Boston Red Sox Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

Beat Rays 973-842, playoff odds up 5 to 16.7%
2-3   .400

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rays 842 Red Sox 973 +5.4
+0.9
Blue Jays 1197 White Sox 1031 -0.5
Yankees 926 Orioles 920 +0.4
Phillies 1072 Rangers 1358 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Red Sox vs Astros+5.6-5.6
+0.9-0.9
Rays vs Athletics-0.9+0.9
Blue Jays vs Rangers-0.9+0.9
Orioles vs Mariners-0.7+0.7
Yankees vs Angels-0.3+0.3
Diamondbacks vs Indians+0.2-0.2
Rockies vs White Sox+0.2-0.2
Dodgers vs Tigers+0.1-0.1
Padres vs Twins+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Red Sox finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1816-0In100129
1715-1In9901287
1614-2In93512,311
1513-399.9%761816011,124
1412-498.541345181035,528
1311-585.7103016291220084,816
1210-643.908191728197100156,136
119-79.000718202722113100223,077
108-81.1010015152526177200250,286
97-90.1000031123302281223,411
86-100.00000313313716155,636
75-11Out019375384,494
64-12Out01168335,474
53-13Out049610,823
42-14Out1992,346
2-3Out100422*
Total:16.7%3455667778889991,276,300

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/6100.0*Lottery seed
Rays 842 Red Sox 973 -1.8
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Lottery seed
Red Sox vs Astros-1.8+1.8

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1816-0100
1715-19550
1614-2752330
1513-339411630000
1412-47243223920010
1311-5028182521102113000
1210-6001391714121815831000
119-70017027131819161051000
108-80100012510161919148410000
97-90000138142021171041000
86-10000015112026211130
75-11002720332810
64-12003154142
53-13022276
42-140793
31-15298
20-16100
Total:112223332333444444444444444443