San Francisco Giants Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

Lost to Diamondbacks 903-1233, playoff odds down 5.2 to 6.2%
1-4   .200

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Giants 903 Diamondbacks 1233 -5.4
-0.9
Dodgers 942 Padres 1077 +0.6
Cubs 1069 Rockies 1166 -0.2
Phillies 1072 Rangers 1358 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Giants vs Royals+2.5-2.5
+0.7-0.7
Diamondbacks vs Indians-0.6+0.6
Dodgers vs Tigers-0.5+0.5
-0.1+0.1
Rockies vs White Sox-0.3+0.3
-0.1+0.1
Padres vs Twins-0.2+0.2
-0.1+0.1
Phillies vs Cubs+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Giants finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1716-0In982121
1615-1In8758315
1514-299.7%741101502,349
1413-396.8382533130010,905
1312-478.7821940183035,474
1211-534.90510203323810084,922
1110-64.80032102530208200156,365
109-70.30002921302411300222,396
98-80.0000171931271220249,951
87-90.00000182537235222,780
76-10Out0004224529156,044
65-11Out004326485,512
54-12Out0128735,565
43-13Out039710,808
32-14Out01002,374
1-2Out100419*
Total:6.2%111345678810111212121,276,300

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/6100.0*Lottery seed
Giants 903 Diamondbacks 1233 +1.7
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Lottery seed
Giants vs Royals-1.6+1.6

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1716-0982
1615-166321
1514-2374217400
1413-362231251020300
1312-4016152421102155100
1211-50002614131018191251000
1110-6001401491520201473100
109-700000136121721191362000
98-80000025101722211472000
87-900001381625251661
76-100001516313314
65-110002113750
54-12011781
43-130595
32-14199
21-150100
10-16100
Total:000111111222233333444456667789