New York Yankees Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

Beat Orioles 926-920, playoff odds up 4.5 to 15.5%
2-3   .400

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Yankees 926 Orioles 920 +4.6
+0.9
Rays 842 Red Sox 973 +0.4
Blue Jays 1197 White Sox 1031 -0.4
Phillies 1072 Rangers 1358 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Yankees vs Angels+5.5-5.5
+0.9-0.9
Rays vs Athletics-0.9+0.9
Blue Jays vs Rangers-0.8+0.8
Red Sox vs Astros-0.4+0.4
Orioles vs Mariners-0.3+0.3
Diamondbacks vs Indians+0.2-0.2
Rockies vs White Sox+0.2-0.2
Padres vs Twins+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1
Dodgers vs Tigers+0.1-0.1
Giants vs Royals+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Yankees finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1816-0In100120
1715-1In9911325
1614-2In945022,299
1513-399.8%751608010,704
1412-497.841313222035,214
1311-583.3102812341420085,464
1210-639.807141830218100156,142
119-76.800519212822103000222,555
108-80.6010016172626166100250,548
97-90.0000141325302071222,160
86-100.00000415323514156,030
75-11Out00110394985,153
64-12Out01188135,708
53-13Out059511,048
42-14Out1992,357
2-3Out100473*
Total:15.5%3445677788888991,276,300

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/6100.0*Lottery seed
Yankees 926 Orioles 920 -1.8
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Lottery seed
Yankees vs Angels-1.8+1.8
Red Sox vs Astros+0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1816-0991
1715-1919
1614-2732430
1513-336421840000
1412-472332231020020
1311-5028172421102124100
1210-600138151312191693100
119-70016027131819161051000
108-8010012510161919148410000
97-900000138142021171041000
86-100000014112025221240
75-11002720322910
64-12002134045
53-13022078
42-140694
31-15199
20-16100
Total:112222332333444444444444444443