Miami Marlins Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

Lost to Mets 825-986, playoff odds down 10.1 to 34.5%
3-2   .600

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mets 986 Marlins 825 -10.8
-0.9
Phillies 1072 Rangers 1358 +1.8
+0.1
Braves 386 Nationals 721 -0.9
Cardinals 518 Brewers 1308 -0.4
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Marlins vs Pirates+7.8-7.8
+0.9-0.9
Mets vs Reds-1.6+1.6
-0.1+0.1
Nationals vs Brewers-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Phillies vs Cubs-0.8+0.8
Dodgers vs Tigers-0.3+0.3
Diamondbacks vs Indians-0.3+0.3
Padres vs Twins-0.3+0.3
-0.1+0.1
Braves vs Cardinals-0.2+0.2
Rockies vs White Sox-0.2+0.2
Giants vs Royals-0.2+0.2
-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Marlins finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
18-19In100418*
1714-2In98102,321
1613-3In9180110,911
1512-4100.0%722314035,423
1411-599.238409121085,225
1310-690.193425239100155,372
129-754.309291625155100223,465
118-815.8011421023271761000250,098
107-92.6030029222923102000222,721
96-100.2000172031271120155,896
85-110.000018253624585,033
74-12Out0421453035,782
63-13Out04306510,938
52-14Out013872,279
41-15Out298295
30-16Out298123
Total:34.5%79127788777654321,276,300

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/6100.0*Lottery seed
Mets 986 Marlins 825 +1.8
Phillies 1072 Rangers 1358 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Lottery seed
Marlins vs Pirates-1.8+1.8
Mets vs Reds+0.1-0.1
Nationals vs Brewers+0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1916-0100
1815-1991
1714-29370
1613-3742320
1512-44140153000
1411-510273220820010
1310-604112225198182000
129-70001513201413151152000
118-8000312141016181611621000
107-90300014915191915105200000
96-100000026121921191262100
85-1100002715232418820
74-12002102232258
63-13003164040
52-14022275
41-15496
30-16298
Total:344455553444444444333333222211