Edmonton Ice Wolves Playoff Chances 2015-2016

Beat Vancouver 6-3, playoff odds up 0.003 to 99.99%

78 points 37 21-4

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Edmonton 6 Vancouver 3			+0.2
Austin 3 Boston 2	*No
Hamilton 2 Montreal 5	*No

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
San Jose vs New Orleans			-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

118	20	0		-	0	In		No	99	1											1,010
117	19	0		-	1	In		No	98	2	0										1,084
116	19	1		-	0	In		No	94	5	1										4,985	*
115	18	1		-	1	In		No	89	10	2										11,687	*
114	18	2		-	0	In		No	81	16	3										32,015	*
113	17	2		-	1	In		No	71	23	6										60,007	*
112	16	2		-	2	In		No	59	30	11										118,232	*
111	16	3		-	1	In		No	46	38	16	0									181,718	*
110	15	3		-	2	In		No	33	43	24	0									157,651
	16	4		-	0	In		No	34	42	24	0									129,023	*
109	15	4		-	1	In		No	24	44	32	0									243,231
	14	3		-	3	In		No	20	46	34	0									131,642	*
108	14	4		-	2	In		No	14	44	42	0									277,431
	15	5		-	0	In		No	14	44	42	0									217,325	*
107	14	5		-	1	In		No	8	39	52	0									344,836
	13	4		-	3	In		No	7	39	53	1									217,706	*
106	13	5		-	2	In		No	4	33	62	1	0								359,345
	14	6		-	0	In		No	5	34	61	1	0								178,394
	12	4		-	4	In		No	3	31	65	2									98,495	*
105	13	6		-	1	In		No	2	26	69	3	0								370,397
	12	5		-	3	In		No	1	24	70	4	0								260,777	*
104	12	6		-	2	In		No	1	18	74	8	0	0							352,113
	13	7		-	0	In		No	1	19	75	6	0								172,955	*
	11	5		-	4	In		No	1	16	74	9	0	0							98,019
103	12	7		-	1	In		No	0	12	75	12	0	0							313,148
	11	6		-	3	In		No	0	11	73	16	1	0							234,353	*
102	11	7		-	2	In		No	0	7	69	23	1	0							269,935
	12	8		-	0	In		No	0	8	73	18	1	0							121,267
	10	6		-	4	In		No	0	5	65	27	2	0							85,513	*
101	11	8		-	1	In		No	0	4	62	31	3	0							210,333	*
	10	7		-	3	In		No	0	3	56	36	5	0	0						161,419	*
100	10	8		-	2	In		No	0	2	46	44	8	0	0						162,268
	11	9		-	0	In		No	0	2	48	42	8	0	0						124,332	*
99	10	9		-	1	In		No		1	36	48	14	1	0						111,074
	9	8		-	3	In		No		1	28	50	20	2	0						87,303	*
98	9	9		-	2	In		No		0	20	48	27	5	0	0					136,673	*
97	9	10		-	1	In		No		0	10	40	37	11	1	0					84,011	*
96	8	10		-	2	In		No		0	5	28	42	21	3	0					51,301	*
95	8	11		-	1	In		No			2	17	40	33	9	1					27,965	*
94	7	11		-	2	In		No			1	8	31	41	18	2					15,671	*
93	7	12		-	1	In		No			0	3	20	42	30	6					7,350	*
92	6	12		-	2	In		No				1	10	36	40	13					3,657	*
91	6	13		-	1	In		No				0	4	24	48	23					1,568	*
90	5	13		-	2	In		No					1	13	48	38					670	*
89	5	14		-	1	In		No						9	37	54					242	*
88	4	14		-	2	99.0	%	No						4	28	67	1				103	*
87	4	15		-	1	In		No							19	81					26	*
86	4	16		-	0	In		No							17	83					6	*
85	3	16		-	1	In		No								100					2	*
78	0	20		-	0	32.6		No								33	58	9			644

Total:						100.0	%	No	9	23	52	12	3	1	0	0	0	0			6,230,912

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Edmonton 6 Vancouver 3	-0.3

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
San Jose vs New Orleans	+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

118	20	0		-	0		4	85	11	0
117	19	0		-	1		2	76	21	0
116	19	1		-	0		1	64	33	2
115	18	1		-	1		0	51	44	5	0
114	18	2		-	0		0	38	52	10	0	0
113	17	2		-	1		0	24	55	19	2	0
112	16	2		-	2		0	14	51	30	5	0
111	16	3		-	1		0	7	41	41	11	1
110	15	3		-	2			3	28	46	21	2	0
	16	4		-	0			4	31	45	18	2
109	15	4		-	1			1	19	45	30	5	0
	14	3		-	3			1	15	43	35	7	0
108	14	4		-	2			0	9	37	42	12	0	0
	15	5		-	0			0	9	37	41	12	0
107	14	5		-	1			0	4	28	47	21	0	0
	13	4		-	3			0	3	24	48	24	0
106	13	5		-	2			0	1	16	47	34	1	0
	14	6		-	0			0	2	18	48	32	1
	12	4		-	4			0	1	12	45	40	1	0
105	13	6		-	1			0	0	9	41	47	2	0
	12	5		-	3			0	0	7	39	49	3	0	0
104	12	6		-	2			0	0	4	31	58	7	0
	13	7		-	0			0	0	5	33	57	5	0	0
	11	5		-	4				0	3	26	61	9	0	0
103	12	7		-	1				0	2	22	64	12	1	0
	11	6		-	3				0	1	18	64	16	1	0
102	11	7		-	2				0	0	11	62	24	2	0
	12	8		-	0				0	1	13	65	20	2	0
	10	6		-	4				0	0	9	59	28	3	0	0
101	11	8		-	1				0	0	6	55	33	5	0	0
	10	7		-	3					0	4	49	38	8	1	0
100	10	8		-	2					0	2	38	44	14	2	0	0
	11	9		-	0					0	2	40	43	13	2	0
99	10	9		-	1					0	1	26	45	23	5	0	0
	9	8		-	3					0	0	21	45	27	6	1	0	0
98	9	9		-	2					0	0	13	38	34	13	2	0	0
97	9	10		-	1						0	5	25	38	24	7	1	0
96	8	10		-	2						0	2	13	32	33	16	4	0	0
95	8	11		-	1							0	5	19	34	28	11	2	0	0
94	7	11		-	2							0	1	9	25	34	23	8	1	0
93	7	12		-	1								0	2	13	30	32	18	5	0
92	6	12		-	2									1	5	18	32	29	14	2	0
91	6	13		-	1									0	1	8	24	34	26	7	0
90	5	13		-	2										0	3	12	29	34	19	2
89	5	14		-	1												4	22	40	28	6
88	4	14		-	2												2	9	37	42	10	1
87	4	15		-	1													4	23	46	27
86	4	16		-	0															83	17
85	3	16		-	1															100
78	0	20		-	0																33	48	18	2

Total:							0	1	7	15	26	34	11	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0