Seattle Mariners Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

Lost to Angels 681-1183, playoff odds down 4.3 to 5.9%
1-4   .200

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Angels 1183 Mariners 681 -4.4
-0.9
Phillies 1072 Rangers 1358 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Orioles vs Mariners-2.6+2.6
-0.9+0.9
Red Sox vs Astros+0.4-0.4
Yankees vs Angels+0.3-0.3
Rays vs Athletics+0.3-0.3
Rockies vs White Sox+0.1-0.1
Giants vs Royals+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1
Diamondbacks vs Indians+0.1-0.1
Padres vs Twins+0.1-0.1
Dodgers vs Tigers+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Mariners finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1716-0In982130
1615-1In9326294
1514-299.7%76701602,382
1413-396.0431813340010,969
1312-477.810186431930035,349
1211-533.4047213523810085,206
1110-63.9022102429219200156,192
109-70.200017182625156100222,712
98-80.0000141325292071250,302
87-9Out000314323515222,315
76-10Out001103752155,940
65-11Out01168385,324
54-12Out049635,421
43-13Out19910,987
32-14Out01002,318
1-2Out100459*
Total:5.9%1113455677891113181,276,300

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/6100.0*Lottery seed
Angels 1183 Mariners 681 +1.7
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Lottery seed
Orioles vs Mariners+1.6-1.6

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1716-0964
1615-172253
1514-2364119400
1413-3622322410200400
1312-4016152321102165100
1211-5000261312102019125100
1110-6001301491621201473100
109-7000001361217201913620000
98-8000002510172221147200
87-900001381725251651
76-100001516323313
65-11002123947
54-12022078
43-130694
32-14298
21-150100
10-16100
Total:000111111222233333444455667888