Boston Bruins Playoff Chances 2015-2016

Lost to Austin 2-3, playoff odds down 2.6 to 2.8%

54 points 26 33-2

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Austin 3 Boston 2	-2.3
Philadelphia 3 Miami 4 (ot)	-0.5

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Boston vs Montreal	+0.7+0.7+0.7-0.5-0.6-1.3		+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Tampa vs Toronto	-0.1-0.2-0.1-0.0*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

96	21	0		-	0	In		No				0	66	32	2						644
93	19	1		-	1	In		No						25	50	25					4	*
92	18	1		-	2	In		No					23	38	27	12					26	*
91	18	2		-	1	97.2	%	No					7	28	42	21	3				107	*
90	17	2		-	2	96.1		No					2	20	44	31	4				333	*
89	16	2		-	3	93.1		No					1	9	40	43	7				978	*
88	16	3		-	2	85.0		No					0	5	30	51	15				2,616	*
87	15	3		-	3	75.9		No					0	2	20	54	24				5,861	*
86	15	4		-	2	62.8		No						0	11	51	37				12,852	*
85	14	4		-	3	50.2		No						0	6	44	50				25,543	*
84	14	5		-	2	37.4		No						0	2	35	63				46,509	*
83	13	5		-	3	26.4		No						0	1	25	74	0			79,811	*
82	13	6		-	2	18.1		No							0	18	82	0			128,040	*
81	12	6		-	3	11.8		No							0	12	88	0			191,751	*
80	12	7		-	2	7.2		No							0	7	93	0			269,042	*
79	11	7		-	3	4.2		No							0	4	96	0			174,135
	12	8		-	1	4.1		No							0	4	96	0			181,852	*
78	11	8		-	2	2.3		No							0	2	98	0			202,544
	10	7		-	4	2.3		No							0	2	98	0			242,090	*
77	10	8		-	3	1.2		No							0	1	99	0			520,746	*
76	10	9		-	2	0.6		No							0	1	99	0			262,152
	9	8		-	4	0.6		No								1	99	0			315,229	*
75	9	9		-	3	0.3		No							0	0	99	0			291,950
	10	10		-	1	0.3		No								0	99	0	0		161,759
	8	8		-	5	0.3		No								0	99	1	0		146,655	*
74	9	10		-	2	0.2		No								0	99	1	0		271,805
	8	9		-	4	0.1		No								0	99	1	0		321,239	*
73	8	10		-	3	0.1		No								0	98	2	0		268,774
	9	11		-	1	0.1		No								0	97	3	0		283,770	*
72	8	11		-	2	0.0		No								0	96	4	0		226,968
	7	10		-	4	0.0		No								0	95	5	0		257,720	*
71	7	11		-	3	0.0		No								0	92	8	0		195,747
	8	12		-	1	0.0		No								0	92	8	0		205,175	*
70	7	12		-	2	0.0		No								0	88	12	0		151,964
	6	11		-	4	0.0		No								0	85	15	0		161,617	*
69	6	12		-	3	0.0		No								0	78	21	1		229,749	*
68	6	13		-	2	0.0		No								0	68	30	2		158,693	*
67	5	13		-	3	0.0		No								0	56	39	5		102,391	*
66	5	14		-	2	0.0		No								0	43	48	9	0	62,063	*
65	4	14		-	3	0.0		No								0	30	54	16		35,173	*
64	4	15		-	2	Out		No									20	55	25	0	18,559	*
63	3	15		-	3	Out		No									12	51	37	0	8,881	*
62	3	16		-	2	Out		No									7	44	50	0	4,124	*
61	3	17		-	1	Out		No									2	33	64	1	1,687	*
60	2	17		-	2	Out		No									1	27	72	1	661	*
59	2	18		-	1	Out		No									1	17	79	4	196	*
58	1	18		-	2	Out		No										5	92	3	60	*
57	1	19		-	1	Out		No											89	11	19	*
56	1	20		-	0	Out		No											75	25	4	*
54	0	21		-	0	Out		No										0	67	33	644

Total:						2.8	%	No				0	0	0	0	3	92	5	1	0	6,230,912

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Austin 3 Boston 2	+0.2
Winnipeg 5 Detroit 3	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Boston vs Montreal	-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
Chicago vs Austin	+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

96	21	0		-	0								18	47	24	9	1
93	19	1		-	1											50	25	25
92	18	1		-	2										4	27	35	27	8
91	18	2		-	1										2	11	23	31	21	9		3
90	17	2		-	2										0	2	13	26	32	20	3	4
89	16	2		-	3											0	3	16	32	34	8	7
88	16	3		-	2											0	1	6	22	36	19	15
87	15	3		-	3											0	0	2	12	34	29	24	0
86	15	4		-	2												0	0	5	24	34	36	1
85	14	4		-	3													0	2	13	35	48	2
84	14	5		-	2														0	6	31	57	5	0
83	13	5		-	3														0	3	24	63	10	0
82	13	6		-	2														0	1	17	64	17	0
81	12	6		-	3														0	0	11	61	27	0
80	12	7		-	2														0	0	7	54	37	1	0
79	11	7		-	3															0	4	46	47	3	0
	12	8		-	1															0	4	45	48	3	0
78	11	8		-	2															0	2	37	55	5	0
	10	7		-	4															0	2	34	58	6	0
77	10	8		-	3															0	1	26	63	10	0
	11	9		-	1															0	1	25	63	10	0
76	10	9		-	2															0	1	18	65	16	0
	9	8		-	4																1	16	66	17	0
75	9	9		-	3															0	0	11	64	25	0
	10	10		-	1																0	10	63	26	0	0
74	9	10		-	2																0	6	58	35	0	0
	8	9		-	4																0	5	57	37	0	0
73	8	10		-	3																0	3	49	47	1	0
	9	11		-	1																0	3	50	46	1	0
	7	9		-	5																0	2	46	50	2	0
72	8	11		-	2																0	2	39	57	2	0
	7	10		-	4																0	1	37	58	3	0
71	7	11		-	3																0	0	28	66	5	0
	8	12		-	1																0	0	28	66	6	0
70	7	12		-	2																0	0	19	71	10	0	0
69	6	12		-	3																0	0	11	70	18	1	0
68	6	13		-	2																0	0	6	64	27	2	0
67	5	13		-	3																0		3	55	37	5	0
66	5	14		-	2																0		1	43	47	10	0
65	4	14		-	3																0		0	29	53	17	1
64	4	15		-	2																		0	19	53	27	1
63	3	15		-	3																		0	11	47	38	4
62	3	16		-	2																			5	38	49	8	0
61	3	17		-	1																			2	27	58	12	0
60	2	17		-	2																			0	18	60	21	0
59	2	18		-	1																			1	10	56	33	2
58	1	18		-	2																				3	45	52
57	1	19		-	1																					42	47	11
56	1	20		-	0																						100
54	0	21		-	0																				0	12	63	25

Total:													0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	18	43	31	4	1	0	0