Black Dot Playoff Chances 2017-2018
Beat Clay 101.7-79.8, playoff odds up 0.3 to 3%
5-7 .417
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Jed 107.4 Packy 98.1 | -3.3 | -0.3 | ||
| Dave 117.8 Clay 66.4 | -2.5 | -0.1 | ||
| Will 110 Lee 71.7 | +2.2 | -0.1 | ||
| Brett 113.3 Spencer 90 | -0.2 | -0.3 | ||
| Dane 71.7 Alex 132.5 | +0.1 | |||
| Winston 81.7 Christian 108.9 | +0.1 | |||
| Week of 11/26 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Packy 101.7 Clay 79.8 | +9.4 | +0.9 | ||
| Lee 79.8 Dave 80.3 | -1.4 | +0.1 | ||
| Christian 91.3 Will 122.4 | -1.1 | -0.1 | ||
| Alex 120.7 Brett 116.2 | +0.2 | +0.1 | ||
| Winston 80.5 Dane 107.9 | +0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Week of 12/3 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Will vs Winston | Out+11.2 | -0.1+0.5 | ||
| Dave vs Christian | Out+7.5 | -0.0+0.1 | ||
| Packy vs Lee | +3.0Out | +0.8-0.8 | ||
| Dane vs Brett | +0.1-0.4 | |||
What If
Chances based on how well the Packy finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 6 | 1 | - | 0 | 6.0 | % | 6 | 15 | 79 | 21,855,470 | |||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 1 | Out | 77 | 23 | 21,851,946 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 3.0 | % | 3 | 8 | 39 | 38 | 12 | 43,707,416 | ||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Brett 113.3 Spencer 90 | +0.3 | |
| Jed 107.4 Packy 98.1 | +0.3 | |
| Dave 117.8 Clay 66.4 | +0.1 | |
| Will 110 Lee 71.7 | +0.1 | |
| Winston 81.7 Christian 108.9 | -0.1 | |
| Week of 11/26 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Packy 101.7 Clay 79.8 | -0.9 | |
| Lee 79.8 Dave 80.3 | -0.1 | |
| Alex 120.7 Brett 116.2 | -0.1 | |
| Christian 91.3 Will 122.4 | +0.1 | |
| Winston 80.5 Dane 107.9 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Week of 12/3 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Packy vs Lee | -0.8+0.8 | |
| Will vs Winston | +0.1-0.5 | |
| Dane vs Brett | -0.1+0.4 | |
| Dave vs Christian | +0.0-0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| 6 | 1 | - | 0 | 6 | 15 | 79 | ||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 1 | 77 | 23 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 3 | 8 | 39 | 38 | 12 | |||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:55 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
