Cataclysm Playoff Chances Season1 50/50
Beat Bedford Mules 35-25, playoff odds up 5.5 to 67.8%
10 points 5-0-3
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Sunday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | USA II | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cataclysm 35 Bedford Mules 25 | +5.6 | -2.8 | +0.6 | |||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||||
| Tuesday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | USA II | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Microwave Repai vs Cataclysm | -5.3-4.8+5.0+5.3 | +2.7+2.4-2.5-2.6 | -0.5-0.5+0.5+0.5 | |||
| Hanover Fisters vs Louisiana Ragin | -0.1*-0.3*+0.1+0.1 | |||||
| Manchester HC vs Beer and Pizza | +0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Cataclysm finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | USA II | Count | ||||
| 78 | -98 | In | 100 | No | 1,037 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 76 | 33 | - | 0 | - | 11 | In | 100 | 0 | No | 1,202 | ||||||||||||||||
| 74 | 32 | - | 0 | - | 12 | In | 99 | 1 | No | 3,274 | ||||||||||||||||
| 72 | 31 | - | 0 | - | 13 | In | 98 | 2 | No | 8,155 | ||||||||||||||||
| 70 | 30 | - | 0 | - | 14 | In | 96 | 4 | 0 | No | 17,789 | |||||||||||||||
| 68 | 29 | - | 0 | - | 15 | In | 90 | 10 | 0 | 0 | No | 35,569 | ||||||||||||||
| 66 | 28 | - | 0 | - | 16 | In | 78 | 21 | 1 | 0 | No | 64,240 | ||||||||||||||
| 64 | 27 | - | 0 | - | 17 | In | 59 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 106,077 | |||||||||||||
| 62 | 26 | - | 0 | - | 18 | In | 34 | 45 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 158,107 | ||||||||||||
| 60 | 25 | - | 0 | - | 19 | In | 12 | 37 | 35 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 216,993 | |||||||||||
| 58 | 24 | - | 0 | - | 20 | In | 2 | 15 | 35 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 271,553 | ||||||||||
| 56 | 23 | - | 0 | - | 21 | 100.0 | % | 0 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 34 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 310,938 | ||||||
| 54 | 22 | - | 0 | - | 22 | 98.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 35 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.6 | 324,264 | |||||||
| 52 | 21 | - | 0 | - | 23 | 78.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 33 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10.7 | 310,498 | |||||||
| 50 | 20 | - | 0 | - | 24 | 27.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 35 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 36.4 | 272,148 | ||||||||
| 48 | 19 | - | 0 | - | 25 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 32 | 33 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 48.5 | 216,910 | ||||||||
| 46 | 18 | - | 0 | - | 26 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 37 | 19 | 3 | 49.9 | 158,530 | ||||||||||
| 44 | 17 | - | 0 | - | 27 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 40 | 15 | 50.0 | 105,357 | |||||||||||
| 42 | 16 | - | 0 | - | 28 | Out | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 44 | 39 | 50.0 | 64,274 | ||||||||||||
| 40 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 29 | Out | 0 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 63 | 50.0 | 35,436 | |||||||||||||
| 38 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 30 | Out | 0 | 1 | 19 | 80 | 50.0 | 17,696 | ||||||||||||||
| 36 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 31 | Out | 0 | 9 | 91 | 50.0 | 8,017 | |||||||||||||||
| 34 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 32 | Out | 3 | 97 | 50.0 | 3,268 | ||||||||||||||||
| 32 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 33 | Out | 2 | 98 | 50.0 | 1,159 | ||||||||||||||||
| 30 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 34 | Out | 0 | 100 | 50.0 | 366 | ||||||||||||||||
| 10 | -28 | Out | 100 | 49.9 | 639 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 67.8 | % | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16.1 | % | 2,713,496 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:33 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
