Detroit Tigers Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

Beat Twins 1027-727, playoff odds up 6.5 to 18.6%
2-3   .400

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tigers 1027 Twins 727 +5.0
+0.9
Blue Jays 1197 White Sox 1031 +0.8
Royals 995 Indians 968 +0.4
Phillies 1072 Rangers 1358 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dodgers vs Tigers-5.5+5.5
-0.8+0.8
Rockies vs White Sox+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
Diamondbacks vs Indians+1.0-1.0
+0.1-0.1
Giants vs Royals+0.9-0.9
+0.1-0.1
Padres vs Twins+0.6-0.6
+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Tigers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1816-0In100122
1715-1In982295
1614-2In94512,338
1513-3100.0%771914010,891
1412-499.143386131035,464
1311-589.311342024910085,133
1210-650.619251625176100155,712
119-712.8001118202520103100222,511
108-82.0020016152526177200250,371
97-90.1000031123302281223,393
86-100.0000313313616155,625
75-11Out019375385,318
64-12Out01158435,490
53-13Out049610,869
42-14Out1992,337
2-3Out100431*
Total:18.6%3574566778889991,276,300

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/6100.0*Lottery seed
Tigers 1027 Twins 727 -1.8
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Lottery seed
Dodgers vs Tigers+1.8-1.8
Diamondbacks vs Indians-0.1+0.1
Giants vs Royals-0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1816-0100
1715-1937
1614-2732430
1513-33741184000
1412-472332241030010
1311-502818252211282000
1210-60013101917101613731000
119-700211027121718151041000
108-802001251015191814841000
97-90000138152021171041000
86-10000015112025211230
75-110002720322910
64-120002144044
53-13022079
42-140694
31-15199
20-16100
Total:112223352233344444444444444443