North Shore Rabid Beavers Playoff Chances 2011-2012

Lost to Dragsters 18-19 (ot), playoff odds up 0.08 to 99.95%

34 points 11-0-0 6-1

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 2/11	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dragsters 19 Rabid Beavers 18 (ot)	+0.1		-0.0
Jacks 19 Zombies 18	-0.0
Addicts 23 Virus 19	+0.0		-0.1
Cobbles 16 Bullies 36	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 2/18	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Jacks vs Bullies			+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1
Addicts vs Rabid Beavers	-0.0+0.0InIn		-0.4-0.0+0.4+0.5
Dragsters vs Zombies			-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2

Chances based on how well the Rabid Beavers finish out the regular season. Explain

													100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:											Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	OT	-	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Count

44	-46										In		100								829,683	*
43		3	-	0	-	0	1		-	0	In		95	5							1,806,890
		2	-	1	-	0	0		-	1	In		95	5							40,840
		1	-	3	-	0	0		-	0	In		95	5							1,238
42		2	-	1	-	0	1		-	0	In		85	15							471,604
		2	-	0	-	0	0		-	2	In		93	7							17,869
		1	-	2	-	0	0		-	1	In		93	7							3,568
		0	-	4	-	0	0		-	0	In		97	3							29
41		2	-	0	-	0	1		-	1	In		72	26	2	0					414,738
		1	-	2	-	0	1		-	0	In		77	22	1						41,026
		1	-	1	-	0	0		-	2	In		78	22							3,207
		0	-	3	-	0	0		-	1	In		83	17							116
40		2	-	0	-	0	2		-	0	In		47	45	8	0					2,389,052
		1	-	1	-	0	1		-	1	In		46	46	8	0					71,980
		0	-	3	-	0	1		-	0	In		50	44	5						1,167
		1	-	0	-	0	0		-	3	In		46	44	9	0					892
		0	-	2	-	0	0		-	2	In		49	45	6	1					152
39		1	-	1	-	0	2		-	0	In		23	53	22	2					416,139
		1	-	0	-	0	1		-	2	In		30	51	18	1					29,951
		0	-	2	-	0	1		-	1	In		28	50	20	2					3,113
		0	-	1	-	0	0		-	3	In		33	53	15						80
38		1	-	0	-	0	2		-	1	In		9	41	37	12	0				344,522
		0	-	2	-	0	2		-	0	In		11	42	37	11	0				18,192
		0	-	1	-	0	1		-	2	In		11	45	34	9					2,612
		0	-	0	-	0	0		-	4	In		8	69	23						13
37		1	-	0	-	0	3		-	0	In		2	23	48	27	0				1,323,109
		0	-	1	-	0	2		-	1	In		2	22	48	28	0				30,100
		0	-	0	-	0	1		-	3	In		1	19	48	32	0				658
36		0	-	1	-	0	3		-	0	In		0	9	40	48	4				114,258
		0	-	0	-	0	2		-	2	In		0	11	42	44	3				11,697
35		0	-	0	-	0	3		-	1	99.9	%	0	2	23	63	13	0			89,305
34		0	-	0	-	0	4		-	0	98.5			0	5	60	32	2			259,757

Total:											100.0	%	53	24	13	8	1	0			8,737,557

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 2/11	100.0*	Lottery seed
Addicts 23 Virus 19	+0.1
Dragsters 19 Rabid Beavers 18 (ot)	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 2/18	100.0*	Lottery seed
Addicts vs Rabid Beavers	+0.7+0.1-0.6-1.0
Dragsters vs Zombies	+0.2-0.1-0.2-0.3
Jacks vs Bullies	-0.2-0.1+0.1+0.1

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:										Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	OT	-	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16

46	4	-	0	-	0	0		-	0	23	77
45	3	-	1	-	0	0		-	0	2	98
44	3	-	0	-	0	0		-	1	1	99
	2	-	2	-	0	0		-	0	1	99
43	3	-	0	-	0	1		-	0	0	95	1	4
	2	-	1	-	0	0		-	1	0	95	1	4
	1	-	3	-	0	0		-	0		95	0	5
42	2	-	1	-	0	1		-	0	0	85	0	15
	2	-	0	-	0	0		-	2		93	0	7
	1	-	2	-	0	0		-	1		93	0	7
	0	-	4	-	0	0		-	0		97		3
41	2	-	0	-	0	1		-	1	0	72	0	26	0	2	0
	1	-	2	-	0	1		-	0		77	0	22	0	1
	1	-	1	-	0	0		-	2		78	0	22
	0	-	3	-	0	0		-	1		83		17
40	2	-	0	-	0	2		-	0		47	0	45	1	7	0
	1	-	1	-	0	1		-	1		46	0	45	1	7	0
	0	-	3	-	0	1		-	0		50		44	1	4
	1	-	0	-	0	0		-	3		46		44	1	8	0
	0	-	2	-	0	0		-	2		49		45	1	5	1
39	1	-	1	-	0	2		-	0		23	0	53	0	22	2
	1	-	0	-	0	1		-	2		30		51	0	17	1
	0	-	2	-	0	1		-	1		28	0	50	0	20	2
	0	-	1	-	0	0		-	3		33		53		15
38	1	-	0	-	0	2		-	1		9		41	0	37	12	0
	0	-	2	-	0	2		-	0		11		42	0	37	11	0
	0	-	1	-	0	1		-	2		11		45	0	34	9
	0	-	0	-	0	0		-	4		8		69		23
37	1	-	0	-	0	3		-	0		2		23	0	48	27	0
	0	-	1	-	0	2		-	1		2		22	0	47	28	0
	0	-	0	-	0	1		-	3		1		19	0	48	32	0
36	0	-	1	-	0	3		-	0		0		9		40	48	4
	0	-	0	-	0	2		-	2		0		11		42	44	3
35	0	-	0	-	0	3		-	1		0		2		23	63	13	0	0
34	0	-	0	-	0	4		-	0				0		5	60	32	0	1	0

Total:										1	52	0	24	0	13	8	1	0	0	0