NTH Title Chances 2018
Beat Atlanta Fire 2-1, title odds up 5.2 to 19.9%
35 points 7-0-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/3 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed |
| NTH 2 Atlanta Fire 1 | +5.6 | +5.6 | +0.1 | |||
| Concorde Fire 0 NTH 1 | +4.9 | +4.9 | +0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 11/10 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Concorde Fire vs AFC | +53.1+52.1No | +53.1+52.1No | +0.5+0.5-0.2 | |||
| NTH vs MAYS | +7.7-19.8No | +7.7-19.8No | +0.1-0.2-0.2 | |||
| UFA vs Concorde Fire | -0.0*-0.0+0.1 | -0.0*-0.0+0.1 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the NTH finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Demoted | Count | |||||
| 40 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 27.6 | % | 27.6 | % | 28 | 72 | No | 85,155,712 | |||||||||||
| 37 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0 | 100 | No | 29,541,699 | |||||||||||||
| 35 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | No | No | 100 | No | 3,621,209 | ||||||||||||||
| Total: | 19.9 | % | 19.9 | % | 20 | 80 | No | 118,318,620 | ||||||||||||||||
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:32 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
