Chicago Cubs Playoff Chances 2018 50/50
Lost to Rockies 1069-1166, playoff odds down 10.4 to 51.7%
4-1 .800
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/6 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cubs 1069 Rockies 1166 | -8.1 | -0.7 | ||
| Cardinals 518 Brewers 1308 | -1.7 | -0.1 | ||
| Reds 960 Pirates 915 | -0.7 | |||
| Giants 903 Diamondbacks 1233 | -0.3 | |||
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Week of 5/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Phillies vs Cubs | -8.5+8.4 | -0.7+0.7 | ||
| Nationals vs Brewers | +2.0-2.0 | +0.1-0.1 | ||
| Mets vs Reds | +1.4-1.4 | +0.1-0.1 | ||
| Rockies vs White Sox | -0.5+0.5 | |||
| Dodgers vs Tigers | -0.5+0.5 | |||
| Diamondbacks vs Indians | -0.4+0.4 | |||
| Padres vs Twins | -0.3+0.3 | |||
| Giants vs Royals | -0.2+0.2 | |||
| Marlins vs Pirates | +0.2-0.2 | |||
What If
Chances based on how well the Cubs finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | |||
| 19 | -20 | In | 100 | 431 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 14 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 0 | 2,328 | ||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 13 | - | 3 | In | 98 | 2 | 0 | 10,795 | |||||||||||||||
| 16 | 12 | - | 4 | 100.0 | % | 91 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 35,319 | ||||||||||||
| 15 | 11 | - | 5 | 99.9 | 72 | 21 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 85,263 | |||||||||||||
| 14 | 10 | - | 6 | 98.9 | 39 | 38 | 6 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 155,906 | |||||||||||
| 13 | 9 | - | 7 | 88.7 | 9 | 33 | 20 | 26 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 222,983 | ||||||||||
| 12 | 8 | - | 8 | 53.1 | 0 | 10 | 26 | 17 | 26 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 249,887 | ||||||||
| 11 | 7 | - | 9 | 16.2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 26 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222,440 | |||||
| 10 | 6 | - | 10 | 3.1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 156,006 | |||||
| 9 | 5 | - | 11 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 85,666 | |||||||
| 8 | 4 | - | 12 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 36 | 23 | 5 | 35,383 | ||||||||||
| 7 | 3 | - | 13 | Out | 0 | 4 | 21 | 45 | 30 | 10,995 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | 2 | - | 14 | Out | 0 | 5 | 29 | 66 | 2,451 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | - | 15 | Out | 0 | 12 | 88 | 316 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 16 | Out | 2 | 98 | 131 | ||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 51.7 | % | 15 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1,276,300 | |||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 5/6 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Cubs 1069 Rockies 1166 | +1.4 | |
| Cardinals 518 Brewers 1308 | +0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Week of 5/13 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Phillies vs Cubs | +1.6-1.6 | |
| Nationals vs Brewers | -0.1+0.1 | |
| Mets vs Reds | -0.1+0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | |
| 19 | -20 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 14 | - | 2 | 98 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 13 | - | 3 | 94 | 6 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 12 | - | 4 | 79 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 11 | - | 5 | 48 | 38 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 10 | - | 6 | 13 | 32 | 31 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 9 | - | 7 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 23 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 8 | - | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | 7 | - | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 19 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | 6 | - | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 20 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 9 | 5 | - | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 4 | - | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 24 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 3 | - | 13 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 32 | 24 | 7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 2 | - | 14 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 40 | 41 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | - | 15 | 2 | 26 | 72 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 16 | 1 | 99 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:44 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
