San Diego Padres Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

Beat Dodgers 1077-942, playoff odds up 4.1 to 15.2%
2-3   .400

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dodgers 942 Padres 1077 +5.1
+0.9
Giants 903 Diamondbacks 1233 -0.5
Phillies 1072 Rangers 1358 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Padres vs Twins+4.8-4.9
+0.8-0.8
Diamondbacks vs Indians-1.2+1.2
-0.1+0.1
Dodgers vs Tigers-0.8+0.8
-0.1+0.1
Rockies vs White Sox-0.4+0.4
-0.1+0.1
Giants vs Royals-0.4+0.4
-0.1+0.1
Phillies vs Cubs+0.3-0.2
Nationals vs Brewers+0.2-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Padres finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1816-0In100125
1715-1In9712294
1614-2In905052,293
1513-399.8%6817015010,991
1412-497.134284313035,595
1311-580.672212391730085,427
1210-638.505122133216100155,764
119-76.700421226291871000222,556
108-80.601002102329229200249,926
97-90.0000282131251120222,859
86-100.0000292636235155,855
75-11Out000422442985,643
64-12Out004316535,395
53-13Out00118810,767
42-14Out2982,350
2-3Out100460*
Total:15.2%2337788888888751,276,300

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/6100.0*Lottery seed
Dodgers 942 Padres 1077 -1.8
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Lottery seed
Padres vs Twins-1.8+1.8

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1816-0991
1715-19180
1614-2732430
1513-33742174000
1412-4723312310200300
1311-5027172420921441000
1210-6000138151212191693100
119-700150271318201610520000
108-8010001251016191914841000
97-90000138142021171041000
86-10000014112025221240
75-110002719323011
64-12002123946
53-13011880
42-140595
2-3100
Total:112222333333444444444444444443