SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Borussia Dover Playoff Chances 2011

Beat Kansas City 115-57, playoff odds up 3.8 to 91.5%

7-0-4 .636

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 11/21	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dover 115 Kansas City 57	+4.7		+0.2
Halifax 74 Milwaukee 85	+2.2
Detroit 84 Pittsburgh 50	-2.0
New York 63 Denver 92	-1.3		-0.1
Smyrna 87 Philly 79	+0.7
Atlanta 75 Chicago 112	+0.6		+0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/28	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Smyrna vs Dover	-15.0-1.0+3.0		-0.4-0.1+0.1
Chicago vs Detroit	+1.3+0.8-5.8		+0.0+0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Denver	+3.1-0.3-1.9		+0.1+0.0-0.1
New York vs Halifax	+0.6+0.6-0.4
Pittsburgh vs Philly	+0.1*-0.1-0.1		-0.0+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Dover finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

10		3	-	0	-	0	In			20	80										3,100,611
9	.5	2	-	1	-	0	In			18	82										210,246
9		2	-	0	-	1	99.1	%		2	86	11	1								4,377,088
		1	-	2	-	0	In			2	98										4,633
8	.5	1	-	1	-	1	98.0			2	75	21	2	0							191,978
		0	-	3	-	0	In			3	97										33
8		1	-	0	-	2	68.4			0	41	27	28	3							1,840,491
		0	-	2	-	1	68.1			0	42	25	28	4							2,076
7	.5	0	-	1	-	2	45.4				13	32	45	10	0						38,093
7		0	-	0	-	3	6.9				1	6	32	45	14	1	0				221,270

Total:							91.5	%		7	73	11	7	2	0	0	0				9,986,519

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs