Hung Truong Playoff Chances 2010

Beat Brian 138.1-105.3, playoff odds up 4.7 to 13.5%

2-3-0 .400

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Hung finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

11		9	-	0	-	0	100.0	%	75	18	0	6	0								12,249
10	.5	8	-	0	-	1	In		38	42	11	9									206
10		8	-	1	-	0	97.8		21	43	11	23	2	0							102,251
		7	-	0	-	2	In			40	20	40									5
9	.5	7	-	1	-	1	96.4		4	36	32	25	4	0							1,644
9		7	-	2	-	0	74.6		1	18	25	30	22	3	0						411,194
		6	-	1	-	2	58.3			17	17	25	42								12
8	.5	6	-	2	-	1	60.7		0	6	33	22	30	8	0						5,826
8		6	-	3	-	0	26.6		0	2	16	9	35	30	8	1	0				944,042
		5	-	2	-	2	42.5			3	33	8	25	25	8						40
7	.5	5	-	3	-	1	14.1			0	12	2	20	40	23	3	0				11,255
7		5	-	4	-	0	3.8			0	3	0	7	31	40	16	2	0	0		1,370,874
		4	-	3	-	2	Out						14	31	36	19	2				59
6	.5	4	-	4	-	1	1.4				1		1	11	40	37	9	1			13,576
6		4	-	5	-	0	0.2				0	0	0	3	23	42	26	5	0	0	1,306,406
		3	-	4	-	2	Out								22	36	38	4			45
5	.5	3	-	5	-	1	0.0				0			0	5	28	47	19	1	0	10,137
5		3	-	6	-	0	0.0				0			0	1	14	42	35	7	0	817,408
		2	-	5	-	2	Out									10	43	40	7		30
4	.5	2	-	6	-	1	Out									2	21	53	23	2	4,763
4		2	-	7	-	0	Out								0	0	11	46	37	6	324,970
		1	-	6	-	2	Out											57	43		7
3	.5	1	-	7	-	1	Out										1	24	54	21	1,196
3		1	-	8	-	0	Out										0	15	53	31	73,705
2	.5	0	-	8	-	1	Out											4	43	53	152
2		0	-	9	-	0	Out											2	31	67	8,517

Total:							13.5	%	1	3	6	5	10	14	17	17	14	10	4	1	5,420,569

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12

11		9	-	0	-	0	75	18	0	6	0
10	.5	8	-	0	-	1	38	42	11	9
10		8	-	1	-	0	21	43	11	23	2	0
		7	-	0	-	2		40	20	40
9	.5	7	-	1	-	1	4	36	32	25	4	0
9		7	-	2	-	0	1	18	25	30	22	4	0
		6	-	1	-	2		17	17	25	42
8	.5	6	-	2	-	1	0	6	33	22	30	8	0
8		6	-	3	-	0	0	2	16	9	34	32	8	1	0
		5	-	2	-	2		3	33	8	20	30	8
7	.5	5	-	3	-	1		0	12	2	20	40	23	3	0
7		5	-	4	-	0		0	3	0	7	31	40	16	2	0	0
		4	-	3	-	2					14	31	36	19	2
6	.5	4	-	4	-	1			1		1	11	40	37	9	1
6		4	-	5	-	0			0	0	0	3	23	42	26	5	0	0
		3	-	4	-	2							22	36	38	4
5	.5	3	-	5	-	1			0			0	5	28	47	19	1	0
5		3	-	6	-	0			0			0	1	14	42	35	7	0
		2	-	5	-	2								10	43	40	7
4	.5	2	-	6	-	1								2	21	53	23	2
4		2	-	7	-	0							0	0	11	46	37	6
		1	-	6	-	2										57	43
3	.5	1	-	7	-	1									1	24	54	21
3		1	-	8	-	0									0	15	53	31
2	.5	0	-	8	-	1										4	43	53
2		0	-	9	-	0										2	31	67

Total:							1	3	6	5	9	14	17	17	14	10	4	1