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El Jefe Title Chances 2017-2018 50/50
Beat Memfrica SC 18-7, title odds up 9.7 to 61.8%
46 points 15-1-4
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 12/23 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | Average seed |
| El Jefe 18 Memfrica SC 7 | +9.4 | +8.0 | +0.3 | |||
| El Jefe 17 OzaukeeBrewMeis 6 | +9.4 | +9.0 | +0.4 | |||
| Stevie G FC 16 Haymar 3 | -2.9 | -1.5 | ||||
| Fergies Futbol 10 Beerguts United 18 | +1.9 | +1.5 | +0.0 | |||
| Gemmill 78s 13 Fergies Futbol 15 | -1.8 | -1.8 | -0.1 | |||
| Fox Meadows Ath 11 FC Derecho 0 | +1.3 | +1.0 | ||||
| WAGS and Wankers 8 Beerguts United 11 | +0.4 | +0.6 | ||||
| Stevie G FC 14 FC Derecho 7 | -0.3 | -0.2 | ||||
| Macho Nacho FC 7 Real Chapala 7 | +0.2 | +0.3 | ||||
| Fox Meadows Ath 20 MCFFFC 0 | -0.2 | -0.3 | ||||
| jarose 1 Memfrica SC 2 | +0.2 | +0.2 | ||||
| WAGS and Wankers 0 OzaukeeBrewMeis 11 | +0.1 | +0.2 | ||||
| jarose 5 AC Frayser 6 | *+0.1 | +0.2 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 12/30 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | Average seed |
| jarose vs El Jefe | -7.7-1.7+9.0 | -5.5-0.8+6.2 | -0.2-0.0+0.2 | |||
| Stevie G FC vs Real Chapala | -4.5+1.2+3.6 | -1.5+0.3+1.3 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Fergies Futbol vs OzaukeeBrewMeis | -1.8+0.6+1.3 | -1.4+0.4+1.1 | ||||
| Gemmill 78s vs FC Derecho | +1.1+0.4-1.5 | +1.0+0.3-1.3 | ||||
| Macho Nacho FC vs AC Frayser | -0.6+0.2+0.4 | -0.7+0.2+0.5 | ||||
| Fox Meadows Ath vs Haymar | -0.1+0.2*-0.0 | -0.2+0.3*-0.1 | ||||
| WAGS and Wankers vs Memfrica SC | -0.2+0.1*+0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the El Jefe finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | UEFA CL | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | ||||
| 88 | -100 | Yes | Yes | 100 | 5,544 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 87 | 13 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 100.0 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | 3,971 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 86 | 12 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 100.0 | Yes | 100 | 0 | 6,830 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 85 | 12 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 100.0 | Yes | 100 | 0 | 11,483 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 84 | 11 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 99.9 | Yes | 100 | 0 | 17,993 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 83 | 11 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 99.9 | Yes | 100 | 0 | 27,954 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 82 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 99.8 | Yes | 100 | 0 | 40,948 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 81 | 10 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 99.7 | Yes | 100 | 0 | 58,535 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 80 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 99.6 | Yes | 100 | 0 | 81,980 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 79 | 10 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 99.3 | 100.0 | % | 99 | 1 | 0 | 109,426 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 78 | 9 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 98.8 | 100.0 | 99 | 1 | 0 | 141,507 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 77 | 9 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 98.1 | 100.0 | 98 | 2 | 0 | 178,516 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 76 | 8 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 96.8 | 100.0 | 97 | 3 | 0 | 217,863 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 75 | 8 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 95.1 | 100.0 | 95 | 5 | 0 | 257,141 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 74 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 92.2 | 99.9 | 92 | 8 | 0 | 168,870 | |||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 7 | - | 4 | 92.9 | 99.9 | 93 | 7 | 0 | 126,114 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 73 | 7 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 88.9 | 99.8 | 89 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 327,981 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 72 | 7 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 83.7 | 99.5 | 84 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 219,846 | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 8 | - | 4 | 84.3 | 99.5 | 84 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 131,985 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 71 | 7 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 76.3 | 98.7 | 76 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 192,886 | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 78.5 | 99.0 | 78 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 174,517 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 70 | 6 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 69.8 | 97.7 | 70 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 209,700 | ||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 3 | - | 8 | 68.1 | 97.3 | 68 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 161,544 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 69 | 6 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 59.1 | 94.9 | 59 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 219,587 | |||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 8 | - | 5 | 60.5 | 95.3 | 60 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 142,978 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 68 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 8 | 46.8 | 89.9 | 47 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 168,124 | |||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 50.5 | 91.5 | 51 | 41 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 175,597 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 67 | 5 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 37.5 | 84.1 | 38 | 47 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 179,991 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 3 | - | 9 | 36.5 | 83.1 | 37 | 47 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 135,570 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 66 | 5 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 26.4 | 73.9 | 26 | 48 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 279,303 | * | |||||||||||||
| 65 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 9 | 16.7 | 60.5 | 17 | 44 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 238,148 | * | |||||||||||||
| 64 | 4 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 9.2 | 45.2 | 9 | 36 | 38 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 196,258 | * | ||||||||||||
| 63 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 9 | 4.4 | 29.9 | 4 | 26 | 40 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 155,913 | * | |||||||||||
| 62 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 10 | 1.6 | 16.4 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 33 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 118,791 | * | |||||||||||
| 61 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 0.5 | 7.3 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 38 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 87,129 | * | ||||||||||
| 60 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 10 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 61,161 | * | ||||||||||
| 59 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 11 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 36 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 41,394 | * | |||||||||
| 58 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | 0.1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 26,734 | * | ||||||||||
| 57 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16,275 | * | |||||||||
| 56 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 33 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 9,156 | * | ||||||||||
| 55 | 1 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 34 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5,006 | * | ||||||||||
| 54 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 31 | 30 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2,540 | * | |||||||||
| 53 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 19 | 31 | 31 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1,150 | * | |||||||||||
| 52 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 14 | No | No | 2 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 523 | * | ||||||||||||
| 51 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 13 | No | No | 1 | 8 | 29 | 33 | 24 | 5 | 186 | * | |||||||||||||
| 50 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 14 | No | No | 23 | 33 | 29 | 9 | 6 | 66 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 49 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 15 | No | No | 5 | 5 | 40 | 40 | 10 | 20 | |||||||||||||||
| 48 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 16 | No | No | 33 | 33 | 33 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||
| 47 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 17 | No | No | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 46 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 18 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 40 | 22 | 2 | 798 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 61.8 | % | 83.5 | % | 62 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5,135,536 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:47 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
