Toronto Blue Jays Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

Beat White Sox 1197-1031, playoff odds up 8.5 to 30.8%
3-2   .600

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blue Jays 1197 White Sox 1031 +6.7
+0.9
Rays 842 Red Sox 973 +1.1
Yankees 926 Orioles 920 +0.6
Angels 1183 Mariners 681 -0.3
Phillies 1072 Rangers 1358 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blue Jays vs Rangers+7.9-7.9
+1.0-0.9
Rays vs Athletics-1.5+1.5
-0.1+0.1
Orioles vs Mariners-1.0+1.0
Yankees vs Angels-0.3+0.3
Red Sox vs Astros-0.2+0.2
Diamondbacks vs Indians+0.2-0.2
Rockies vs White Sox+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1
Dodgers vs Tigers+0.2-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Blue Jays finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
18-19In100438*
1714-2In98102,347
1613-3In9260210,808
1512-499.9%7418180035,208
1411-598.540344201085,104
1310-685.71031143112200155,707
129-744.909181828197100222,873
118-89.50072921272093000250,644
107-91.2010017172625166100222,453
96-100.1000141225292171156,269
85-11Out00031432361585,445
74-12Out0110375235,544
63-13Out01158310,748
52-14Out03972,317
41-15Out0100271
30-16Out100124
Total:30.8%7879888776665431,276,300

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/6100.0*Lottery seed
Blue Jays 1197 White Sox 1031 -1.8
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Lottery seed
Blue Jays vs Rangers-1.8+1.8
Orioles vs Mariners+0.1-0.1
Rays vs Athletics+0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1916-0982
1815-1973
1714-29280
1613-37423200
1512-44140153000
1411-59273221820010
1310-6031120241871113000
129-70001511171116191362000
118-80027151117191712631000
107-9010001491519191510521000
96-100000025121821191362100
85-110002615232518820
74-1200292333257
63-13003174138
52-14032573
41-151090
30-16100
Total:344444444444444444333333222211