Kevin Pasquali Playoff Chances 2010

Beat Mike 102.8-92.2, playoff odds up 12.2 to 29.2%

3-2-0 .600

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Kevin finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

12		9	-	0	-	0	In		71	27	0	2									13,552
11	.5	8	-	0	-	1	In		68	27		4									204
11		8	-	1	-	0	100.0	%	34	45	2	19	0								111,537
		7	-	0	-	2	In			100											1
10	.5	7	-	1	-	1	99.8		27	46	5	21	0								1,724
10		7	-	2	-	0	96.6		6	36	9	46	3	0							435,011
		6	-	1	-	2	In			54	8	38									13
9	.5	6	-	2	-	1	90.0		2	30	13	44	10	0							5,959
9		6	-	3	-	0	70.0		0	11	11	48	27	3	0	0					975,455
		5	-	2	-	2	65.1			16	21	28	28	7							43
8	.5	5	-	3	-	1	48.2		0	6	14	28	40	12	0	0					11,407
8		5	-	4	-	0	22.6		0	1	5	16	43	28	6	0	0				1,384,153
		4	-	3	-	2	17.5				4	14	47	28	7						57
7	.5	4	-	4	-	1	7.6			0	4	3	26	46	19	2	0				13,318
7		4	-	5	-	0	2.1			0	1	1	12	36	36	13	2	0	0		1,285,987
		3	-	4	-	2	1.8				2		11	39	32	18					57
6	.5	3	-	5	-	1	0.6				1	0	1	14	41	35	9	1	0		9,971
		2	-	4	-	3	Out									100					1
6		3	-	6	-	0	0.1				0	0	0	4	23	41	26	6	0	0	786,180
		2	-	5	-	2	Out						4		8	62	19	8			26
5	.5	2	-	6	-	1	0.0				0			0	5	28	46	20	2	0	4,563
5		2	-	7	-	0	0.0				0			0	1	11	38	39	11	1	304,388
		1	-	6	-	2	Out									11	56	33			9
4	.5	1	-	7	-	1	Out									1	15	53	28	3	1,170
4		1	-	8	-	0	Out									0	5	36	46	13	67,901
3	.5	0	-	8	-	1	Out											17	52	31	124
3		0	-	9	-	0	Out										0	3	39	58	7,758

Total:							29.2	%	1	6	4	17	19	17	13	10	6	4	1	0	5,420,569

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12

12		9	-	0	-	0	71	27	0	2
11	.5	8	-	0	-	1	68	27		4
11		8	-	1	-	0	34	45	2	19	0
		7	-	0	-	2		100
10	.5	7	-	1	-	1	27	46	5	21	0
10		7	-	2	-	0	6	36	9	46	3	0
		6	-	1	-	2		54	8	38
9	.5	6	-	2	-	1	2	30	13	44	10	0
9		6	-	3	-	0	0	11	11	48	26	4	0	0
		5	-	2	-	2		16	21	28	28	7
8	.5	5	-	3	-	1	0	6	14	28	40	12	0	0
8		5	-	4	-	0	0	1	5	16	42	30	6	0	0
		4	-	3	-	2			4	14	47	28	7
7	.5	4	-	4	-	1		0	4	3	26	46	19	2	0
7		4	-	5	-	0		0	1	1	12	36	36	13	2	0	0
		3	-	4	-	2			2		11	39	32	18
6	.5	3	-	5	-	1			1	0	1	14	41	35	9	1	0
		2	-	4	-	3								100
6		3	-	6	-	0			0	0	0	4	23	41	26	6	0	0
		2	-	5	-	2					4		8	62	19	8
5	.5	2	-	6	-	1			0			0	5	28	46	20	2	0
5		2	-	7	-	0			0			0	1	11	38	39	11	1
		1	-	6	-	2								11	56	33
4	.5	1	-	7	-	1								1	15	53	28	3
4		1	-	8	-	0								0	5	36	46	13
3	.5	0	-	8	-	1										17	52	31
3		0	-	9	-	0									0	3	39	58

Total:							1	6	4	17	19	18	13	10	6	4	1	0