Philadelphia Honey Badgers Playoff Chances 2011-2012

Lost to Enigma 33-37, playoff odds down 19.1 to 7%

31 points 10-0-0 7-1

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 2/11	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Enigma 37 Honey Badgers 33	-16.1		-0.2
Vipers 23 Riot 16	-3.0		-0.0
Emperors 25 Enablers 31	+0.5

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 2/18	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Emperors vs Honey Badgers	-5.1-2.6+0.4+9.6		-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.1
Vipers vs Enablers	-1.7-0.7+1.0+8.5		-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1
Enigma vs Norsestars	-1.4+0.5+1.6+3.6

Chances based on how well the Honey Badgers finish out the regular season. Explain

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:										Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	OT	-	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Count

43	4	-	0	-	0	0		-	0	57.5	%	0	5	52	43					551,690
42	3	-	1	-	0	0		-	0	28.6			1	28	71					191,316
41	3	-	0	-	0	0		-	1	19.7			0	19	80					172,323
	2	-	2	-	0	0		-	0	20.1			0	20	80					25,090
40	3	-	0	-	0	1		-	0	8.5			0	8	91					1,986,778
	2	-	1	-	0	0		-	1	8.5			0	8	92					45,095
	1	-	3	-	0	0		-	0	8.5				9	91					1,475
39	2	-	1	-	0	1		-	0	2.2			0	2	98					519,067
	2	-	0	-	0	0		-	2	2.3				2	98					17,927
	1	-	2	-	0	0		-	1	2.2				2	98					3,927
	0	-	4	-	0	0		-	0	3.1				3	97					32
38	2	-	0	-	0	1		-	1	1.4				1	99					412,031
	1	-	2	-	0	1		-	0	1.5				1	99					45,667
	1	-	1	-	0	0		-	2	1.4				1	99					3,051
	0	-	3	-	0	0		-	1	0.9				1	99					111
37	2	-	0	-	0	2		-	0	0.5				0	100					2,367,550
	1	-	1	-	0	1		-	1	0.5				0	100					71,391
	0	-	3	-	0	1		-	0	0.8				1	99					1,265
	1	-	0	-	0	0		-	3	0.2				0	100					811
	0	-	2	-	0	0		-	2	0.8				1	99					120
36	1	-	1	-	0	2		-	0	0.0				0	100					411,852
	1	-	0	-	0	1		-	2	0.0				0	100					26,135
	0	-	2	-	0	1		-	1	Out					100					3,099
	0	-	1	-	0	0		-	3	Out					100					55
35	1	-	0	-	0	2		-	1	Out					96	4				300,500
	0	-	2	-	0	2		-	0	Out					96	4				17,853
	0	-	1	-	0	1		-	2	Out					99	1				2,311
	0	-	0	-	0	0		-	4	Out					100					10
34	1	-	0	-	0	3		-	0	Out					93	7				1,154,125
	0	-	1	-	0	2		-	1	Out					93	7				25,983
	0	-	0	-	0	1		-	3	Out					91	9				549
33	0	-	1	-	0	3		-	0	Out					90	10				100,238
	0	-	0	-	0	2		-	2	Out					88	12				8,955
32	0	-	0	-	0	3		-	1	Out					65	35				69,124
31	0	-	0	-	0	4		-	0	Out					51	49				200,051

Total:										7.0	%	0	0	7	90	3				8,737,557

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 2/11	100.0*	Lottery seed
Enigma 37 Honey Badgers 33	+0.8
Vipers 23 Riot 16	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 2/18	100.0*	Lottery seed
Emperors vs Honey Badgers	+0.2+0.1-0.0-0.4
Vipers vs Enablers	+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.4
Enigma vs Norsestars	+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:										Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	OT	-	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16

43	4	-	0	-	0	0		-	0	0	0	5	0	52				43
42	3	-	1	-	0	0		-	0			1	0	28				71
41	3	-	0	-	0	0		-	1			0	0	19	0			80
	2	-	2	-	0	0		-	0			0	0	20	0			80
40	3	-	0	-	0	1		-	0			0	0	8	0			91
	2	-	1	-	0	0		-	1			0	0	8	0			92
	1	-	3	-	0	0		-	0					8	0			91
39	2	-	1	-	0	1		-	0			0	0	2	0			98
	2	-	0	-	0	0		-	2					2	0			98
	1	-	2	-	0	0		-	1					2	0			98
	0	-	4	-	0	0		-	0					3				97
38	2	-	0	-	0	1		-	1					1	1			99
	1	-	2	-	0	1		-	0					1	1			99
	1	-	1	-	0	0		-	2					1	0			99
	0	-	3	-	0	0		-	1					1				99
37	2	-	0	-	0	2		-	0					0	0			100
	1	-	1	-	0	1		-	1					0	0			100
	0	-	3	-	0	1		-	0					0	1			99
	1	-	0	-	0	0		-	3						0			100
	0	-	2	-	0	0		-	2						1			99
36	1	-	1	-	0	2		-	0					0	0			100	0
	1	-	0	-	0	1		-	2					0	0			100
	0	-	2	-	0	1		-	1									100
	0	-	1	-	0	0		-	3									100
35	1	-	0	-	0	2		-	1									96	4	0
	0	-	2	-	0	2		-	0									96	4	0
	0	-	1	-	0	1		-	2									98	2	0
	0	-	0	-	0	0		-	4									100
34	1	-	0	-	0	3		-	0									92	8	0
	0	-	1	-	0	2		-	1									92	7	0
	0	-	0	-	0	1		-	3									90	10
33	0	-	1	-	0	3		-	0									88	12	0
	0	-	0	-	0	2		-	2									86	14	0
32	0	-	0	-	0	3		-	1									55	37	8	0
31	0	-	0	-	0	4		-	0									35	49	16	0

Total:										0	0	0	0	7	0			90	3	0	0