Kansas City Royals Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

Beat Indians 995-968, playoff odds up 6.8 to 18.5%
2-3   .400

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Royals 995 Indians 968 +5.2
+0.9
Blue Jays 1197 White Sox 1031 +0.8
Tigers 1027 Twins 727 +0.4
Phillies 1072 Rangers 1358 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Giants vs Royals-5.4+5.4
-0.8+0.8
Rockies vs White Sox+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Diamondbacks vs Indians+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
Padres vs Twins+0.9-0.9
+0.1-0.1
Dodgers vs Tigers+0.6-0.6
+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Royals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1816-0In100121
1715-1In9910313
1614-2In928002,325
1513-3100.0%722324010,905
1412-499.039409121035,223
1311-588.893324241010085,105
1210-650.108271525177100155,882
119-712.9001118192521103000222,579
108-81.9020016162526177100250,329
97-90.1000131224302181222,518
86-100.00000314323616156,146
75-11Out019385285,410
64-12Out01168335,551
53-13Out049611,069
42-14Out1992,370
2-3Out100454*
Total:18.5%3574566778889991,276,300

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/6100.0*Lottery seed
Royals 995 Indians 968 -1.8
Rays 842 Red Sox 973 +0.1
Cubs 1069 Rockies 1166 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Lottery seed
Giants vs Royals+1.8-1.8
Diamondbacks vs Indians-0.1+0.1
Rockies vs White Sox-0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1816-0100
1715-19280
1614-2722530
1513-336411840000
1412-4723322410300100
1311-502818252211282000
1210-60013101917111613731000
119-70021102712171815941000
108-8020001251016191814841000
97-90000013814202117104100
86-10000014112026211130
75-11002720322810
64-12003144142
53-13022276
42-140694
31-15298
20-16100
Total:112223352333344444444444444443