"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
Dummkopf HSV Playoff Chances Season1 50/50
Lost to coronas 23-29, playoff odds down 4.2 to 73.5%
11 points 5-1-2
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Sunday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | USA II | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Dummkopf HSV 23 coronas 29 | -4.4 | +2.2 | -0.5 | |||
| San Crispino 27 Manchester HC 33 | +0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||||
| Tuesday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | USA II | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Bedford Mules vs Dummkopf HSV | -4.9-4.8+4.5+4.9 | +2.5+2.4-2.2-2.5 | -0.5-0.5+0.5+0.5 | |||
| Hanover Fisters vs Louisiana Ragin | -0.2*-0.1*+0.2+0.2 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Dummkopf HSV finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | USA II | Count | ||||
| 79 | -99 | In | 100 | No | 990 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 77 | 33 | - | 0 | - | 11 | In | 100 | 0 | No | 1,140 | ||||||||||||||||
| 75 | 32 | - | 0 | - | 12 | In | 100 | 0 | No | 3,279 | ||||||||||||||||
| 73 | 31 | - | 0 | - | 13 | In | 99 | 1 | No | 8,033 | ||||||||||||||||
| 71 | 30 | - | 0 | - | 14 | In | 97 | 3 | 0 | No | 17,806 | |||||||||||||||
| 69 | 29 | - | 0 | - | 15 | In | 94 | 6 | 0 | No | 35,463 | |||||||||||||||
| 67 | 28 | - | 0 | - | 16 | In | 85 | 14 | 0 | 0 | No | 64,115 | ||||||||||||||
| 65 | 27 | - | 0 | - | 17 | In | 70 | 27 | 3 | 0 | No | 105,679 | ||||||||||||||
| 63 | 26 | - | 0 | - | 18 | In | 48 | 41 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 158,390 | ||||||||||||
| 61 | 25 | - | 0 | - | 19 | In | 23 | 45 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 216,786 | |||||||||||
| 59 | 24 | - | 0 | - | 20 | In | 6 | 28 | 39 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 271,894 | ||||||||||
| 57 | 23 | - | 0 | - | 21 | 100.0 | % | 1 | 7 | 25 | 37 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 310,854 | ||||||
| 55 | 22 | - | 0 | - | 22 | 99.9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 35 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 324,624 | ||||||||
| 53 | 21 | - | 0 | - | 23 | 95.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 36 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.5 | 310,187 | |||||||
| 51 | 20 | - | 0 | - | 24 | 56.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21.6 | 271,318 | |||||||
| 49 | 19 | - | 0 | - | 25 | 11.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 36 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 44.4 | 216,961 | |||||||
| 47 | 18 | - | 0 | - | 26 | 0.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 37 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 49.7 | 158,493 | |||||||||
| 45 | 17 | - | 0 | - | 27 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 39 | 29 | 7 | 50.0 | 106,077 | |||||||||||
| 43 | 16 | - | 0 | - | 28 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 45 | 24 | 50.0 | 64,361 | |||||||||||
| 41 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 29 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 40 | 49 | 50.0 | 35,591 | ||||||||||||
| 39 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 30 | Out | 0 | 2 | 25 | 72 | 50.0 | 17,915 | ||||||||||||||
| 37 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 31 | Out | 0 | 0 | 13 | 87 | 50.0 | 7,926 | ||||||||||||||
| 35 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 32 | Out | 0 | 6 | 94 | 50.0 | 3,363 | |||||||||||||||
| 33 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 33 | Out | 2 | 98 | 50.0 | 1,209 | ||||||||||||||||
| 31 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 34 | Out | 2 | 98 | 50.0 | 396 | ||||||||||||||||
| 29 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 35 | Out | 1 | 99 | 49.6 | 125 | ||||||||||||||||
| 11 | -27 | Out | 100 | 49.9 | 521 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 73.5 | % | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13.3 | % | 2,713,496 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:33 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
