Oakland Athletics Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

Lost to Astros 1176-1602, playoff odds down 11.3 to 27.5%
3-2   .600

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Athletics 1176 Astros 1602 -10.7
-0.9
Phillies 1072 Rangers 1358 -0.8
-0.1
Angels 1183 Mariners 681 -0.6
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rays vs Athletics-7.8+7.8
-0.9+0.9
Red Sox vs Astros+1.2-1.2
Yankees vs Angels+0.8-0.8
Blue Jays vs Rangers+0.6-0.6
Rockies vs White Sox+0.3-0.3
Diamondbacks vs Indians+0.3-0.3
Dodgers vs Tigers+0.3-0.3
+0.1-0.1
Giants vs Royals+0.2-0.2
Padres vs Twins+0.2-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Athletics finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1916-0In100125
1815-1In1000315
1714-2In98012,335
1613-3100.0%91306011,051
1512-499.77211017035,454
1411-597.1382333430084,812
1310-680.482094317200156,245
129-735.805102033228100223,322
118-85.100329222822113100250,383
107-90.4000016162526177100222,791
96-100.0000031124302281155,951
85-11Out0031431361684,764
74-12Out019375335,149
63-13Out1158410,784
52-14Out04962,402
41-15Out199293
30-16Out100124
Total:27.5%754121098777665541,276,300
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/6100.0*Lottery seed
Athletics 1176 Astros 1602 +1.8
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Lottery seed
Rays vs Athletics+1.8-1.8

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1916-0991
1815-1982
1714-29280
1613-37424200
1512-441401630000
1411-592732207200300
1310-60310202316611630000
129-700149138192215720000
118-80014151118201812731000
107-9000001491519191510521000
96-10000025111821191362100
85-110002615232518820
74-12000292333258
63-13003174138
52-14022474
41-15793
30-16298
Total:344444326555544444333333222211