Washington Capitals Playoff Chances 2015-2016

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.02 to 99.97%

70 points 34 24-2

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Washington vs New York	+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0+0.0-0.1		+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2
Tampa vs Toronto			-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0*+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

114		22	0		-	0	In		No		1	87	12	0								645
113		21	0		-	1	In		No			56	44									9
112		21	1		-	0	In		No			46	50	4								46	*
111		20	1		-	1	In		No			43	50	7								121	*
110		19	1		-	2	In		No			27	59	15								469	*
109		19	2		-	1	In		No			15	63	22								1,443	*
108		18	2		-	2	In		No			9	56	34								3,837	*
107		18	3		-	1	In		No			4	50	45								8,555	*
106		17	3		-	2	In		No			2	40	58	0							18,306	*
105		17	4		-	1	In		No			1	30	69	0							35,398	*
104		16	4		-	2	In		No		0	0	22	78	0							63,266	*
103		15	4		-	3	In		No			0	15	85	0							104,289	*
102		15	5		-	2	In		No			0	10	90	0							160,646	*
101		14	5		-	3	In		No			0	6	93	1	0						231,646	*
100		14	6		-	2	In		No				3	94	3	0						315,154	*
99		13	6		-	3	In		No			0	2	93	5	0						189,146
		14	7		-	1	In		No			0	2	93	5	0						211,400	*
98		13	7		-	2	In		No				1	90	9	0	0					250,763
		12	6		-	4	In		No				1	89	10	0	0					230,889	*
97		12	7		-	3	In		No				0	83	16	0						266,827	*
		13	8		-	1	In		No				0	84	16	0	0					275,590	*
96		12	8		-	2	In		No				0	75	24	1	0					299,387
		11	7		-	4	In		No				0	74	25	1	0					283,849	*
95		11	8		-	3	In		No				0	63	34	3	0					279,136
		12	9		-	1	In		No				0	63	34	3	0					308,584	*
94		11	9		-	2	In		No				0	51	43	5	0					287,759
		10	8		-	4	In		No				0	49	45	7	0					275,494	*
93		10	9		-	3	In		No				0	36	52	12	0					240,699
		11	10		-	1	In		No				0	37	51	12	0					267,979	*
92		10	10		-	2	In		No				0	25	54	20	1					225,283
		9	9		-	4	In		No				0	23	54	22	1					213,981	*
91		9	10		-	3	In		No				0	14	51	32	3					354,925	*
90		9	11		-	2	In		No					7	42	44	7					274,453	*
89		8	11		-	3	100.0	%	No					3	31	52	13	0				199,085	*
88		8	12		-	2	100.0		No					1	20	55	23	0				138,150	*
87		7	12		-	3	99.9		No					0	12	52	36	0				89,994	*
86		7	13		-	2	99.8		No					0	6	45	49	0				55,987	*
85		6	13		-	3	99.6		No					0	3	35	62	0				32,283	*
84		6	14		-	2	98.9		No					0	1	26	72	1				17,914	*
83		6	15		-	1	97.9		No						0	17	80	2				9,037	*
82		5	15		-	2	95.7		No						0	10	86	4				4,464	*
81		5	16		-	1	92.5		No						0	6	86	7				2,004	*
80		4	16		-	2	87.0		No							2	85	13				855	*
79		4	17		-	1	80.9		No							0	81	19				335	*
78		3	17		-	2	75.0		No								75	25				120	*
77		3	18		-	1	60.8		No							2	59	39				51	*
76		1	17		-	4	70.0		No								70	30				10	*
75		1	18		-	3	33.3		No								33	67				3	*
71	-73						Out		No									100				2	*
70		0	22		-	0	6.4		No								6	81	12	0		644

Total:							100.0	%	No		0	0	2	57	27	11	3	0	0	0		6,230,912

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Winnipeg 5 Detroit 3	+0.0
New York 4 Los Angeles 3 (so)	-0.0
Edmonton 6 Vancouver 3	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Washington vs New York	-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.3+0.3+0.7
Tampa vs Toronto	+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

114		22	0		-	0		1	73	24	3
113		21	0		-	1			33	56	11
112		21	1		-	0			30	41	22	7
111		20	1		-	1			17	47	30	6
110		19	1		-	2			6	36	38	17	3	0
109		19	2		-	1			3	22	43	26	6	0
108		18	2		-	2			1	12	35	38	13	1
107		18	3		-	1			0	5	24	42	25	4
106		17	3		-	2			0	1	13	38	37	10	0
105		17	4		-	1			0	0	6	28	45	20	1
104		16	4		-	2				0	2	18	46	33	2	0
103		15	4		-	3				0	1	9	39	46	5	0
102		15	5		-	2				0	0	4	29	56	11	0	0
101		14	5		-	3					0	1	18	58	20	2	0
100		14	6		-	2					0	0	10	53	32	5	0	0
99		13	6		-	3					0	0	4	41	42	12	1	0	0
		14	7		-	1						0	4	42	41	11	1	0
98		13	7		-	2						0	2	29	46	20	3	0	0	0
		12	6		-	4						0	1	25	45	23	4	0	0
97		12	7		-	3						0	0	13	40	34	11	1	0	0
		13	8		-	1						0	1	18	44	30	7	1	0
96		12	8		-	2						0	0	8	32	38	18	3	0	0
		11	7		-	4							0	5	25	40	24	6	1	0
95		11	8		-	3							0	2	16	36	32	12	2	0	0
		12	9		-	1							0	2	17	36	31	12	2	0	0
94		11	9		-	2							0	1	8	27	36	22	6	1	0
		10	8		-	4							0	0	5	23	37	26	8	1	0	0
93		10	9		-	3							0	0	2	13	32	34	16	3	0	0
		11	10		-	1								0	3	14	32	33	15	3	0	0
92		10	10		-	2								0	1	6	22	36	26	8	1	0
		9	9		-	4								0	0	5	19	35	29	11	2	0
91		9	10		-	3								0	0	1	10	28	36	20	5	0
90		9	11		-	2									0	0	3	16	34	33	12	1
89		8	11		-	3									0	0	1	7	25	39	24	4	0
88		8	12		-	2										0	0	2	14	36	37	11	0
87		7	12		-	3											0	1	6	27	45	21	0
86		7	13		-	2											0	0	2	16	46	35	0	0
85		6	13		-	3												0	1	8	40	51	0	0
84		6	14		-	2													0	3	31	65	1	0
83		6	15		-	1													0	1	20	76	2	0
82		5	15		-	2														0	12	83	3	1
81		5	16		-	1														0	7	85	5	2	0
80		4	16		-	2															3	84	8	5	0
79		4	17		-	1															0	81	13	6
78		3	17		-	2																75	5	18	2
77		3	18		-	1															2	59	10	27	2
76		1	17		-	4																70	10	10	10
75		1	18		-	3																33		33	33
71	-73																								100
70		0	22		-	0																6	0	18	66	9	0

Total:								0	0	0	0	1	4	15	18	16	14	11	9	6	4	2	0	0	0	0	0