Atlanta Braves Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

Lost to Nationals 386-721, playoff odds down 2.3 to 2.9%
0-5   .000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Braves 386 Nationals 721 -2.6
-0.8
Phillies 1072 Rangers 1358 +0.3
+0.1
Mets 986 Marlins 825 +0.2
Reds 960 Pirates 915 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Braves vs Cardinals+1.5-1.5
+0.7-0.7
Marlins vs Pirates-0.3+0.3
Mets vs Reds-0.2+0.2
Nationals vs Brewers-0.2+0.2
Phillies vs Cubs-0.1+0.1
Dodgers vs Tigers-0.1+0.1
Giants vs Royals-0.1+0.1
Rockies vs White Sox-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Braves finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1515-0In861211146
1414-1In612938594
1313-297.0%24411220304,043
1212-375.632025282040017,787
1111-426.80217825291530053,703
1010-53.2030192432227100117,173
99-60.20001518322913300194,676
88-70.000004173431121249,384
77-8Out0019304218250,852
66-9Out0073854194,582
55-10Out011683117,213
44-11Out059553,320
33-12Out19917,951
22-13Out01004,122
0-1Out100754*
Total:2.9%01111234568101418251,276,300

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/6100.0*Lottery seed
Braves 386 Nationals 721 +1.6
Rays 842 Red Sox 973 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Lottery seed
Braves vs Cardinals-1.4+1.4

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1515-0712531
1414-1314319610
1313-231730281440030
1212-300282025174167200
1111-40029164152218103100
1010-50300161423241783100
99-60000271523241783000
88-7000015132326199200
77-800014152831184
66-90014204234
55-100032473
44-1100793
33-120199
22-130100
11-140100
00-15100
Total:000000110111112222344445678101218