Don Jones Playoff Chances 2010Beat Richard 102-87.4, playoff odds up 1.2 to 3.3% 2-3-0 .400 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 10/11 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Don 102 Richard 87.4 | +1.2 | | +0.6 | | Roger 121.1 Ryan 101.5 | +0.2 | | | | Chris 109.4 Candice 70.3 | -0.1 | | +0.0 | | Mike 92.2 Kevin 102.8 | +0.1 | | | | Eric 106.7 Jhovene 43.7 | -0.1 | | | | Brian 105.3 Hung 138.1 | | | -0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 10/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Candice vs Don | -2.0+0.9+1.8 | | -0.7+0.1+0.6 | | Mike vs Brian | -0.3*+0.6+0.6 | | | | Kevin vs Jhovene | -0.4*+0.4+0.5 | | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | | Ryan vs Eric | -0.2*+0.0+0.2 | | | | Roger vs Chris | +0.2*+0.1-0.1 | | | | Richard vs Hung | +0.1*+0.2-0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Don finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 99.9 | % | 75 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 0 | | | | | | | | 3,087 | | 10 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 48 | 29 | | 23 | | | | | | | | | 31 | | 10 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 95.3 | | 19 | 31 | 4 | 41 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | 25,040 | | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 50 | | | 50 | | | | | | | | | 2 | | 9 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 93.4 | | 4 | 32 | 13 | 44 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | 483 | | 9 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 59.7 | | 1 | 12 | 8 | 39 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 145,239 | | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 50.0 | | 25 | | | 25 | 50 | | | | | | | | 4 | | 8 | .5 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 43.8 | | 0 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 41 | 14 | 1 | | | | | | 2,454 | | 8 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 12.1 | | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 39 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | 482,302 | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | 14 | 57 | 29 | | | | | | 7 | | 7 | .5 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 5.0 | | | 0 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 44 | 27 | 4 | 0 | | | | 6,954 | | 7 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0.5 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 42 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | 1,016,356 | | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | 19 | 49 | 21 | 11 | | | | 47 | | 6 | .5 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0.2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 41 | 14 | 1 | | | 12,241 | | 6 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 40 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1,407,439 | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | 13 | 32 | 42 | 13 | | | 60 | | 5 | .5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 24 | 48 | 24 | 2 | | 13,418 | | 5 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 42 | 41 | 5 | 0 | 1,279,605 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | 8 | 45 | 41 | 6 | | 49 | | 4 | .5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | 1 | 18 | 55 | 23 | 2 | 8,932 | | 4 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 11 | 55 | 30 | 3 | 734,980 | | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | 10 | 62 | 28 | | 29 | | 3 | .5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 27 | 53 | 19 | 3,398 | | 3 | | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 24 | 54 | 22 | 241,981 | | | 0 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 67 | 33 | 3 | | 2 | .5 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 38 | 57 | 554 | | 2 | | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 36 | 61 | 35,874 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 3.3 | % | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 18 | 22 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 5,420,569 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 10/11 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Don 102 Richard 87.4 | -0.6 | | Chris 109.4 Candice 70.3 | -0.0 | | Brian 105.3 Hung 138.1 | +0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 10/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Candice vs Don | +0.7-0.1-0.6 | | Kevin vs Jhovene | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 75 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 0 | | | | | | | | 10 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 48 | 29 | | 23 | | | | | | | | | 10 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 19 | 31 | 4 | 41 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 50 | | | 50 | | | | | | | | | 9 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 4 | 32 | 13 | 44 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | 9 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 39 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 25 | | | 25 | 50 | | | | | | | | 8 | .5 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 41 | 14 | 1 | | | | | | 8 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 38 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | | | | | 14 | 57 | 29 | | | | | | 7 | .5 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | | 0 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 44 | 27 | 4 | 0 | | | | 7 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 43 | 25 | 5 | 0 | | | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | | | | | | 19 | 49 | 21 | 11 | | | | 6 | .5 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 41 | 14 | 1 | | | 6 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 40 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | | | | | | | 13 | 32 | 42 | 13 | | | 5 | .5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 24 | 48 | 24 | 2 | | 5 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 42 | 41 | 5 | 0 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | 8 | 45 | 41 | 6 | | 4 | .5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 1 | 18 | 55 | 23 | 2 | 4 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 11 | 55 | 30 | 3 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | 10 | 62 | 28 | | 3 | .5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 27 | 53 | 19 | 3 | | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 24 | 54 | 22 | | 0 | - | 7 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | 67 | 33 | 2 | .5 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 38 | 57 | 2 | | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 36 | 61 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 18 | 22 | 21 | 8 | 2 |
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