Fraser Valley Dragsters Playoff Chances 2011-2012

Beat Rabid Beavers 19-18 (ot), playoff odds up 0.8 to 97.1%

32 points 10-1-0 7-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 2/11	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dragsters 19 Rabid Beavers 18 (ot)	+1.9		+0.2
Jacks 19 Zombies 18	-0.8		-0.0
Cobbles 16 Bullies 36	-0.3
Addicts 23 Virus 19	+0.1		-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 2/18	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dragsters vs Zombies	+2.3+1.8-0.5-5.0		+0.4+0.1-0.3-0.7
Cobbles vs Virus	-0.9+0.5+0.9+1.0		-0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1
Jacks vs Bullies	-1.0-1.0+0.5+0.8		+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1
Addicts vs Rabid Beavers	-0.2-0.1+0.1+0.2		+0.0-0.1-0.0+0.0

Chances based on how well the Dragsters finish out the regular season. Explain

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:										Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	OT	-	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Count

44	4	-	0	-	0	0		-	0	In		90	10							446,945
43	3	-	1	-	0	0		-	0	In		70	30							154,970
42	3	-	0	-	0	0		-	1	In		64	36							150,514
	2	-	2	-	0	0		-	0	In		64	36							20,254
41	3	-	0	-	0	1		-	0	In		45	51	5	0					1,739,697
	2	-	1	-	0	0		-	1	In		46	50	4						39,531
	1	-	3	-	0	0		-	0	In		54	45	1						1,149
40	2	-	1	-	0	1		-	0	In		19	67	14	0					453,621
	2	-	0	-	0	0		-	2	In		19	66	15	0					17,960
	1	-	2	-	0	0		-	1	In		18	66	15	1					3,383
	0	-	4	-	0	0		-	0	In		18	70	12						33
39	2	-	0	-	0	1		-	1	In		10	57	32	2					417,482
	1	-	2	-	0	1		-	0	In		9	56	33	2					39,472
	1	-	1	-	0	0		-	2	In		12	64	23	1					3,121
	0	-	3	-	0	0		-	1	In		12	58	28	2					101
38	2	-	0	-	0	2		-	0	In		2	32	51	15	0				2,397,162
	1	-	1	-	0	1		-	1	In		3	34	50	14	0				72,325
	0	-	3	-	0	1		-	0	In		4	39	46	11					1,172
	1	-	0	-	0	0		-	3	In		2	30	53	15					952
	0	-	2	-	0	0		-	2	In			35	54	11					118
37	1	-	1	-	0	2		-	0	In		0	17	53	29	1				416,425
	1	-	0	-	0	1		-	2	In		0	16	53	30	1				31,794
	0	-	2	-	0	1		-	1	In		0	15	53	30	1				3,148
	0	-	1	-	0	0		-	3	In			27	45	26	1				77
36	1	-	0	-	0	2		-	1	100.0	%	0	4	40	48	7	0			362,607
	0	-	2	-	0	2		-	0	100.0		0	3	39	50	8	0			18,162
	0	-	1	-	0	1		-	2	In		0	6	44	45	5				2,807
	0	-	0	-	0	0		-	4	In			13	67	20					15
35	1	-	0	-	0	3		-	0	97.7			0	11	51	36	2			1,389,634
	0	-	1	-	0	2		-	1	98.3			0	12	55	31	2			31,770
	0	-	0	-	0	1		-	3	98.1				12	57	29	2			805
34	0	-	1	-	0	3		-	0	93.5			0	4	41	49	6			120,760
	0	-	0	-	0	2		-	2	92.6				3	39	51	7			12,804
33	0	-	0	-	0	3		-	1	76.6				1	18	58	23	0		99,285
32	0	-	0	-	0	4		-	0	35.7					1	35	63	2		287,502

Total:										97.1	%	19	29	24	17	9	3	0		8,737,557

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 2/11	100.0*	Lottery seed
Dragsters 19 Rabid Beavers 18 (ot)	-0.3
Addicts 23 Virus 19	+0.1
Jacks 19 Zombies 18	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 2/18	100.0*	Lottery seed
Dragsters vs Zombies	-0.6-0.1+0.5+1.1
Jacks vs Bullies	-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1
Addicts vs Rabid Beavers	-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0
Cobbles vs Virus	+0.1-0.0-0.1-0.1

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:										Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	OT	-	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16

44	4	-	0	-	0	0		-	0	1	90	2	7
43	3	-	1	-	0	0		-	0	0	69	4	26
42	3	-	0	-	0	0		-	1	0	64	1	35
	2	-	2	-	0	0		-	0	0	64	1	35
41	3	-	0	-	0	1		-	0	0	45	0	50	1	4	0
	2	-	1	-	0	0		-	1		46	0	50	1	3
	1	-	3	-	0	0		-	0		54		45	0	1
40	2	-	1	-	0	1		-	0		19	0	66	2	11	0
	2	-	0	-	0	0		-	2		19	0	66	2	12	0
	1	-	2	-	0	0		-	1		18	0	66	2	13	1
	0	-	4	-	0	0		-	0		18		70		12
39	2	-	0	-	0	1		-	1		10	0	57	2	30	2
	1	-	2	-	0	1		-	0		9	0	56	2	31	2
	1	-	1	-	0	0		-	2		12		64	1	22	1
	0	-	3	-	0	0		-	1		12		58		28	2
38	2	-	0	-	0	2		-	0		2	0	32	1	50	15	0
	1	-	1	-	0	1		-	1		3		34	1	49	14	0
	0	-	3	-	0	1		-	0		4		39	1	46	11
	1	-	0	-	0	0		-	3		2		30	1	52	15
	0	-	2	-	0	0		-	2				35	3	52	11
37	1	-	1	-	0	2		-	0		0		17	0	53	29	1
	1	-	0	-	0	1		-	2		0		16	0	52	30	1
	0	-	2	-	0	1		-	1		0		15	0	53	30	1
	0	-	1	-	0	0		-	3				27		45	26	1
36	1	-	0	-	0	2		-	1		0		4	0	40	48	7	0	0
	0	-	2	-	0	2		-	0		0		3	0	39	50	8	0	0
	0	-	1	-	0	1		-	2		0		6	0	44	45	5
	0	-	0	-	0	0		-	4				13		67	20
35	1	-	0	-	0	3		-	0				0		11	51	36	1	2
	0	-	1	-	0	2		-	1				0		12	55	31	0	1
	0	-	0	-	0	1		-	3						12	57	29	0	1
34	0	-	1	-	0	3		-	0				0		4	41	49	1	5	0
	0	-	0	-	0	2		-	2						3	39	51	1	6	0
33	0	-	0	-	0	3		-	1						1	18	58	1	22	1
32	0	-	0	-	0	4		-	0							1	35	2	58	5	0

Total:										0	18	0	28	1	23	17	9	0	3	0	0