"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 2/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mitch 824.5 Jeremy Barr 601.5 -3.7
-0.4
Andrew 702.5 Matt 825 -0.3
-0.1
Marty 700 Joe 587 +0.1
Jeremy Kerman 645.5 Ted 708.5 -0.1
Adam 771 Nick 722 +0.1
+0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 2/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jeremy Barr vs Andrew+5.3-6.1
+0.4-0.5
Joe vs Matt-1.8+1.6
+0.1-0.1
Nick vs Jeremy Kerman-0.8+0.9
-0.1+0.1
Ted vs Mitch+0.6-0.6
Marty vs Adam+0.3-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Jeremy Barr finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLplayoffs12345678910Count
134-00In9281,186,373
123-01In64364,213,586
112-0299.9%216413205,643,670
101-0383.11134128173,358,002
90-046.7068490754,358
Total:91.6%333714780015,155,989
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs