Washington Nationals Playoff Chances 2018 50/50
Beat Braves 721-386, playoff odds up 8.3 to 32.3%
3-2 .600
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/6 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Braves 386 Nationals 721 | +6.6 | +0.9 | ||
| Phillies 1072 Rangers 1358 | +1.0 | +0.1 | ||
| Mets 986 Marlins 825 | +0.4 | |||
| Dodgers 942 Padres 1077 | +0.3 | |||
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Week of 5/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Nationals vs Brewers | +8.3-8.3 | +0.9-0.9 | ||
| Marlins vs Pirates | -1.7+1.7 | -0.1+0.1 | ||
| Mets vs Reds | -1.4+1.4 | |||
| Phillies vs Cubs | -0.8+0.8 | |||
| Diamondbacks vs Indians | -0.4+0.4 | |||
| Dodgers vs Tigers | -0.3+0.3 | |||
| Rockies vs White Sox | -0.2+0.2 | |||
| Padres vs Twins | -0.2+0.2 | |||
| Braves vs Cardinals | -0.2+0.2 | |||
What If
Chances based on how well the Nationals finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | |||
| 19 | 16 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 127 | |||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 15 | - | 1 | In | 99 | 1 | 292 | ||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 14 | - | 2 | In | 98 | 2 | 0 | 2,360 | |||||||||||||||
| 16 | 13 | - | 3 | In | 91 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 11,026 | ||||||||||||||
| 15 | 12 | - | 4 | 99.9 | % | 71 | 22 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 35,466 | ||||||||||||
| 14 | 11 | - | 5 | 98.7 | 37 | 39 | 8 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 85,127 | ||||||||||||
| 13 | 10 | - | 6 | 87.5 | 8 | 31 | 23 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 156,076 | |||||||||
| 12 | 9 | - | 7 | 48.3 | 0 | 8 | 25 | 15 | 26 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 222,574 | ||||||||
| 11 | 8 | - | 8 | 12.3 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 250,366 | |||||||
| 10 | 7 | - | 9 | 1.9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 222,700 | |||||
| 9 | 6 | - | 10 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 155,933 | |||||||
| 8 | 5 | - | 11 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 37 | 25 | 6 | 85,382 | |||||||||
| 7 | 4 | - | 12 | Out | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 44 | 32 | 35,101 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | 3 | - | 13 | Out | 0 | 4 | 28 | 68 | 10,877 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | 2 | - | 14 | Out | 0 | 10 | 90 | 2,434 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | - | 15 | Out | 1 | 99 | 331 | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 16 | Out | 1 | 99 | 128 | ||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 32.3 | % | 6 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1,276,300 | |||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 5/6 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Braves 386 Nationals 721 | -1.8 | |
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Week of 5/13 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Nationals vs Brewers | -1.8+1.8 | |
| Marlins vs Pirates | +0.1-0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | |
| 19 | 16 | - | 0 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 15 | - | 1 | 98 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 14 | - | 2 | 93 | 6 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 13 | - | 3 | 74 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 12 | - | 4 | 41 | 40 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 11 | - | 5 | 10 | 27 | 32 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 10 | - | 6 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 24 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 9 | - | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | 8 | - | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 10 | 7 | - | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 19 | 19 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | 6 | - | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 21 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 8 | 5 | - | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 24 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 4 | - | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 32 | 26 | 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 3 | - | 13 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 40 | 42 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 2 | - | 14 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 78 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | - | 15 | 3 | 97 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 16 | 1 | 99 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:44 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
