Division 3 Playoff Chances 2014

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed
	G	W	-	L	-	T	PCT	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

Irving		8	-	3	-	0	.727	197.5	93.1	%	+6.3	3	65	17	9	4	2	1	0					2.6	+0.33	6	.685	Irving Tigers

Bell		7	-	4	-	0	.636	-7.74	69.4		+28.0	1	20	27	21	15	8	5	4	0				3.9	+1.30	2	.611	The Bell Fierce
Kluneberg		6	-	5	-	0	.545	94.48	16.1		-30.3	0	2	5	10	23	22	17	12	10	1			6.1	-1.11	5	.537	The Kluneberg 123
Blumpkins		5	-	6	-	0	.455	39.92	7.0		-3.0			1	6	7	13	18	28	24	3			7.4	-0.45	3	.463	Blumpkins

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 11/17
Kluneberg 81.42 Bell 99.76
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Irving	-0.4
Bell	+19.6		+1.0
Kluneberg	-21.9		-1.0
Blumpkins	+1.2

Irving 129.88 Blumpkins 89.82
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Irving	+6.6		+0.3
Kluneberg	-1.4		-0.0
Blumpkins	-5.2		-0.4

Mediterranean 102.7 Music City 85.42
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Irving	+1.6		+0.1
Bell	+3.4		+0.2
Kluneberg	+3.9		+0.2
Blumpkins	+2.7		+0.1

Fresno 75.54 Kiwi 50.1
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Irving	-1.2		-0.0
Bell	-1.3		+0.0
Kluneberg	-1.1		-0.0
Blumpkins	-1.0		+0.1

Butts 49.94 Rafi 70.7
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Irving	-0.5		-0.0
Bell	-0.7		-0.1
Kluneberg	-0.8		-0.0
Blumpkins	+0.1		-0.0

Brady 111.72 GARWIG 66.22
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Irving			-0.0
Bell			-0.0

Week of 11/24
Bell vs BlumpkinsIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Irving	92.3*94.894.6		2.62.42.4
Bell	84.6*68.241.8		3.34.04.9
Kluneberg	13.319.821.2		6.26.16.0
Blumpkins	0.01.719.8		7.97.56.3

Irving vs KlunebergHomeTieAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Irving	98.896.782.4		2.22.43.1
Bell	71.4*66.865.7		3.94.03.9
Kluneberg	4.324.138.4		6.75.95.1
Blumpkins	7.5*7.46.1		7.3*7.37.4

GARWIG vs RafiHomeTieAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Irving	95.0*94.892.6		2.5*2.52.6
Bell	76.677.567.4		3.73.73.9
Kluneberg	19.720.215.2		5.85.86.2
Blumpkins	7.2*6.37.0		7.17.57.4

Mediterranean vs FresnoHomeTieAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Irving	95.1*94.892.3		2.5*2.52.6
Bell	70.2*67.869.1		3.8*3.93.9
Kluneberg	19.719.914.7		6.06.06.1
Blumpkins	7.2*7.67.0		7.47.47.3

Kiwi vs Music CityHomeTieAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Irving	93.2*92.893.1
Bell	69.7*67.869.2
Kluneberg	15.6*14.816.5		6.0*6.26.2
Blumpkins	8.6*8.35.8		7.47.57.3

Butts vs BradyHomeTieAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Irving			2.42.42.6
Bell			3.8*3.93.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.