Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

Coquitlam Cobbles Playoff Chances 2011-2012

Lost to Bullies 16-36, playoff odds down 30.2 to 51%

26 points 8-0-0 8-2

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 2/11	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cobbles 16 Bullies 36	-15.0		-0.8
Jacks 19 Zombies 18	-2.7		-0.1
Addicts 23 Virus 19	+1.0		-0.0
Dragsters 19 Rabid Beavers 18 (ot)	*-0.1		+0.0
Emperors 25 Enablers 31	*-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 2/18	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cobbles vs Virus	+14.1+6.9+0.6-18.4		+0.5+0.1-0.1-0.6
Jacks vs Bullies	-8.9+0.6+3.6+6.7		-0.1+0.0+0.1+0.0
Dragsters vs Zombies	-1.1-0.9-0.6+2.3		-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1
Addicts vs Rabid Beavers	-0.9*+0.1+0.5+1.3		-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Cobbles finish out the regular season. Explain

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:										Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	OT	-	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Count

38	4	-	0	-	0	0		-	0	In		7	49	36	8	0				321,256
37	3	-	1	-	0	0		-	0	In		0	20	47	29	4				110,864
36	3	-	0	-	0	0		-	1	In		0	8	41	41	10				125,247
	2	-	2	-	0	0		-	0	In		0	9	42	39	9				14,327
35	3	-	0	-	0	1		-	0	99.3	%	0	1	16	45	37	1			1,444,835
	2	-	1	-	0	0		-	1	99.5			1	17	46	36	0			32,790
	1	-	3	-	0	0		-	0	99.3			0	13	46	40	1			802
34	2	-	1	-	0	1		-	0	95.8			0	4	32	60	4			377,024
	2	-	0	-	0	0		-	2	93.1			0	3	28	62	7			17,951
	1	-	2	-	0	0		-	1	96.2				4	33	59	4			2,849
	0	-	4	-	0	0		-	0	96.0				8	32	56	4			25
33	2	-	0	-	0	1		-	1	87.2				1	19	67	13	0		412,930
	1	-	2	-	0	1		-	0	83.3				1	16	66	17	0		32,930
	1	-	1	-	0	0		-	2	84.5				0	16	68	16			3,109
	0	-	3	-	0	0		-	1	82.7					9	74	17			81
32	2	-	0	-	0	2		-	0	52.5				0	3	50	46	1		2,372,231
	1	-	1	-	0	1		-	1	58.1				0	3	55	41	1		71,349
	1	-	0	-	0	0		-	3	64.2					4	60	35	1		1,106
	0	-	3	-	0	1		-	0	57.9				0	3	55	42	0		957
	0	-	2	-	0	0		-	2	61.3					3	58	37	1		137
31	1	-	1	-	0	2		-	0	41.6				0	1	41	55	4		412,567
	1	-	0	-	0	1		-	2	33.0					0	33	63	4		38,408
	0	-	2	-	0	1		-	1	40.7					1	40	55	5		3,156
	0	-	1	-	0	0		-	3	38.1						38	57	5		84
30	1	-	0	-	0	2		-	1	23.9					0	24	62	14		438,486
	0	-	2	-	0	2		-	0	15.7					0	16	67	17		17,782
	0	-	1	-	0	1		-	2	17.2						17	69	14		3,264
	0	-	0	-	0	0		-	4	19.4						19	71	10		31
29	1	-	0	-	0	3		-	0	3.5						3	65	31	0	1,683,368
	0	-	1	-	0	2		-	1	5.6						6	63	31	0	38,385
	0	-	0	-	0	1		-	3	7.2						7	56	37		1,200
28	0	-	1	-	0	3		-	0	2.0						2	51	47	0	146,076
	0	-	0	-	0	2		-	2	Out							50	49	0	19,930
27	0	-	0	-	0	3		-	1	Out							24	75	1	151,726
26	0	-	0	-	0	4		-	0	Out							11	82	7	440,294

Total:										51.0	%	0	2	6	12	31	35	14	0	8,737,557

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 2/11	100.0*	Lottery seed
Cobbles 16 Bullies 36	+1.1
Jacks 19 Zombies 18	+0.1
Addicts 23 Virus 19	+0.0
Dragsters 19 Rabid Beavers 18 (ot)	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 2/18	100.0*	Lottery seed
Cobbles vs Virus	-0.7-0.2+0.1+0.9
Jacks vs Bullies	+0.1-0.0-0.1-0.1
Dragsters vs Zombies	+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
Enigma vs Norsestars	-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Addicts vs Rabid Beavers	+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:										Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	OT	-	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16

38	4	-	0	-	0	0		-	0		7		49	0	36	8	0
37	3	-	1	-	0	0		-	0		0		20	0	47	29	4
36	3	-	0	-	0	0		-	1		0		8		41	41	10
	2	-	2	-	0	0		-	0		0		9		42	39	9
35	3	-	0	-	0	1		-	0		0		1		16	45	37	0	1
	2	-	1	-	0	0		-	1				1		17	46	36	0	0
	1	-	3	-	0	0		-	0				0		13	46	40	0	1
34	2	-	1	-	0	1		-	0				0		4	32	60	0	4	0
	2	-	0	-	0	0		-	2				0		3	28	62	0	6	0
	1	-	2	-	0	0		-	1						4	33	59	0	3	0
	0	-	4	-	0	0		-	0						8	32	56		4
33	2	-	0	-	0	1		-	1						1	19	67	0	12	1	0
	1	-	2	-	0	1		-	0						1	16	66	0	16	1	0
	1	-	1	-	0	0		-	2						0	16	68	0	14	1
	0	-	3	-	0	0		-	1							9	74		16	1
32	2	-	0	-	0	2		-	0						0	3	50	1	43	4	0
	1	-	1	-	0	1		-	1						0	3	55	1	38	3	0
	1	-	0	-	0	0		-	3							4	60	1	31	3	0
	0	-	3	-	0	1		-	0						0	3	55	1	39	2
	0	-	2	-	0	0		-	2							3	58		35	4
31	1	-	1	-	0	2		-	0						0	1	41	0	43	15	1
	1	-	0	-	0	1		-	2							0	33		49	17	1
	0	-	2	-	0	1		-	1							1	40		43	16	1
	0	-	1	-	0	0		-	3								38		52	7	2
30	1	-	0	-	0	2		-	1							0	24		45	27	4	0
	0	-	2	-	0	2		-	0							0	16		49	30	5	0
	0	-	1	-	0	1		-	2								17		50	29	4
	0	-	0	-	0	0		-	4								19		48	29	3
29	1	-	0	-	0	3		-	0								3		44	41	11	0	0
	0	-	1	-	0	2		-	1								6		43	39	13	0
	0	-	0	-	0	1		-	3								7		35	39	19	0
28	0	-	1	-	0	3		-	0								2		20	48	29	0	0
	0	-	0	-	0	2		-	2										19	49	31	1
27	0	-	0	-	0	3		-	1										7	37	52	4	0
26	0	-	0	-	0	4		-	0										3	27	61	10	0	0

Total:											0		2	0	6	12	31	0	27	14	7	1	0	0