BFC Title Chances Fall2014

Lost to Old Timers 4-6, title odds down 1.4 to 0.4%

0 points 0-0-2

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Chances based on how well the BFC finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance				Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	wins title		Top 4		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Count

30		10	-	0	-	0	99.3	%	Yes		99	1									5,711
28		9	-	1	-	0	92.5		Yes		92	8									759
27		9	-	0	-	1	89.4		Yes		89	11									1,469
26		8	-	2	-	0	83.9		Yes		84	16	0								3,064
25		8	-	1	-	1	71.2		Yes		71	27	2	0							11,351
24		8	-	0	-	2	57.0		Yes		57	39	4	0							17,388	*
23		7	-	2	-	1	39.3		Yes		39	49	11	1							39,744
22		7	-	1	-	2	22.6		99.9	%	23	50	24	3	0	0					84,615	*
21		6	-	3	-	1	9.8		99.1		10	41	38	10	1	0					126,164	*
20		6	-	2	-	2	2.7		94.9		3	23	44	25	5	0	0				235,097	*
19		6	-	1	-	3	0.4		80.9		0	8	33	40	17	2	0	0			276,487
		5	-	4	-	1	0.4		80.2		0	8	32	40	17	2	0				105,011
18		5	-	3	-	2	0.0		52.7		0	2	14	37	35	11	1	0			388,269
		6	-	0	-	4	0.0		55.1		0	2	15	39	34	10	1	0			136,663	*
17		5	-	2	-	3	No		22.7			0	3	19	40	29	7	1	0		716,899
		4	-	5	-	1	No		19.8			0	3	17	39	32	9	1	0		91,075
16		5	-	1	-	4	No		5.6			0	0	5	25	41	24	4	0	0	662,450
		4	-	4	-	2	No		4.7			0	0	4	23	41	26	5	0	0	423,822	*
15		4	-	3	-	3	No		0.6				0	1	8	30	41	19	2	0	1,031,515
		5	-	0	-	5	No		0.7				0	1	8	32	40	16	2	0	244,205
		3	-	6	-	1	No		0.4				0	0	6	28	43	21	3	0	52,401
14		4	-	2	-	4	No		0.0				0	0	1	13	38	37	11	0	1,428,213
		3	-	5	-	2	No		0.0					0	1	10	36	40	13	1	290,488	*
13		4	-	1	-	5	No		0.0					0	0	3	21	45	27	3	1,050,230
		3	-	4	-	3	No		No						0	2	19	45	30	4	905,619	*
12		3	-	3	-	4	No		No						0	0	7	35	46	12	1,632,135
		4	-	0	-	6	No		No						0	0	8	37	45	10	321,578
		2	-	6	-	2	No		No						0	0	6	32	49	13	125,210	*
11		3	-	2	-	5	No		No							0	2	19	53	26	1,800,387
		2	-	5	-	3	No		No							0	1	17	53	29	460,827	*
10		3	-	1	-	6	No		No							0	0	8	47	44	1,100,874
		2	-	4	-	4	No		No							0	0	7	46	46	1,080,226	*
9		2	-	3	-	5	No		No								0	2	34	63	1,541,191
		3	-	0	-	7	No		No								0	3	36	62	289,012
		1	-	6	-	3	No		No								0	2	32	66	130,497	*
8		2	-	2	-	6	No		No								0	1	22	78	1,409,953
		1	-	5	-	4	No		No								0	0	20	80	361,731	*
7		2	-	1	-	7	No		No									0	12	88	735,097
		1	-	4	-	5	No		No									0	11	89	671,578	*
6		1	-	3	-	6	No		No									0	5	95	797,968
		2	-	0	-	8	No		No									0	6	94	168,450
		0	-	6	-	4	No		No										4	96	50,656
5		1	-	2	-	7	No		No									0	2	98	622,853
		0	-	5	-	5	No		No										2	98	111,181
4		1	-	1	-	8	No		No										1	99	285,271
		0	-	4	-	6	No		No										0	100	168,795
3		0	-	3	-	7	No		No										0	100	177,267
		1	-	0	-	9	No		No										0	100	57,327
2		0	-	2	-	8	No		No										0	100	120,756
0	-1						No		No											100	62,971	*

Total:							0.4	%	6.0	%	0	1	2	3	4	6	9	14	23	37	22,612,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Win Championship

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10

30		10	-	0	-	0	99	1
28		9	-	1	-	0	92	8
27		9	-	0	-	1	89	11
26		8	-	2	-	0	84	16	0
25		8	-	1	-	1	71	27	2	0
24		8	-	0	-	2	57	39	4	0
23		7	-	2	-	1	39	49	11	1
22		7	-	1	-	2	23	50	24	3	0	0
21		6	-	3	-	1	10	41	38	10	1	0
20		6	-	2	-	2	3	23	44	25	5	0	0
19		6	-	1	-	3	0	8	33	40	17	2	0	0
		5	-	4	-	1	0	8	32	40	17	2	0
18		5	-	3	-	2	0	2	14	37	35	11	1	0
		6	-	0	-	4	0	2	15	39	34	10	1	0
17		5	-	2	-	3		0	3	19	40	29	7	1	0
		4	-	5	-	1		0	3	17	39	32	9	1	0
16		5	-	1	-	4		0	0	5	25	41	24	4	0	0
		4	-	4	-	2		0	0	4	23	41	26	5	0	0
15		4	-	3	-	3			0	1	8	30	41	19	2	0
		5	-	0	-	5			0	1	8	32	40	16	2	0
		3	-	6	-	1			0	0	6	28	43	21	3	0
14		4	-	2	-	4			0	0	1	13	38	37	11	0
		3	-	5	-	2				0	1	10	36	40	13	1
13		4	-	1	-	5				0	0	3	21	45	27	3
		3	-	4	-	3					0	2	19	45	30	4
12		3	-	3	-	4					0	0	7	35	46	12
		4	-	0	-	6					0	0	8	37	45	10
		2	-	6	-	2					0	0	6	32	49	13
11		3	-	2	-	5						0	2	19	53	26
		2	-	5	-	3						0	1	17	53	29
10		3	-	1	-	6						0	0	8	47	44
		2	-	4	-	4						0	0	7	46	46
9		2	-	3	-	5							0	2	34	63
		3	-	0	-	7							0	3	36	62
		1	-	6	-	3							0	2	32	66
8		2	-	2	-	6							0	1	22	78
		1	-	5	-	4							0	0	20	80
7		2	-	1	-	7								0	12	88
		1	-	4	-	5								0	11	89
6		1	-	3	-	6								0	5	95
		2	-	0	-	8								0	6	94
		0	-	6	-	4									4	96
5		1	-	2	-	7								0	2	98
		0	-	5	-	5									2	98
4		1	-	1	-	8									1	99
		0	-	4	-	6									0	100
3		0	-	3	-	7									0	100
		1	-	0	-	9									0	100
2		0	-	2	-	8									0	100
0	-1															100

Total:							0	1	2	3	4	6	9	14	23	37