Wasteland Zombies Playoff Chances 2011-2012

Lost to Jacks 18-19, playoff odds down 0.9 to 0.03%

18 points 6-0-0 12-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 2/11	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Jacks 19 Zombies 18	-0.8		-0.1
Cobbles 16 Bullies 36	-0.2
Addicts 23 Virus 19	+0.1		+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 2/18	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dragsters vs Zombies	OutOut-0.0+0.1		-0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1
Cobbles vs Virus			+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1

Chances based on how well the Zombies finish out the regular season. Explain

													100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:											Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	OT	-	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Count

30		4	-	0	-	0	0		-	0	3.1	%				0	3	39	56	2	86,485
29		3	-	1	-	0	0		-	0	0.4						0	20	75	5	29,313
28		3	-	0	-	0	0		-	1	Out							11	77	12	57,519
		2	-	2	-	0	0		-	0	Out							10	74	17	3,876
27		3	-	0	-	0	1		-	0	Out							2	59	39	660,648
		2	-	1	-	0	0		-	1	Out							2	64	34	15,157
		1	-	3	-	0	0		-	0	Out							1	60	39	238
26		2	-	1	-	0	1		-	0	Out								52	48	172,991
		2	-	0	-	0	0		-	2	Out								45	55	14,541
		1	-	2	-	0	0		-	1	Out								53	47	1,292
		0	-	4	-	0	0		-	0	Out								40	60	5
25		2	-	0	-	0	1		-	1	Out								39	61	333,093
		1	-	2	-	0	1		-	0	Out								30	70	14,981
		1	-	1	-	0	0		-	2	Out								29	71	2,463
		0	-	3	-	0	0		-	1	Out								14	86	28
24		2	-	0	-	0	2		-	0	Out								13	87	1,910,414
		1	-	1	-	0	1		-	1	Out								15	85	57,362
		1	-	0	-	0	0		-	3	Out								17	83	1,583
		0	-	3	-	0	1		-	0	Out								15	85	426
		0	-	2	-	0	0		-	2	Out								17	83	113
23		1	-	1	-	0	2		-	0	Out								10	90	332,346
		1	-	0	-	0	1		-	2	Out								6	94	55,242
		0	-	2	-	0	1		-	1	Out								8	92	2,586
		0	-	1	-	0	0		-	3	Out								6	94	120
22		1	-	0	-	0	2		-	1	Out								5	95	637,017
		0	-	2	-	0	2		-	0	Out									100	14,491
		0	-	1	-	0	1		-	2	Out									100	4,869
		0	-	0	-	0	0		-	4	Out									100	67
21		1	-	0	-	0	3		-	0	Out								0	100	2,442,865
		0	-	1	-	0	2		-	1	Out									100	55,116
		0	-	0	-	0	1		-	3	Out									100	3,117
18	-20										Out									100	1,827,193	*

Total:											0.0	%				0	0	1	12	87	8,737,557

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 2/11	100.0*	Lottery seed
Jacks 19 Zombies 18	+0.5
Emperors 25 Enablers 31	+0.2
Vipers 23 Riot 16	-0.1
Addicts 23 Virus 19	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 2/18	100.0*	Lottery seed
Dragsters vs Zombies	+0.4-0.1-0.4-0.7
Vipers vs Enablers	-0.1+0.0+0.1+0.2
Cobbles vs Virus	-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.1

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:										Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	OT	-	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16

30	4	-	0	-	0	0		-	0							0	3		29	50	17	1	0
29	3	-	1	-	0	0		-	0								0		14	56	28	2
28	3	-	0	-	0	0		-	1										4	36	52	8	0
	2	-	2	-	0	0		-	0										4	35	50	11	0
27	3	-	0	-	0	1		-	0										1	19	50	29	1	0
	2	-	1	-	0	0		-	1										0	20	52	25	1
	1	-	3	-	0	0		-	0										1	18	51	29	1
26	2	-	1	-	0	1		-	0											12	47	38	3	0
	2	-	0	-	0	0		-	2											11	41	45	4	0
	1	-	2	-	0	0		-	1											13	44	39	4
	0	-	4	-	0	0		-	0												40	60
25	2	-	0	-	0	1		-	1											2	34	54	9	0
	1	-	2	-	0	1		-	0											2	28	59	11	0
	1	-	1	-	0	0		-	2											2	27	60	11	0
	0	-	3	-	0	0		-	1												14	64	21
24	2	-	0	-	0	2		-	0											0	9	57	32	2	0
	1	-	1	-	0	1		-	1											0	11	56	31	1	0
	1	-	0	-	0	0		-	3											0	11	58	29	2
	0	-	3	-	0	1		-	0											0	11	56	31	2
	0	-	2	-	0	0		-	2												12	62	25	1
23	1	-	1	-	0	2		-	0											0	5	44	45	6	0
	1	-	0	-	0	1		-	2											0	3	44	47	6	0
	0	-	2	-	0	1		-	1												4	45	46	5
	0	-	1	-	0	0		-	3												4	41	47	8
22	1	-	0	-	0	2		-	1												2	33	54	12	0
	0	-	2	-	0	2		-	0													32	55	13	0
	0	-	1	-	0	1		-	2													31	55	13	0
	0	-	0	-	0	0		-	4													25	64	10
21	1	-	0	-	0	3		-	0												0	8	54	35	3
	0	-	1	-	0	2		-	1													8	54	35	3
	0	-	0	-	0	1		-	3													7	54	36	3
20	0	-	1	-	0	3		-	0													2	38	52	8
	0	-	0	-	0	2		-	2													2	37	52	8
19	0	-	0	-	0	3		-	1													1	27	57	14
18	0	-	0	-	0	4		-	0														4	54	42

Total:																0	0		0	3	9	25	32	23	7