Beer and Pizza Playoff Chances Season1
Beat Inter Melon 34-22, playoff odds up 7.3 to 33.9%
4 points 2-0-6
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Sunday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | USA II | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Beer and Pizza 34 Inter Melon 22 | +4.7 | -2.3 | +0.5 | |||
| Dummkopf HSV 23 coronas 29 | -0.1 | |||||
| Louisiana Ragin 33 Fighting Amish 21 | +0.1 | |||||
| San Crispino 27 Manchester HC 33 | +0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||||
| Tuesday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | USA II | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Manchester HC vs Beer and Pizza | -5.0-4.8+5.5+5.7 | +2.5+2.4-2.7-2.8 | -0.5-0.4+0.5+0.5 | |||
| Hanover Fisters vs Louisiana Ragin | -0.1-0.4*+0.1+0.2 | |||||
| Bedford Mules vs Dummkopf HSV | -0.1*+0.1*+0.2+0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Beer and Pizza finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | USA II | Count | ||||
| 76 | -92 | In | 100 | No | 1,417 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 74 | 35 | - | 0 | - | 9 | In | 100 | 0 | No | 226 | ||||||||||||||||
| 72 | 34 | - | 0 | - | 10 | In | 99 | 1 | No | 882 | ||||||||||||||||
| 70 | 33 | - | 0 | - | 11 | In | 96 | 4 | 0 | No | 2,761 | |||||||||||||||
| 68 | 32 | - | 0 | - | 12 | In | 89 | 10 | 0 | No | 7,791 | |||||||||||||||
| 66 | 31 | - | 0 | - | 13 | In | 77 | 21 | 2 | 0 | No | 19,564 | ||||||||||||||
| 64 | 30 | - | 0 | - | 14 | In | 58 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 43,799 | |||||||||||||
| 62 | 29 | - | 0 | - | 15 | In | 34 | 45 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 88,489 | ||||||||||||
| 60 | 28 | - | 0 | - | 16 | In | 13 | 37 | 35 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 161,881 | ||||||||||
| 58 | 27 | - | 0 | - | 17 | In | 2 | 16 | 35 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 272,239 | ||||||||||
| 56 | 26 | - | 0 | - | 18 | 100.0 | % | 0 | 2 | 13 | 32 | 33 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 414,040 | ||||||
| 54 | 25 | - | 0 | - | 19 | 99.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 35 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 575,183 | |||||||
| 52 | 24 | - | 0 | - | 20 | 84.4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 31 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.8 | 731,043 | |||||||
| 50 | 23 | - | 0 | - | 21 | 36.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 35 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 31.9 | 847,760 | |||||||
| 48 | 22 | - | 0 | - | 22 | 5.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 35 | 29 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 47.4 | 900,888 | ||||||||
| 46 | 21 | - | 0 | - | 23 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 34 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 49.9 | 875,118 | |||||||||
| 44 | 20 | - | 0 | - | 24 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 37 | 35 | 10 | 50.0 | 775,783 | |||||||||||
| 42 | 19 | - | 0 | - | 25 | Out | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 45 | 30 | 50.0 | 630,304 | ||||||||||||
| 40 | 18 | - | 0 | - | 26 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 38 | 54 | 50.0 | 469,018 | ||||||||||||
| 38 | 17 | - | 0 | - | 27 | Out | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 74 | 50.0 | 315,887 | |||||||||||||
| 36 | 16 | - | 0 | - | 28 | Out | 0 | 0 | 12 | 88 | 50.0 | 195,180 | ||||||||||||||
| 34 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 29 | Out | 0 | 5 | 95 | 50.0 | 109,476 | |||||||||||||||
| 32 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 30 | Out | 0 | 2 | 98 | 50.0 | 55,920 | |||||||||||||||
| 30 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 31 | Out | 1 | 99 | 50.0 | 25,467 | ||||||||||||||||
| 28 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 32 | Out | 0 | 100 | 50.0 | 10,407 | ||||||||||||||||
| 26 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 33 | Out | 0 | 100 | 50.0 | 3,864 | ||||||||||||||||
| 4 | -24 | Out | 100 | 50.0 | 3,077 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 33.9 | % | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 33.0 | % | 7,537,464 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:33 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
