Minnesota Twins Playoff Chances 2018 50/50
Lost to Tigers 727-1027, playoff odds down 5.4 to 17.5%
2-3 .400
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/6 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Tigers 1027 Twins 727 | -7.0 | -0.9 | ||
| Blue Jays 1197 White Sox 1031 | +1.3 | |||
| Royals 995 Indians 968 | +0.9 | |||
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Week of 5/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Padres vs Twins | -5.4+5.4 | -0.8+0.8 | ||
| Diamondbacks vs Indians | +1.2-1.2 | +0.1-0.1 | ||
| Rockies vs White Sox | +1.2-1.2 | +0.1-0.1 | ||
| Dodgers vs Tigers | +0.8-0.8 | +0.1-0.1 | ||
| Giants vs Royals | +0.5-0.5 | +0.1-0.1 | ||
| Yankees vs Angels | +0.2-0.2 | |||
What If
Chances based on how well the Twins finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | |||
| 18 | 16 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 127 | |||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 15 | - | 1 | In | 98 | 2 | 0 | 330 | |||||||||||||||
| 16 | 14 | - | 2 | In | 93 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2,380 | ||||||||||||||
| 15 | 13 | - | 3 | 99.9 | % | 76 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 10,972 | ||||||||||||
| 14 | 12 | - | 4 | 98.8 | 43 | 35 | 5 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 35,675 | ||||||||||||
| 13 | 11 | - | 5 | 87.7 | 10 | 33 | 18 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 85,281 | ||||||||||
| 12 | 10 | - | 6 | 47.0 | 0 | 9 | 21 | 17 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 155,712 | ||||||||
| 11 | 9 | - | 7 | 10.3 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222,579 | ||||||
| 10 | 8 | - | 8 | 1.3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 249,992 | ||||
| 9 | 7 | - | 9 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 223,057 | |||||||
| 8 | 6 | - | 10 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 35 | 15 | 156,126 | ||||||||||
| 7 | 5 | - | 11 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 38 | 50 | 85,163 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | 4 | - | 12 | Out | 0 | 1 | 17 | 81 | 35,382 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | 3 | - | 13 | Out | 0 | 5 | 95 | 10,748 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | 2 | - | 14 | Out | 1 | 99 | 2,357 | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 15 | Out | 1 | 99 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 16 | Out | 100 | 121 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 17.5 | % | 3 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 1,276,300 | |||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 5/6 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Tigers 1027 Twins 727 | +1.8 | |
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Week of 5/13 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Padres vs Twins | +1.8-1.8 | |
| Diamondbacks vs Indians | -0.1+0.1 | |
| Dodgers vs Tigers | -0.1+0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | |
| 18 | 16 | - | 0 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 15 | - | 1 | 92 | 8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 14 | - | 2 | 75 | 23 | 3 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 13 | - | 3 | 38 | 41 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 12 | - | 4 | 7 | 24 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 11 | - | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 25 | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 10 | - | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 16 | 11 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | 9 | - | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 19 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 10 | 8 | - | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 19 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 9 | 7 | - | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 21 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 8 | 6 | - | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 25 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 5 | - | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 32 | 28 | 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 4 | - | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 41 | 41 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 3 | - | 13 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 75 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 2 | - | 14 | 0 | 8 | 91 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 15 | 0 | 1 | 98 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 16 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | ||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:44 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
