New Orleans Tokin Saints Playoff Chances 2015-2016

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 99.9999%

85 points 42 17-1

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Philadelphia 3 Miami 4 (ot)	-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Tampa vs Toronto	+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
San Jose vs New Orleans	-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.2		-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Miami vs Hamilton	-0.0-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the New Orleans finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

129	22	0		-	0	In		83.4	%	83	5	12										739
128	21	0		-	1	In		62.3		62	10	27										371
127	21	1		-	0	In		49.8		50	15	35										1,851	*
126	20	1		-	1	In		33.5		33	19	48										4,794	*
125	19	1		-	2	In		22.3		22	19	58										13,912	*
124	19	2		-	1	In		12.1		12	19	69										28,361	*
123	18	2		-	2	In		6.4		6	15	78										58,598	*
122	18	3		-	1	In		2.9		3	11	86	0									98,603	*
121	17	3		-	2	In		1.3		1	8	91	0									166,095	*
120	17	4		-	1	In		0.5		0	5	95	0									238,131	*
119	16	4		-	2	In		0.2		0	3	97	0									192,665
	17	5		-	0	In		0.2		0	3	97	0									144,429	*
118	16	5		-	1	In		0.0		0	2	98	0									238,873
	15	4		-	3	In		0.0		0	2	98	0									181,352	*
117	15	5		-	2	In		0.0		0	1	99	0									291,562
	16	6		-	0	In		0.0		0	1	99	0									221,058	*
116	15	6		-	1	In		0.0		0	0	99	1									302,408
	14	5		-	3	In		0.0		0	0	99	1									261,777	*
115	14	6		-	2	In		No			0	97	2									356,841	*
	15	7		-	0	In		0.0		0	0	97	2									250,267	*
114	14	7		-	1	In		0.0		0	0	96	4									306,433
	13	6		-	3	In		No			0	95	5									287,521	*
113	13	7		-	2	In		No			0	92	8	0								319,095
	14	8		-	0	In		No			0	92	8	0								118,214
	12	6		-	4	In		No			0	92	8	0								129,443	*
112	13	8		-	1	In		No			0	88	12	0								247,336
	12	7		-	3	In		No			0	87	13	0								248,864	*
111	12	8		-	2	In		No			0	81	19	0								238,499
	11	7		-	4	In		No			0	81	19	0								186,994	*
110	12	9		-	1	In		No			0	73	27	0								164,723
	11	8		-	3	In		No			0	73	27	0								168,882	*
109	11	9		-	2	In		No			0	64	36	0								257,017	*
108	11	10		-	1	In		No			0	54	46	0								182,625	*
107	10	10		-	2	In		No			0	44	56	0								126,671	*
106	10	11		-	1	In		No			0	34	66	0								81,640	*
105	9	11		-	2	In		No			0	25	74	1								51,408	*
104	9	12		-	1	In		No			0	18	80	3	0							29,272	*
103	8	12		-	2	In		No			0	12	83	5	0							16,379	*
102	8	13		-	1	In		No				7	83	9	0							8,526	*
101	7	13		-	2	In		No				4	80	15	0							4,449	*
100	7	14		-	1	In		No				2	72	25	1							2,093	*
99	6	14		-	2	In		No				0	64	33	3							902	*
98	6	15		-	1	In		No				1	50	45	4	0						355	*
97	5	15		-	2	In		No					34	56	10							156	*
96	5	16		-	1	In		No					20	45	33	2						55	*
95	4	16		-	2	In		No					20	40	35	5						20	*
94	4	17		-	1	In		No					14	29	57							7	*
93	3	17		-	2	In		No						100								1
91	2	18		-	2	In		No								100						1
85	0	22		-	0	99.4	%	No							2	32	65	1				644

Total:						100.0	%	0.3	%	0	1	87	12	0	0	0	0	0				6,230,912

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Monday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
San Jose vs New Orleans	+0.2+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.2

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

129	22	0		-	0	83	16	1
128	21	0		-	1	62	33	4
127	21	1		-	0	50	43	7
126	20	1		-	1	33	51	15
125	19	1		-	2	22	52	25
124	19	2		-	1	12	50	38
123	18	2		-	2	6	41	53	0
122	18	3		-	1	3	31	66	0
121	17	3		-	2	1	22	76	0
120	17	4		-	1	0	15	85	0	0
119	16	4		-	2	0	9	90	1	0
	17	5		-	0	0	9	90	1
118	16	5		-	1	0	5	93	2	0
	15	4		-	3	0	5	93	2	0
117	15	5		-	2	0	3	93	4	0
	16	6		-	0	0	3	92	5	0
116	15	6		-	1	0	1	90	9	0
	14	5		-	3	0	1	89	10	0	0
115	14	6		-	2		1	83	16	1	0
	15	7		-	0	0	1	82	16	1	0
114	14	7		-	1	0	0	74	24	2	0
	13	6		-	3		0	71	27	2	0	0
113	13	7		-	2		0	60	35	5	0
	14	8		-	0		0	60	35	5	0
	12	6		-	4		0	57	38	5	0	0
112	13	8		-	1		0	46	44	10	1	0
	12	7		-	3		0	43	45	11	1	0
111	12	8		-	2		0	31	49	18	2	0
	11	7		-	4		0	29	49	19	2	0
110	12	9		-	1		0	19	47	29	5	0
	11	8		-	3		0	17	46	31	6	0
109	11	9		-	2			9	38	40	12	1	0
108	11	10		-	1			4	27	44	22	3	0	0
107	10	10		-	2			1	16	42	33	7	0	0
106	10	11		-	1			0	8	33	43	15	0
105	9	11		-	2			0	3	22	46	27	2	0
104	9	12		-	1			0	1	13	42	39	5	0
103	8	12		-	2			0	0	6	33	50	11	1	0
102	8	13		-	1				0	2	20	55	20	3	0
101	7	13		-	2					0	11	48	33	7	1
100	7	14		-	1					0	5	35	42	16	2
99	6	14		-	2					0	2	22	42	28	7	0
98	6	15		-	1						0	11	35	39	12	3	0
97	5	15		-	2							4	22	39	29	4	1
96	5	16		-	1								2	25	40	25	5	2
95	4	16		-	2									20	35	25	20
94	4	17		-	1									14	14	43	14	14
93	3	17		-	2											100
91	2	18		-	2														100
85	0	22		-	0													0	7	36	57	1

Total:						0	4	61	21	9	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0