Philadelphia Phillies Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

Lost to Rangers 1072-1358, playoff odds down 7.1 to 19.1%
2-3   .400

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Phillies 1072 Rangers 1358 -6.6
-0.8
Braves 386 Nationals 721 -0.8
Mets 986 Marlins 825 +0.4
Cardinals 518 Brewers 1308 -0.3
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Phillies vs Cubs+5.9-5.9
+0.9-0.9
Marlins vs Pirates-1.1+1.1
Mets vs Reds-1.0+1.0
Nationals vs Brewers-1.0+1.0
-0.1+0.1
Dodgers vs Tigers-0.3+0.3
-0.1+0.1
Diamondbacks vs Indians-0.3+0.3
Braves vs Cardinals-0.2+0.2
Rockies vs White Sox-0.2+0.2
-0.1+0.1
Giants vs Royals-0.1+0.1
Padres vs Twins-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Phillies finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1917-0In991115
1816-1In991178
1715-2In97301,400
1614-3100.0%85130206,607
1513-499.9583237023,130
1412-596.9204215203060,081
1311-674.8219292520510120,657
1210-726.702196232916410189,076
119-85.0050192532217100236,623
108-90.6100172234259100236,810
97-100.00001724362571189,158
86-11Out00214363611121,123
75-12Out0113444259,948
64-13Out02247423,107
53-14Out08926,633
42-15Out02981,389
2-3Out100265*
Total:19.1%3574677889988751,276,300

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/6100.0*Lottery seed
Phillies 1072 Rangers 1358 +1.8
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Lottery seed
Phillies vs Cubs-1.8+1.8
Nationals vs Brewers+0.1-0.1
Mets vs Reds+0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1917-0982
1816-1991
1715-292800
1614-368284000
1513-43042226100
1412-5315292916510300
1311-6002818251751771000
1210-7002916515221893100
119-80050002615232316720000
108-9010001381724231562000
97-100000027172525166100
86-1100027183028132
75-12017254126
64-130043065
53-14001189
42-150397
2-3100
Total:122233342333334433455444444443