4	In		No		0	0	22	54	21	2	0					125,244
	13	7		-	0	In		No		0	1	31	53	15	1	0					135,876	*
96	12	7		-	1	In		No		0	0	19	53	25	3	0					303,407
	11	6		-	3	In		No		0	0	14	51	31	4	0					316,290	*
95	11	7		-	2	In		No		0	0	9	45	38	8	0					345,854
	10	6		-	4	In		No		0	0	6	40	42	11	1					133,515
	12	8		-	0	In		No		0	0	11	47	36	7	0					133,645	*
94	11	8		-	1	In		No		0	0	5	36	44	14	1					268,495
	10	7		-	3	In		No		0	0	3	30	47	19	2					288,058	*
93	10	8		-	2	100.0	%	No		0	0	2	22	47	26	3	0				275,001
	9	7		-	4	In		No		0	0	2	21	46	28	4					213,916	*
92	10	9		-	1	100.0		No		0		1	14	44	35	7	0				189,235
	9	8		-	3	100.0		No		0		0	10	39	41	10	0				204,279	*
91	9	9		-	2	100.0		No		0		0	6	33	46	15	0				172,092
	8	8		-	4	100.0		No		0		0	6	31	46	16	0				134,563	*
90	9	10		-	1	99.9		No		0		0	2	22	50	27	0				220,360	*
89	8	10		-	2	99.7		No		0		0	1	13	47	39	0				153,813	*
88	8	11		-	1	99.1		No					0	7	40	53	1				96,852	*
87	7	11		-	2	97.8		No					0	3	30	64	2				60,315	*
86	7	12		-	1	95.5		No		0			0	1	21	73	5	0			33,688	*
85	6	12		-	2	91.6		No						0	13	78	8	0			18,602	*
84	6	13		-	1	86.2		No						0	8	78	14	0			9,175	*
83	5	13		-	2	78.7		No						0	4	75	21	0			4,436	*
82	5	14		-	1	69.3		No							2	67	30	1			1,878	*
81	4	14		-	2	56.2		No							1	56	42	2			758	*
80	4	15		-	1	46.1		No							0	46	47	7			297	*
79	3	15		-	2	36.0		No								36	58	6			125	*
78	3	16		-	1	20.0		No								20	69	11			35	*
77	2	16		-	2	35.7		No								36	43	21			14	*
76	2	17		-	1	Out		No									67	33			6	*
75	2	18		-	0	Out		No										100			1
71	0	20		-	0	0.2		No								0	13	86			644

Total:						99.8	%	No	0	0	4	22	31	23	14	6	0	0			6,230,912

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Winnipeg 5 Detroit 3	-0.3
New York 4 Los Angeles 3 (so)	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Washington vs New York	+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Tampa vs Toronto	+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

111	20	0		-	0			14	50	31	5	0
110	19	0		-	1			5	36	43	13	3
109	19	1		-	0			2	20	45	25	7	0
108	18	1		-	1			0	10	35	39	15	2
107	17	1		-	2			0	4	22	44	26	5	0
106	17	2		-	1			0	1	13	38	37	11	0
105	16	2		-	2			0	0	6	29	44	20	1	0
104	16	3		-	1				0	2	17	45	33	2	0
103	15	3		-	2				0	1	9	38	47	5	0
102	15	4		-	1				0	0	4	28	56	12	0	0
101	14	4		-	2					0	1	17	58	22	2	0
100	14	5		-	1					0	0	10	54	31	4	0	0
	13	4		-	3					0	0	7	49	36	7	0	0
99	13	5		-	2						0	4	40	43	12	1	0
	14	6		-	0						0	4	40	43	12	1	0	0
98	13	6		-	1						0	2	29	46	20	3	0	0
	12	5		-	3						0	1	23	46	26	5	0	0	0
97	12	6		-	2						0	0	14	41	34	10	1	0	0
	11	5		-	4						0	0	10	37	37	13	2	0	0
	13	7		-	0						0	1	17	43	30	8	1	0
96	12	7		-	1							0	7	30	39	19	4	0	0
	11	6		-	3							0	5	27	40	23	5	1	0	0
95	11	7		-	2							0	2	16	37	31	12	2	0	0
	10	6		-	4							0	1	12	33	34	15	3	0	0
	12	8		-	0							0	3	20	37	29	10	1	0	0
94	11	8		-	1							0	1	8	27	36	22	6	1	0
	10	7		-	3								0	6	23	37	25	8	1	0
93	10	8		-	2								0	2	13	32	33	16	3	0	0	0
	9	7		-	4								0	2	13	31	33	17	4	0	0
92	10	9		-	1								0	1	6	23	36	26	8	1	0	0
	9	8		-	3								0	0	4	17	34	31	12	2	0	0
91	9	9		-	2									0	1	10	28	36	20	4	0	0
	8	8		-	4								0	0	1	9	27	36	21	5	0	0
90	9	10		-	1									0	0	3	16	34	33	12	1	0
89	8	10		-	2									0	0	1	7	25	40	24	3	0
88	8	11		-	1										0	0	2	14	37	37	9	1
87	7	11		-	2											0	1	6	28	45	18	2	0
86	7	12		-	1												0	2	17	47	29	4	0
85	6	12		-	2												0	1	9	41	41	8	0
84	6	13		-	1													0	4	32	50	13	0
83	5	13		-	2														1	21	56	21	1	0
82	5	14		-	1														0	13	56	29	2
81	4	14		-	2														0	6	50	37	6	0
80	4	15		-	1															4	42	37	16	1
79	3	15		-	2																36	44	20
78	3	16		-	1																20	43	29	9
77	2	16		-	2																36	21	43
76	2	17		-	1																		67	33
75	2	18		-	0																		100
71	0	20		-	0																0	1	16	74	9	0

Total:								0	0	0	1	4	16	20	18	14	11	8	5	3	1	0	0	0	0	0