SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Atlanta Dirty Birds Playoff Chances 2011

Lost to Chicago 75-112, playoff odds down 3.8 to 1.5%

4-1-6 .409

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 11/21	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta 75 Chicago 112	-2.5		-0.3
Halifax 74 Milwaukee 85	+2.0		-0.1
Smyrna 87 Philly 79	+1.2		+0.2
Dover 115 Kansas City 57	-1.1
New York 63 Denver 92	-0.8		+0.0
Detroit 84 Pittsburgh 50	-0.7		-0.2

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/28	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta vs Denver	+2.4-1.1Out		+1.0+0.1-0.6
New York vs Halifax	+0.8+0.8-0.6		-0.1-0.1+0.1
Smyrna vs Dover	+1.1+0.4-0.2
Chicago vs Detroit	+0.2+0.3-1.0		+0.0+0.0-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Philly	+0.2+0.3-0.4		+0.1+0.1-0.2
Milwaukee vs Kansas City	-0.1*+0.0+0.1		-0.1-0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Atlanta finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

7	.5	3	-	0	-	0	17.3	%			2	16	41	33	8	0	0				837,008
7		2	-	1	-	0	4.8				0	5	19	35	34	8	0				91,287
6	.5	2	-	0	-	1	0.0					0	0	7	44	39	9	0			3,434,885
		1	-	2	-	0	Out						0	8	44	39	9	0			3,200
6		1	-	1	-	1	Out						0	0	13	46	38	3	0		230,898
		0	-	3	-	0	Out								7	41	45	7			29
5	.5	1	-	0	-	2	Out								1	18	64	17	0		4,083,775
		0	-	2	-	1	Out								1	18	64	16	0		3,623
5		0	-	1	-	2	Out										39	53	8	0	117,338
4	.5	0	-	0	-	3	Out										21	65	13	0	1,184,476

Total:							1.5	%			0	1	4	6	17	22	33	15	2	0	9,986,519

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs