Bedford Mules Playoff Chances Season1 50/50
Lost to Cataclysm 25-35, playoff odds down 5.5 to 46.2%
6 points 2-2-4
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Sunday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | USA II | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cataclysm 35 Bedford Mules 25 | -5.9 | +2.9 | -0.6 | |||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||||
| Tuesday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | USA II | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Bedford Mules vs Dummkopf HSV | +5.8+5.6-5.0-5.9 | -2.9-2.8+2.5+2.9 | +0.5+0.5-0.5-0.5 | |||
| Hanover Fisters vs Louisiana Ragin | -0.2*-0.2*-0.1+0.2 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Bedford Mules finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | USA II | Count | ||||
| 78 | -94 | In | 100 | No | 512 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 76 | 35 | - | 0 | - | 9 | In | 99 | 1 | No | 102 | ||||||||||||||||
| 74 | 34 | - | 0 | - | 10 | In | 100 | 0 | No | 382 | ||||||||||||||||
| 72 | 33 | - | 0 | - | 11 | In | 99 | 1 | No | 1,199 | ||||||||||||||||
| 70 | 32 | - | 0 | - | 12 | In | 96 | 4 | No | 3,226 | ||||||||||||||||
| 68 | 31 | - | 0 | - | 13 | In | 91 | 9 | 0 | No | 7,999 | |||||||||||||||
| 66 | 30 | - | 0 | - | 14 | In | 80 | 18 | 1 | 0 | No | 17,782 | ||||||||||||||
| 64 | 29 | - | 0 | - | 15 | In | 61 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 35,228 | |||||||||||||
| 62 | 28 | - | 0 | - | 16 | In | 37 | 44 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 63,885 | |||||||||||
| 60 | 27 | - | 0 | - | 17 | In | 14 | 39 | 33 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 105,606 | |||||||||||
| 58 | 26 | - | 0 | - | 18 | In | 3 | 17 | 36 | 31 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 158,427 | ||||||||||
| 56 | 25 | - | 0 | - | 19 | 100.0 | % | 0 | 2 | 14 | 32 | 33 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 218,020 | |||||||
| 54 | 24 | - | 0 | - | 20 | 99.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 35 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 272,037 | |||||||
| 52 | 23 | - | 0 | - | 21 | 82.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 33 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.7 | 310,733 | |||||||
| 50 | 22 | - | 0 | - | 22 | 31.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 35 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 34.1 | 324,274 | ||||||||
| 48 | 21 | - | 0 | - | 23 | 3.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 33 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 48.1 | 309,634 | ||||||||
| 46 | 20 | - | 0 | - | 24 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 36 | 16 | 2 | 49.9 | 271,127 | ||||||||||
| 44 | 19 | - | 0 | - | 25 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 34 | 38 | 13 | 50.0 | 217,581 | |||||||||||
| 42 | 18 | - | 0 | - | 26 | Out | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 45 | 36 | 50.0 | 159,387 | ||||||||||||
| 40 | 17 | - | 0 | - | 27 | Out | 0 | 0 | 6 | 34 | 60 | 50.0 | 105,692 | |||||||||||||
| 38 | 16 | - | 0 | - | 28 | Out | 0 | 1 | 20 | 79 | 50.0 | 63,921 | ||||||||||||||
| 36 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 29 | Out | 0 | 10 | 90 | 50.0 | 35,471 | |||||||||||||||
| 34 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 30 | Out | 0 | 4 | 96 | 50.0 | 17,818 | |||||||||||||||
| 32 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 31 | Out | 1 | 99 | 50.0 | 8,035 | ||||||||||||||||
| 30 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 32 | Out | 1 | 99 | 50.0 | 3,211 | ||||||||||||||||
| 28 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 33 | Out | 0 | 100 | 50.0 | 1,165 | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | -26 | Out | 100 | 50.0 | 1,042 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 46.2 | % | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 26.9 | % | 2,713,496 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:33 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
