Black Dot Playoff Chances 2017-2018 50/50
Beat Clay 101.7-79.8, playoff odds up 3.1 to 12.5%
5-7 .417
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Jed 107.4 Packy 98.1 | -11.7 | -0.7 | ||
| Will 110 Lee 71.7 | +5.3 | -0.1 | ||
| Dave 117.8 Clay 66.4 | -4.5 | -0.1 | ||
| Brett 113.3 Spencer 90 | -0.8 | -0.2 | ||
| Dane 71.7 Alex 132.5 | +0.2 | |||
| Winston 81.7 Christian 108.9 | +0.1 | +0.1 | ||
| Week of 11/26 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Packy 101.7 Clay 79.8 | +9.3 | +0.7 | ||
| Lee 79.8 Dave 80.3 | -4.5 | |||
| Alex 120.7 Brett 116.2 | +1.8 | +0.2 | ||
| Christian 91.3 Will 122.4 | -1.3 | -0.2 | ||
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Week of 12/3 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Will vs Winston | Out+12.5 | -0.4+0.4 | ||
| Packy vs Lee | +12.5Out | +1.1-1.1 | ||
| Dave vs Christian | Out+12.5 | -0.1+0.1 | ||
| Dane vs Brett | +0.2-0.2 | |||
What If
Chances based on how well the Packy finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 6 | 1 | - | 0 | 25.0 | % | 25 | 25 | 50 | 7,070,750 | |||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 1 | Out | 50 | 50 | 7,069,594 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 12.5 | % | 12 | 12 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 14,140,344 | ||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Jed 107.4 Packy 98.1 | +0.7 | |
| Brett 113.3 Spencer 90 | +0.2 | |
| Dave 117.8 Clay 66.4 | +0.1 | |
| Will 110 Lee 71.7 | +0.1 | |
| Winston 81.7 Christian 108.9 | -0.1 | |
| Week of 11/26 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Packy 101.7 Clay 79.8 | -0.7 | |
| Christian 91.3 Will 122.4 | +0.2 | |
| Alex 120.7 Brett 116.2 | -0.2 | |
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Week of 12/3 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Packy vs Lee | -1.1+1.1 | |
| Will vs Winston | +0.4-0.4 | |
| Dane vs Brett | -0.2+0.2 | |
| Dave vs Christian | +0.1-0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| 6 | 1 | - | 0 | 25 | 25 | 50 | ||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 1 | 50 | 50 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 12 | 12 | 25 | 25 | 25 | |||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:55 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
