Ball Busters Title Chances Fall2014 50/50

Lost to Real Teal 0-2, title odds down 5.7 to 9%

3 points 1-0-1

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Chances based on how well the Ball Busters finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance				Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	wins title		Top 4		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Count

33	10	-	0	-	0	Yes		Yes		100										2,295
31	9	-	1	-	0	99.9	%	Yes		100	0									2,732
30	9	-	0	-	1	99.5		Yes		99	1									4,173
29	8	-	2	-	0	99.2		Yes		99	1									8,378
28	8	-	1	-	1	97.2		Yes		97	3	0								24,766
27	8	-	0	-	2	95.0		Yes		95	5	0								33,352	*
26	7	-	2	-	1	90.5		Yes		90	9	0								66,446
25	7	-	1	-	2	81.0		Yes		81	18	1	0							99,669
	6	-	4	-	0	83.5		Yes		84	16	1	0							17,065
24	6	-	3	-	1	70.1		Yes		70	28	2	0							102,707
	7	-	0	-	3	68.3		Yes		68	29	3	0							49,766
23	6	-	2	-	2	52.5		100.0	%	52	40	7	0	0						245,469	*
22	6	-	1	-	3	32.7		99.9		33	48	17	2	0						232,260
	5	-	4	-	1	33.7		100.0		34	48	17	2	0						102,702
21	5	-	3	-	2	16.7		99.6		17	45	31	7	0	0					310,529
	6	-	0	-	4	16.5		99.6		17	45	31	7	0	0					94,872	*
20	5	-	2	-	3	5.4		97.0		5	30	42	19	3	0	0				464,214
	4	-	5	-	1	5.2		96.8		5	30	42	20	3	0	0				68,495
19	5	-	1	-	4	0.9		85.5		1	12	36	36	13	2	0	0			347,996
	4	-	4	-	2	0.9		85.3		1	12	36	37	13	2	0				261,297	*
18	4	-	3	-	3	0.1		59.2		0	2	17	39	31	9	1	0	0		515,344
	5	-	0	-	5	0.1		60.6		0	2	18	40	31	8	1	0			104,635
	3	-	6	-	1	0.0		58.5		0	2	16	40	32	9	1	0			30,279
17	4	-	2	-	4	0.0		25.3		0	0	4	21	40	27	6	0	0		579,123
	3	-	5	-	2	0.0		22.7		0	0	3	19	40	30	7	0	0		137,609	*
16	4	-	1	-	5	No		5.5			0	0	5	25	41	24	5	0	0	348,858
	3	-	4	-	3	No		5.0			0	0	5	23	41	25	5	0	0	352,286	*
15	3	-	3	-	4	No		0.5				0	1	7	29	41	20	3	0	515,448
	4	-	0	-	6	No		0.5				0	0	7	30	41	18	2	0	86,649
	2	-	6	-	2	No		0.3				0	0	5	27	42	22	3	0	45,536	*
14	3	-	2	-	5	No		0.0					0	1	10	35	39	14	1	463,976
	2	-	5	-	3	No		0.0					0	1	8	32	41	16	2	138,415	*
13	2	-	4	-	4	No		0.0					0	0	2	15	41	35	7	257,687
	3	-	1	-	6	No		0.0					0	0	2	17	42	33	6	241,105	*
12	2	-	3	-	5	No		No						0	0	5	28	48	19	309,002
	3	-	0	-	7	No		No						0	0	5	30	47	18	49,941
	1	-	6	-	3	No		No							0	4	26	49	22	30,681	*
11	2	-	2	-	6	No		No						0	0	1	13	48	38	232,518
	1	-	5	-	4	No		No							0	1	11	47	41	69,465	*
10	1	-	4	-	5	No		No							0	0	4	36	60	103,764
	2	-	1	-	7	No		No								0	5	38	57	102,610	*
9	1	-	3	-	6	No		No								0	1	24	75	103,229
	2	-	0	-	8	No		No								0	1	24	74	26,417	*
8	1	-	2	-	7	No		No								0	0	13	87	79,269	*
7	1	-	1	-	8	No		No									0	6	94	24,737
	0	-	4	-	6	No		No									0	6	94	17,155
6	0	-	3	-	7	No		No									0	3	97	19,112	*
5	0	-	2	-	8	No		No										1	99	8,352
4	0	-	1	-	9	No		No										0	100	2,860
3	0	-	0	-	10	No		No											100	2,255

Total:						9.0	%	40.3	%	9	10	11	11	11	11	11	10	10	8	7,537,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Win Championship

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10

33	10	-	0	-	0	100
31	9	-	1	-	0	100	0
30	9	-	0	-	1	99	1
29	8	-	2	-	0	99	1
28	8	-	1	-	1	97	3	0
27	8	-	0	-	2	95	5	0
26	7	-	2	-	1	90	9	0
25	7	-	1	-	2	81	18	1	0
	6	-	4	-	0	84	16	1	0
24	6	-	3	-	1	70	28	2	0
	7	-	0	-	3	68	29	3	0
23	6	-	2	-	2	52	40	7	0	0
22	6	-	1	-	3	33	48	17	2	0
	5	-	4	-	1	34	48	17	2	0
21	5	-	3	-	2	17	45	31	7	0	0
	6	-	0	-	4	17	45	31	7	0	0
20	5	-	2	-	3	5	30	42	19	3	0	0
	4	-	5	-	1	5	30	42	20	3	0	0
19	5	-	1	-	4	1	12	36	36	13	2	0	0
	4	-	4	-	2	1	12	36	37	13	2	0
18	4	-	3	-	3	0	2	17	39	31	9	1	0	0
	5	-	0	-	5	0	2	18	40	31	8	1	0
	3	-	6	-	1	0	2	16	40	32	9	1	0
17	4	-	2	-	4	0	0	4	21	40	27	6	0	0
	3	-	5	-	2	0	0	3	19	40	30	7	0	0
16	4	-	1	-	5		0	0	5	25	41	24	5	0	0
	3	-	4	-	3		0	0	5	23	41	25	5	0	0
15	3	-	3	-	4			0	1	7	29	41	20	3	0
	4	-	0	-	6			0	0	7	30	41	18	2	0
	2	-	6	-	2			0	0	5	27	42	22	3	0
14	3	-	2	-	5				0	1	10	35	39	14	1
	2	-	5	-	3				0	1	8	32	41	16	2
13	2	-	4	-	4				0	0	2	15	41	35	7
	3	-	1	-	6				0	0	2	17	42	33	6
12	2	-	3	-	5					0	0	5	28	48	19
	3	-	0	-	7					0	0	5	30	47	18
	1	-	6	-	3						0	4	26	49	22
11	2	-	2	-	6					0	0	1	13	48	38
	1	-	5	-	4						0	1	11	47	41
10	1	-	4	-	5						0	0	4	36	60
	2	-	1	-	7							0	5	38	57
9	1	-	3	-	6							0	1	24	75
	2	-	0	-	8							0	1	24	74
8	1	-	2	-	7							0	0	13	87
7	1	-	1	-	8								0	6	94
	0	-	4	-	6								0	6	94
6	0	-	3	-	7								0	3	97
5	0	-	2	-	8									1	99
4	0	-	1	-	9									0	100
3	0	-	0	-	10										100

Total:						9	10	11	11	11	11	11	10	10	8